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NK Domzale - Celje

1. SNL May 09, 2026 17:00
#10 · 12 pts
vs
#1 · 71 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌤️ Mainly clear 23.5°C 💨 12 km/h · Domžale
⚡ Pre-match analysis
8.35%
Win
NK Domzale
10.12%
Draw
81.53%
Win
Celje
0.87
Expected xG
3.43
Model prediction
Celje
81.53%
Probability
91.7%
1X2 accuracy · 12 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Celje a 81% win probability, against 10% for a draw and 8% for NK Domzale. Expected goals are 0.9 for NK Domzale and 3.4 for Celje (total 4.3), with a 86% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–3 at 9.2% probability. In 2 previous meetings, NK Domzale have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Celje.

Score Matrix
↕ NK Domzale Celje →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.4% 4.7% 8.0% 9.2% 7.9% 5.4%
1 1.2% 4.1% 6.9% 7.9% 6.8% 4.7%
2 0.5% 1.8% 3.0% 3.4% 2.9% 2.0%
3 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5
Recent form
L Koper 2–1
W Bravo 1–0
L Celje 0–2
L Aluminij 3–1
D Mura 3–3
L Bravo 2–3
W Aluminij 5–0
W Mura 0–2
W Olimpija Ljubljana 2–0
W Radomlje 1–3
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 31%
Playing profile
NK Domzale NK Domzale
Attack
28
Defence
54
Form
36
Celje Celje
Attack
60
Defence
83
Form
76
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Celje Celje 32 71
2 Koper Koper 33 64
3 Bravo Bravo 33 59
4 Maribor Maribor 31 50
5 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 31 49
6 Radomlje Radomlje 32 42
7 Aluminij Aluminij 32 35
8 Mura Mura 32 28
9 Primorje Primorje 32 21
10 NK Domzale NK Domzale 18 12
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win NK Domzale vs Celje?
The model gives NK Domzale a 8% win probability, 10% for a draw, and 81% for an Celje win.
How many goals are expected in NK Domzale vs Celje?
Expected goals: NK Domzale 0.9, Celje 3.4 (total 4.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 86%.
What is the most likely score in NK Domzale vs Celje?
0–3 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.2%.