MLS
· Regular Season - 8
April 19, 2026 01:30
N. Mercau
(ast. H. Wolf)
90'+3
54'
I. Toklomati
90'
K. A. Calderon Vargas
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York City FC a 46% win probability (draw 26%, Charlotte 27%). The final result was New York City FC 1–2 Charlotte. In 1 previous meetings, New York City FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Charlotte.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
6
8
Shots on target
5
1.47
Actual xG
0.93
2
Saves
7
64%
Possession
36%
6
Corners
1
17
Tackles
8
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
3'
B. Bronico
Raul Gustavo
17'
46'
A. Privett
/
T. Ream
54'
I. Toklomati⚽
A. Ojeda
/ Talles Magno
67'
68'
A. Privett
69'
K. A. Calderon Vargas
/
R. Aloko
77'
L. de la Torre
/
B. Bronico
77'
A. Goodwin
/
I. Toklomati
Raul Gustavo
/ K. Parks
77'
81'
N. Byrne
84'
K. Kahlina
K. Parks
85'
K. Trewin
/ S. Reid
86'
⚽N. Mercau
· ast. H. Wolf
90'+3
90'+3
D. Diani
/
P. Biel
90'
K. A. Calderon Vargas⚽
Pre-match prediction
46.08%
New
26.46%
X
27.46%
Charlotte ←
we assigned to the actual result (Charlotte)
27.46%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.40
1.47
-0.93
1.37
0.93
-0.44
New York City FC dominated by xG (1.47 vs 0.93).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
49
G
22
D
34
Raul Gustavo
77'
D
Raul Gustavo
77'
D
13
Thiago Martins
D
Thiago Martins
D
24
Tayvon Gray
D
Tayvon Gray
D
21
Aiden O'Neill
M
Aiden O'Neill
M
5
Kai Trewin
86'
M
Kai Trewin
86'
M
17
Hannes Wolf
1 👟
M
Hannes Wolf
1 👟
M
10
M. Moralez
M
M. Moralez
M
26
Agustin Ojeda
67'
M
Agustin Ojeda
67'
M
7
N. Fernández Mercau
1 ⚽
F
N. Fernández Mercau
1 ⚽
F
Bench
55
Keaton Parks
19'
M
Keaton Parks
19'
M
2
Nico Cavallo
D
Nico Cavallo
D
99
Seymour Garfield-Reid
10'
F
Seymour Garfield-Reid
10'
F
19
Strahinja Tanasijević
D
11
Talles Magno
29'
F
Talles Magno
29'
F
1
Kristijan Kahlina
G
Kristijan Kahlina
G
15
Harry Toffolo
D
Harry Toffolo
D
3
Tim Ream
45'
D
Tim Ream
45'
D
44
Morrison Agyemang
D
Morrison Agyemang
D
14
Nathan Byrne
D
Nathan Byrne
D
13
Brandt Bronico
77'
M
Brandt Bronico
77'
M
8
A. Westwood
M
A. Westwood
M
10
W. Zaha
M
W. Zaha
M
16
Pep Biel
M
Pep Biel
M
37
Rodolfo Aloko
69'
M
Rodolfo Aloko
69'
M
9
Idan Toklomati
1 ⚽
77'
F
Idan Toklomati
1 ⚽
77'
F
Bench
4
Andrew Privett
51'
D
Andrew Privett
51'
D
7
Archie Goodwin
19'
F
Archie Goodwin
19'
F
23
David Schnegg
D
David Schnegg
D
28
Djibril Diani
3'
M
Djibril Diani
3'
M
18
Kerwin Calderón Vargas
1 ⚽
27'
F
Kerwin Calderón Vargas
1 ⚽
27'
F
11
Liel Abada
F
Liel Abada
F
17
Luca De La Torre
19'
M
Luca De La Torre
19'
M
25
Tyger Smalls
F
Tyger Smalls
F
Best on the pitch
Kristijan Kahlina
G · Charlotte
9.70
· 65 pass
N. Fernández Mercau
F · New
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 47 pass
Hannes Wolf
M · New
7.90
1 👟
2 shots
· 42 pass
Kerwin Calderón Vargas
F · Charlotte
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
Thiago Martins
D · New
7.50
· 112 pass
M. Moralez
M · New
7.30
1 shots
· 55 pass
New York City FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 64 | 61% | 1 | — | — | |
| Raul Gustavo | D | 77 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 93 | 80% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Thiago Martins | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 112 | 101% | — | — | — |
| Tayvon Gray | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| Aiden O'Neill | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 67% | 4 | — | — |
| Kai Trewin | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 59% | 3 | — | — |
| Hannes Wolf | M | 96 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 42 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Moralez | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Agustin Ojeda | M | 67 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Fernández Mercau | F | 96 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 47 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Keaton Parks | M | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Seymour Garfield-Reid | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Talles Magno | F | 29 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
Charlotte — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristijan Kahlina | G | 96 | 9.70 | — | — | — | 65 | 50% | — | 1 | — |
| Harry Toffolo | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Tim Ream | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Morrison Agyemang | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 55% | 1 | — | — |
| Nathan Byrne | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | — | 1 | — |
| Brandt Bronico | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Westwood | M | 96 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 47 | 40% | — | — | — |
| W. Zaha | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Pep Biel | M | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Rodolfo Aloko | M | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Idan Toklomati | F | 77 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Andrew Privett | D | 51 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Archie Goodwin | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Djibril Diani | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kerwin Calderón Vargas | F | 27 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Luca De La Torre | M | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York City FC vs Charlotte?
The final score was New York City FC 1–2 Charlotte.
What did the model predict before New York City FC vs Charlotte?
The model assigned 46% probability to a New York City FC win, 26% to a draw, and 27% to an Charlotte win.