MLS
· Regular Season - 30
October 18, 2026 01:30
Andrés Perea
(ast. Nicolás Fernández Mercau)
59'
45'+1
Leo Walta
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Los Angeles FC a 38% win probability (draw 24%, New York City FC 37%). The final result was New York City FC 1–1 Los Angeles FC. In 1 previous meetings, New York City FC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Los Angeles FC.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
3
0.78
Actual xG
0.58
2
Saves
2
66%
Possession
34%
10
Corners
4
13
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
Hannes Wolf
28'
Aiden O'Neill
44'
45'+1
Leo Walta⚽
Agustin Ojeda
54'
58'
Mathieu Choinière
/
Igor Jesus
⚽Andrés Perea
· ast. Nicolás Fernández Mercau
59'
66'
Armindo Sieb
/
Jacob Shaffelburg
66'
Sergi Palencia
/
Ryan Hollingshead
Agustin Ojeda
/ Talles Magno
68'
Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos
/ Bénie Adama Traoré
68'
85'
Sergio Vasquez
/
Marky Delgado
85'
Ryan Porteous
/
Aaron Long
Pre-match prediction
37.38%
New
24.34%
X ←
38.28%
Los
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.34%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.37
0.78
-0.59
1.42
0.58
-0.85
xG dominance was balanced (0.78 – 0.58).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
49
M. Freese
G
M. Freese
G
22
K. O'Toole
D
K. O'Toole
D
6
J. Sands
D
J. Sands
D
13
Thiago Martins
D
Thiago Martins
D
24
T. Gray
D
T. Gray
D
8
A. Perea
1 ⚽
M
A. Perea
1 ⚽
M
21
A. O'Neill
M
A. O'Neill
M
17
H. Wolf
M
H. Wolf
M
7
N. Fernández Mercau
1 👟
M
N. Fernández Mercau
1 👟
M
26
A. Ojeda
68'
M
A. Ojeda
68'
M
20
Luighi Hanri
68'
F
Luighi Hanri
68'
F
Bench
16
A. Martínez
F
A. Martínez
F
9
B. Traoré
22'
F
B. Traoré
22'
F
32
J. Shore
M
J. Shore
M
35
M. Ilenič
D
M. Ilenič
D
88
M. Jones
F
M. Jones
F
3
M. Miazga
D
M. Miazga
D
34
Raul Gustavo
D
Raul Gustavo
D
11
Talles Magno
22'
F
Talles Magno
22'
F
30
T. Romero
G
T. Romero
G
1
H. Lloris
G
H. Lloris
G
23
Y. Cheberko
D
Y. Cheberko
D
91
N. Tafari
D
N. Tafari
D
33
A. Long
85'
D
A. Long
85'
D
24
R. Hollingshead
66'
D
R. Hollingshead
66'
D
6
Igor Jesus
58'
M
Igor Jesus
58'
M
8
M. Delgado
85'
M
M. Delgado
85'
M
18
J. Shaffelburg
66'
M
J. Shaffelburg
66'
M
7
Son Heung-Min
M
Son Heung-Min
M
81
L. Walta
1 ⚽
M
L. Walta
1 ⚽
M
99
D. Bouanga
F
D. Bouanga
F
Bench
9
A. Sieb
24'
F
A. Sieb
24'
F
4
E. Segura
D
E. Segura
D
66
M. Choinière
32'
M
M. Choinière
32'
M
5
R. Porteous
5'
D
R. Porteous
5'
D
21
R. Raposo
M
R. Raposo
M
14
Sergi Palencia
24'
D
Sergi Palencia
24'
D
20
S. Vasquez
5'
M
S. Vasquez
5'
M
19
T. Boyd
F
T. Boyd
F
12
T. Hasal
G
T. Hasal
G
Best on the pitch
N. Fernández Mercau
M · New
7.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 59 pass
L. Walta
M · Los
7.69
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 26 pass
A. Perea
M · New
7.58
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 27 pass
T. Gray
D · New
7.31
2 shots
· 102 pass
Igor Jesus
M · Los
7.15
· 31 pass
K. O'Toole
D · New
7.12
· 73 pass
New York City FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Freese | G | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| K. O'Toole | D | 90 | 7.12 | — | — | 0 | 73 | 64% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Sands | D | 90 | 7.05 | — | — | 0 | 123 | 115% | 0 | — | — |
| Thiago Martins | D | 90 | 6.97 | — | — | 0 | 108 | 101% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Gray | D | 90 | 7.31 | — | — | 2 | 102 | 94% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Perea | M | 90 | 7.58 | 1 | — | 2 | 27 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| A. O'Neill | M | 90 | 6.37 | — | — | 0 | 57 | 50% | 2 | 1 | — |
| H. Wolf | M | 90 | 6.33 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Fernández Mercau | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 59 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Ojeda | M | 68 | 6.48 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 49% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Luighi Hanri | F | 68 | 6.80 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Traoré | F | 22 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| Talles Magno | F | 22 | 6.62 | — | — | 3 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
Los Angeles FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Lloris | G | 90 | 6.14 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Cheberko | D | 90 | 6.66 | — | — | 0 | 51 | 40% | 5 | — | — |
| N. Tafari | D | 90 | 6.85 | — | — | 0 | 50 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Long | D | 85 | 6.85 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Hollingshead | D | 66 | 5.90 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| Igor Jesus | M | 58 | 7.15 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Delgado | M | 85 | 5.98 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Shaffelburg | M | 66 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Son Heung-Min | M | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Walta | M | 90 | 7.69 | 1 | — | 3 | 26 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Bouanga | F | 90 | 6.18 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Sieb | F | 24 | 6.59 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Choinière | M | 32 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Porteous | D | 5 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Sergi Palencia | D | 24 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Vasquez | M | 5 | 5.84 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC?
The final score was New York City FC 1–1 Los Angeles FC.
What did the model predict before New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC?
The model assigned 37% probability to a New York City FC win, 24% to a draw, and 38% to an Los Angeles FC win.