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MLS · Regular Season - 6 April 05, 2026 03:30
New York Red Bulls
#6 · 18 pts
4 – 2
Final score
FC Cincinnati
#8 · 16 pts
J. Hall (ast. C. Cowell) 12'
E. Forsberg 48'
K. Smith 65' (og)
M. Sofo (ast. R. Donkor) 90'
17' (ast. K. Denkey) P. Bucha
73' K. Smith

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York Red Bulls a 42% win probability (draw 28%, FC Cincinnati 29%). The final result was New York Red Bulls 4–2 FC Cincinnati. In 1 previous meetings, New York Red Bulls have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Cincinnati.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
14
6
Shots on target
6
1.80
Actual xG
2.05
4
Saves
3
52%
Possession
48%
2
Corners
6
18
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽J. Hall · ast. C. Cowell
12'
17'
ast. K. Denkey · P. Bucha⚽
37'
Bryan Ramirez
⚽E. Forsberg
48'
Ronald Donkor
57'
⚽K. Smith (og)
65'
67'
T. Anunga / S. Gidi ↕
↕ M. Dos Santos / O. Valencia
70'
↕ C. Cowell / T. Rosborough
70'
73'
K. Smith⚽
75'
T. Hadebe / N. Hagglund ↕
75'
K. Mboma / T. Barlow ↕
75'
A. Powell / K. Smith ↕
80'
Matthew Miazga
↕ J. Ruvalcaba / M. Sofo
80'
↕ A. Mehmeti / N. Benedetti
80'
Omar Valencia
83'
84'
A. Jabbari / M. Miazga ↕
↕ E. Forsberg / E. M. Choupo-Moting
86'
90'+5
Alvas Powell
⚽M. Sofo · ast. R. Donkor
90'
Pre-match prediction
42.63%
New ←
28.32%
X
29.05%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (New York Red Bulls) 42.63% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
New
2.51
1.80
-0.71
FC
1.39
2.05
+0.66
xG dominance was balanced (1.80 – 2.05). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 12 29
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 12 27
2 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 13 29
2 Inter Miami Inter Miami 13 25
3 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 11 24
3 New England Revolution New England Revolution 12 22
4 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 12 20
4 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 12 22
5 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 13 21
5 New York City FC New York City FC 13 18
6 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 13 21
6 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 13 18
7 DC United DC United 13 16
7 FC Dallas FC Dallas 13 19
8 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 12 18
8 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 13 16
9 Charlotte Charlotte 13 15
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 13 16
10 San Diego San Diego 13 16
10 Toronto FC Toronto FC 12 14
11 CF Montreal CF Montreal 12 13
11 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 13 16
12 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 13 13
12 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 12 14
13 Austin Austin 13 14
13 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 13 12
14 St. Louis City St. Louis City 12 12
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 12 10
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 12 8
15 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 13 6
Lineups
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
34
G 6.90
3 Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty D 6.70
12 Dylan Nealis Dylan Nealis D 6.70
6 Robert Voloder Robert Voloder D 6.90
56 Matthew Dos Santos Matthew Dos Santos 70' D 6.20
15 Adri Mehmeti Adri Mehmeti 80' M 7.60
10 Emil Forsberg Emil Forsberg 1 ⚽ 86' M 8.30
48 Ronald Donkor Ronald Donkor 1 👟 M 8.30
7 Cade Cowell Cade Cowell 1 👟 70' F 8.20
16 Julian Hall Julian Hall 1 ⚽ F 6.30
11 Jorge Ruvalcaba Jorge Ruvalcaba 80' F 7.00
Bench
13
E. M. Choupo-Moting 12' F 6.60
37 Mohammed Sofo Mohammed Sofo 1 ⚽ 10' F 7.60
5 Omar Valencia Omar Valencia 20' D 6.70
79 Rafael Mosquera Rafael Mosquera F
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 4-4-2
13
G 6.50
29 Bryan Ramirez Bryan Ramirez D 6.50
4 Nick Hagglund Nick Hagglund 75' D 6.70
21 Matt Miazga Matt Miazga 84' D 5.90
24 Kyle Smith Kyle Smith 2 ⚽ 75' D 7.20
16 Tom Barlow Tom Barlow 75' M 6.20
11 Samuel Gidi Samuel Gidi 67' M 6.90
20 Pavel Bucha Pavel Bucha 1 ⚽ M 7.50
66 Ender Echenique Ender Echenique M 6.60
10 Evander Evander F 7.20
9 Kévin Denkey Kévin Denkey 1 👟 F 7.20
Bench
2
Alvas Powell 20' D 6.00
88 Andrei Chirila Andrei Chirila D
3 Gilberto Flores Gilberto Flores D
17 Kenji Mboma Dem Kenji Mboma Dem 15' F 6.60
27 Tah Anunga Tah Anunga 23' M 6.90
15
T. Hadebe 15' D 6.30
Best on the pitch
Emil Forsberg
Emil Forsberg
M · New
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 33 pass
Ronald Donkor
Ronald Donkor
M · New
8.30
1 👟
1 shots · 63 pass
Cade Cowell
Cade Cowell
F · New
8.20
1 👟
2 shots · 27 pass
Mohammed Sofo
Mohammed Sofo
F · New
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
Adri Mehmeti
Adri Mehmeti
M · New
7.60
· 87 pass
Pavel Bucha
Pavel Bucha
M · FC
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 45 pass
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 29 22% — — —
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty D 90 6.70 — — 1 66 61% 3 — —
Dylan Nealis D 90 6.70 — — — 64 59% 2 — —
Robert Voloder D 90 6.90 — — — 50 47% 1 — —
Matthew Dos Santos D 70 6.20 — — — 27 21% 1 — —
Adri Mehmeti M 80 7.60 — — — 87 76% 2 — —
Emil Forsberg M 86 8.30 1 — 3 33 25% 1 — —
Ronald Donkor M 90 8.30 — 1 1 63 49% 2 1 —
Cade Cowell F 70 8.20 — 1 2 27 22% 2 — —
Julian Hall F 90 6.30 1 — 2 14 12% — — —
Jorge Ruvalcaba F 80 7.00 — — 2 15 14% 2 — —
E. M. Choupo-Moting F 12 6.60 — — — 1 1% — — —
Mohammed Sofo F 10 7.60 1 — 1 5 4% 2 — —
Omar Valencia D 20 6.70 — — — 14 11% — 1 —
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.50 — — — 37 20% — — —
Bryan Ramirez D 90 6.50 — — — 53 50% 4 1 —
Nick Hagglund D 75 6.70 — — 2 40 36% — — —
Matt Miazga D 84 5.90 — — — 44 35% — 1 —
Kyle Smith D 75 7.20 2 — 1 36 27% 3 — —
Tom Barlow M 75 6.20 — — 1 25 21% 1 — —
Samuel Gidi M 67 6.90 — — — 29 24% 1 — —
Pavel Bucha M 90 7.50 1 — 1 45 37% 1 — —
Ender Echenique M 90 6.60 — — 2 26 22% 1 — —
Evander F 90 7.20 — — 3 38 32% 1 — —
Kévin Denkey F 90 7.20 — 1 3 32 25% 3 — —
Alvas Powell D 20 6.00 — — — 13 9% 1 — 1
Kenji Mboma Dem F 15 6.60 — — 1 10 8% 2 — —
Tah Anunga M 23 6.90 — — — 25 22% 3 — —
T. Hadebe D 15 6.30 — — — 14 14% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati?
The final score was New York Red Bulls 4–2 FC Cincinnati.
What did the model predict before New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati?
The model assigned 42% probability to a New York Red Bulls win, 28% to a draw, and 29% to an FC Cincinnati win.