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New York City FC - Los Angeles FC

MLS November 05, 2026 01:30
New York City FC
#5 · 26 pts
vs
Los Angeles FC
#2 · 34 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.73%
Win
New York City FC
32.86%
Draw
28.4%
Win
Los Angeles FC
1.41
Expected xG
1.12

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.6%)
1X2 Result ✓ 69.2% hit rate (26 picks)
1 39%
X 33%
2 28%
Double Chance ✓ 88.5% hit rate (26 picks)
1X 72%
X2 61%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 48%
✓ 73.1% hit rate (67 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives New York City FC a 38% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Los Angeles FC. Expected goals are 1.4 for New York City FC and 1.1 for Los Angeles FC (total 2.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.6% probability. In 1 previous meetings, New York City FC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Los Angeles FC.

Season Stats

New York City FC
5W 4D 6L
Los Angeles FC
6W 4D 5L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.8
1.5
Conceded
1.3
4.9
Shots OT
4.3
3.1
Corners
5.5
53%
Poss.
44%
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
73%
53%
O 2.5
67%
67%
BTTS
53%
13%
Clean Sht
47%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in MLS. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
36%
O 3.5
63%
BTTS
New York City FC
4W 3D 3L · at home
Los Angeles FC
3W 3D 3L · away
2.3
gls/g
1.4
1.5
Conceded
1.1
40%
Win %
33%
70%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
78%
70%
O 2.5
56%
50%
O 3.5
22%
70%
BTTS
56%
20%
Clean Sht
44%
10%
Failed to Score
11%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ New York City FC Los Angeles FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0% 9.0% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.3% 12.6% 7.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.9% 8.9% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.7% 4.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

New York City FC New York City FC
D Toronto FC 1–1
W Chicago Fire 3–1
W Columbus Crew 1–2
L Nashville SC 2–1
D New York Red Bulls 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
D Vancouver Whitecaps 1–1
W Sporting Kansas City 4–0
W Real Salt Lake 3–1
W Los Angeles Galaxy 0–3
W Seattle Sounders 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 40%

Playing profile

New York City FC New York City FC
Attack
40
Defence
62
Form
60
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
Attack
44
Defence
65
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
New York City FC
1
Draw
0
Los Angeles FC
8 Feb 2026 Friendlies Clubs 1–1

Eastern Conference

# Team G Pts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 18 40
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 18 38
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 18 30
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 17 29
5 New York City FC New York City FC 18 26
6 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 18 26
7 Charlotte Charlotte 18 25
8 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 18 25
9 DC United DC United 18 23
10 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 18 20
11 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 18 20
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC 18 17
13 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 18 16
14 CF Montreal CF Montreal 18 16
15 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 18 12

What's at stake · Eastern Conference

Top 2 advance to the next round

New York City FC Los Angeles FC
Current #5 #1
→ New York City FC #5 #1
→ Draw #5 #1
→ Los Angeles FC #5 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC?
The model gives New York City FC a 38% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 28% for an Los Angeles FC win.
How many goals are expected in New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC?
Expected goals: New York City FC 1.4, Los Angeles FC 1.1 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.6%.