MLS
· Regular Season - 6
April 05, 2026 03:30
J. Hall
(ast. C. Cowell)
12'
E. Forsberg
48'
K. Smith
65'
(og)
M. Sofo
(ast. R. Donkor)
90'
17'
(ast. K. Denkey)
P. Bucha
73'
K. Smith
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York Red Bulls a 42% win probability (draw 28%, FC Cincinnati 29%). The final result was New York Red Bulls 4–2 FC Cincinnati. In 1 previous meetings, New York Red Bulls have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Cincinnati.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
14
6
Shots on target
6
1.80
Actual xG
2.05
4
Saves
3
52%
Possession
48%
2
Corners
6
18
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽J. Hall
· ast. C. Cowell
12'
17'
ast. K. Denkey ·
P. Bucha⚽
37'
Bryan Ramirez
⚽E. Forsberg
48'
Ronald Donkor
57'
⚽K. Smith
(og)
65'
67'
T. Anunga
/
S. Gidi
M. Dos Santos
/ O. Valencia
70'
C. Cowell
/ T. Rosborough
70'
73'
K. Smith⚽
75'
T. Hadebe
/
N. Hagglund
75'
K. Mboma
/
T. Barlow
75'
A. Powell
/
K. Smith
80'
Matthew Miazga
J. Ruvalcaba
/ M. Sofo
80'
A. Mehmeti
/ N. Benedetti
80'
Omar Valencia
83'
84'
A. Jabbari
/
M. Miazga
E. Forsberg
/ E. M. Choupo-Moting
86'
90'+5
Alvas Powell
⚽M. Sofo
· ast. R. Donkor
90'
Pre-match prediction
42.63%
New ←
28.32%
X
29.05%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (New York Red Bulls)
42.63%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.51
1.80
-0.71
1.39
2.05
+0.66
xG dominance was balanced (1.80 – 2.05).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
34
G
3
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
D
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty
D
12
Dylan Nealis
D
Dylan Nealis
D
6
Robert Voloder
D
Robert Voloder
D
56
Matthew Dos Santos
70'
D
Matthew Dos Santos
70'
D
15
Adri Mehmeti
80'
M
Adri Mehmeti
80'
M
10
Emil Forsberg
1 ⚽
86'
M
Emil Forsberg
1 ⚽
86'
M
48
Ronald Donkor
1 👟
M
Ronald Donkor
1 👟
M
7
Cade Cowell
1 👟
70'
F
Cade Cowell
1 👟
70'
F
16
J. Hall
1 ⚽
F
J. Hall
1 ⚽
F
11
J. Ruvalcaba
80'
F
J. Ruvalcaba
80'
F
Bench
13
E. M. Choupo-Moting
12'
F
37
Mohammed Sofo
1 ⚽
10'
F
Mohammed Sofo
1 ⚽
10'
F
5
Omar Valencia
20'
D
Omar Valencia
20'
D
79
Rafael Mosquera
F
Rafael Mosquera
F
13
G
29
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
D
Bryan Josías Ramírez León
D
4
Nick Hagglund
75'
D
Nick Hagglund
75'
D
21
Matt Miazga
84'
D
Matt Miazga
84'
D
24
K. Smith
2 ⚽
75'
D
K. Smith
2 ⚽
75'
D
16
T. Barlow
75'
M
T. Barlow
75'
M
11
Samuel Gidi
67'
M
Samuel Gidi
67'
M
20
Pavel Bucha
1 ⚽
M
66
Ender Echenique
M
10
Evander
F
Evander
F
9
K. Denkey
1 👟
F
K. Denkey
1 👟
F
Bench
2
Alvas Powell
20'
D
88
Andrei Chirila
D
Andrei Chirila
D
27
B. Anunga
23'
M
B. Anunga
23'
M
3
Gilberto Flores
D
Gilberto Flores
D
17
K. Mboma Dem
15'
F
K. Mboma Dem
15'
F
15
T. Hadebe
15'
D
Best on the pitch
Emil Forsberg
M · New
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 33 pass
Ronald Donkor
M · New
8.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 63 pass
Cade Cowell
F · New
8.20
1 👟
2 shots
· 27 pass
Mohammed Sofo
F · New
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
Adri Mehmeti
M · New
7.60
· 87 pass
Pavel Bucha
M · FC
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 45 pass
New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 61% | 3 | — | — |
| Dylan Nealis | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 64 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| Robert Voloder | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Matthew Dos Santos | D | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Adri Mehmeti | M | 80 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 87 | 76% | 2 | — | — |
| Emil Forsberg | M | 86 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 33 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Ronald Donkor | M | 90 | 8.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 63 | 49% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Cade Cowell | F | 70 | 8.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 27 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Hall | F | 90 | 6.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Ruvalcaba | F | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| E. M. Choupo-Moting | F | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Sofo | F | 10 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Omar Valencia | D | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
FC Cincinnati — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Bryan Josías Ramírez León | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 53 | 50% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Nick Hagglund | D | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Matt Miazga | D | 84 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| K. Smith | D | 75 | 7.20 | 2 | — | 1 | 36 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Barlow | M | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Samuel Gidi | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Pavel Bucha | M | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 45 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Ender Echenique | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Evander | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 38 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Denkey | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 3 | 32 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| Alvas Powell | D | 20 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | 1 |
| B. Anunga | M | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Mboma Dem | F | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Hadebe | D | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati?
The final score was New York Red Bulls 4–2 FC Cincinnati.
What did the model predict before New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati?
The model assigned 42% probability to a New York Red Bulls win, 28% to a draw, and 29% to an FC Cincinnati win.