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MLS · Regular Season - 6 April 05, 2026 01:30
New York Red Bulls
#8 · 33 pts
4 – 2
Final score
FC Cincinnati
#10 · 33 pts
J. Hall (ast. C. Cowell) 12'
E. Forsberg 48'
K. Smith 65' (og)
M. Sofo (ast. R. Donkor) 90'
17' (ast. K. Denkey) P. Bucha
73' K. Smith
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave New York Red Bulls a 42% win probability (draw 28%, FC Cincinnati 29%). The final result was New York Red Bulls 4–2 FC Cincinnati. In 1 previous meetings, New York Red Bulls have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Cincinnati.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
14
6
Shots on target
6
1.80
Actual xG
2.05
4
Saves
3
52%
Possession
48%
2
Corners
6
18
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽J. Hall · ast. C. Cowell
12'
17'
ast. K. Denkey · P. Bucha⚽
37'
Bryan Ramirez
⚽E. Forsberg
48'
Ronald Donkor
57'
⚽K. Smith (og)
65'
67'
T. Anunga / S. Gidi ↕
↕ M. Dos Santos / O. Valencia
70'
↕ C. Cowell / T. Rosborough
70'
73'
K. Smith⚽
75'
T. Hadebe / N. Hagglund ↕
75'
K. Mboma / T. Barlow ↕
75'
A. Powell / K. Smith ↕
80'
Matthew Miazga
↕ J. Ruvalcaba / M. Sofo
80'
↕ A. Mehmeti / N. Benedetti
80'
Omar Valencia
83'
84'
A. Jabbari / M. Miazga ↕
↕ E. Forsberg / E. M. Choupo-Moting
86'
90'+5
Alvas Powell
⚽M. Sofo · ast. R. Donkor
90'
Pre-match prediction
42.63%
New ←
28.32%
X
29.05%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (New York Red Bulls) 42.63% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
New
2.51
1.80
-0.71
FC
1.39
2.05
+0.66
xG dominance was balanced (1.80 – 2.05). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Nashville SC Nashville SC 27 60
2 New England Revolution New England Revolution 27 46
3 Inter Miami Inter Miami 27 46
4 Charlotte Charlotte 27 43
5 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 26 42
6 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 27 39
7 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 27 34
8 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 27 33
9 New York City FC New York City FC 27 33
10 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 26 33
11 DC United DC United 26 30
12 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 27 29
13 Toronto FC Toronto FC 27 29
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 27 27
15 CF Montreal CF Montreal 27 24
Lineups
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
34
G 6.90
3 J. Marshall-Rutty J. Marshall-Rutty D 6.70
12 D. Nealis D. Nealis D 6.70
6 R. Voloder R. Voloder D 6.90
56 Matthew Dos Santos Matthew Dos Santos 70' D 6.20
15 Adri Mehmeti Adri Mehmeti 80' M 7.60
10 E. Forsberg E. Forsberg 1 ⚽ 86' M 8.30
48 R. Donkor R. Donkor 1 👟 M 8.30
7 C. Cowell C. Cowell 1 👟 70' F 8.20
16 J. Hall J. Hall 1 ⚽ F 6.30
11 J. Ruvalcaba J. Ruvalcaba 80' F 7.00
Bench
13 E. Choupo-Moting E. Choupo-Moting 12' F 6.60
37 M. Sofo M. Sofo 1 ⚽ 10' F 7.60
5 Omar Valencia Omar Valencia 20' D 6.70
79 Rafael Mosquera Rafael Mosquera F
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 4-4-2
13
G 6.50
29 Bryan Josías Ramírez León Bryan Josías Ramírez León D 6.50
4 N. Hagglund N. Hagglund 75' D 6.70
21 M. Miazga M. Miazga 84' D 5.90
24 K. Smith K. Smith 2 ⚽ 75' D 7.20
16 T. Barlow T. Barlow 75' M 6.20
11 S. Gidi S. Gidi 67' M 6.90
20 P. Bucha P. Bucha 1 ⚽ M 7.50
66 E. Echenique E. Echenique M 6.60
10 Evander Evander F 7.20
9 K. Denkey K. Denkey 1 👟 F 7.20
Bench
88 Andrei Chirila Andrei Chirila D
2 A. Powell A. Powell 20' D 6.00
27 B. Anunga B. Anunga 23' M 6.90
3 Gilberto Flores Gilberto Flores D
17 K. Mboma Dem K. Mboma Dem 15' F 6.60
15 T. Hadebe T. Hadebe 15' D 6.30
Best on the pitch
E. Forsberg
E. Forsberg
M · New
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 33 pass
R. Donkor
R. Donkor
M · New
8.30
1 👟
1 shots · 63 pass
C. Cowell
C. Cowell
F · New
8.20
1 👟
2 shots · 27 pass
M. Sofo
M. Sofo
F · New
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
Adri Mehmeti
Adri Mehmeti
M · New
7.60
· 87 pass
P. Bucha
P. Bucha
M · FC
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 45 pass
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 29 22% — — —
J. Marshall-Rutty D 90 6.70 — — 1 66 61% 3 — —
D. Nealis D 90 6.70 — — — 64 59% 2 — —
R. Voloder D 90 6.90 — — — 50 47% 1 — —
Matthew Dos Santos D 70 6.20 — — — 27 21% 1 — —
Adri Mehmeti M 80 7.60 — — — 87 76% 2 — —
E. Forsberg M 86 8.30 1 — 3 33 25% 1 — —
R. Donkor M 90 8.30 — 1 1 63 49% 2 1 —
C. Cowell F 70 8.20 — 1 2 27 22% 2 — —
J. Hall F 90 6.30 1 — 2 14 12% — — —
J. Ruvalcaba F 80 7.00 — — 2 15 14% 2 — —
E. Choupo-Moting F 12 6.60 — — — 1 1% — — —
M. Sofo F 10 7.60 1 — 1 5 4% 2 — —
Omar Valencia D 20 6.70 — — — 14 11% — 1 —
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.50 — — — 37 20% — — —
Bryan Josías Ramírez León D 90 6.50 — — — 53 50% 4 1 —
N. Hagglund D 75 6.70 — — 2 40 36% — — —
M. Miazga D 84 5.90 — — — 44 35% — 1 —
K. Smith D 75 7.20 2 — 1 36 27% 3 — —
T. Barlow M 75 6.20 — — 1 25 21% 1 — —
S. Gidi M 67 6.90 — — — 29 24% 1 — —
P. Bucha M 90 7.50 1 — 1 45 37% 1 — —
E. Echenique M 90 6.60 — — 2 26 22% 1 — —
Evander F 90 7.20 — — 3 38 32% 1 — —
K. Denkey F 90 7.20 — 1 3 32 25% 3 — —
A. Powell D 20 6.00 — — — 13 9% 1 — 1
B. Anunga M 23 6.90 — — — 25 22% 3 — —
K. Mboma Dem F 15 6.60 — — 1 10 8% 2 — —
T. Hadebe D 15 6.30 — — — 14 14% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati?
The final score was New York Red Bulls 4–2 FC Cincinnati.
What did the model predict before New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati?
The model assigned 42% probability to a New York Red Bulls win, 28% to a draw, and 29% to an FC Cincinnati win.