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New York City FC - Los Angeles FC

MLS May 07, 2026 03:30
New York City FC
#5 · 18 pts
vs
Los Angeles FC
#5 · 21 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.73%
Win
New York City FC
32.86%
Draw
28.4%
Win
Los Angeles FC
1.41
Expected xG
1.12

The ForzaPitch prediction gives New York City FC a 38% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Los Angeles FC. Expected goals are 1.4 for New York City FC and 1.1 for Los Angeles FC (total 2.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.6% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ New York City FC Los Angeles FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0% 9.0% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.3% 12.6% 7.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.9% 8.9% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.7% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —
Recent form
New York City FC New York City FC
W Charlotte 0–1
W Columbus Crew 3–0
L DC United 0–2
L CF Montreal 1–0
D FC Cincinnati 4–4
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 20%
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
L St. Louis City 2–1
L Houston Dynamo 1–4
D San Diego 2–2
W Minnesota United FC 0–1
D Colorado Rapids 0–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 42%
Playing profile
New York City FC New York City FC
Attack
35
Defence
57
Form
47
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
Attack
36
Defence
60
Form
46
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 12 29
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 12 27
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 13 29
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 13 25
3 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 11 24
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 12 22
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 12 20
4 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 12 22
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 13 21
5 New York City FC New York City FC 13 18
6 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 13 21
6 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 13 18
7 DC United DC United 13 16
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas 13 19
8 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 12 18
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 13 16
9 Charlotte Charlotte 13 15
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 13 16
10 San Diego San Diego 13 16
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 12 14
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 12 13
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 13 16
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 13 13
12 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 14
13 Austin Austin 13 14
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 13 12
14 St. Louis City St. Louis City 12 12
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 12 10
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 12 8
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 13 6
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC?
The model gives New York City FC a 38% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 28% for an Los Angeles FC win.
How many goals are expected in New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC?
Expected goals: New York City FC 1.4, Los Angeles FC 1.1 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.6%.