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NK Domzale - Celje

1. SNL May 09, 2026 17:00 Športni Park, Domžale
NK Domzale
vs
Celje
#4 · 5 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌤️ Mainly clear 23.5°C 💨 12 km/h · Domžale
⚡ Pre-match analysis
8.35%
Win
NK Domzale
10.12%
Draw
81.53%
Win
Celje
0.87
Expected xG
3.43
Most likely outcome
Celje
81.53%
Probability
75.0%
1X2 accuracy · 4 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–3 (9.2%)
1X2 Result
1 8%
X 10%
2 82%
Double Chance
1X 19%
X2 92%
12 90%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 78%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Celje a 81% win probability, against 10% for a draw and 8% for NK Domzale. Expected goals are 0.9 for NK Domzale and 3.4 for Celje (total 4.3), with a 86% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–3 at 9.2% probability. In 2 previous meetings, NK Domzale have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Celje.

Season Stats

NK Domzale
3W 3D 9L
Celje
10W 1D 4L
Averages per game
0.9
Goals
2.5
2.1
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
67%
60%
BTTS
60%
13%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in 1. SNL. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
32%
O 3.5
53%
BTTS
NK Domzale
2W 2D 5L · at home
Celje
5W 1D 4L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.7
1.8
Conceded
1.2
22%
Win %
50%
44%
Win or Draw
60%
78%
O 1.5
80%
44%
O 2.5
60%
33%
O 3.5
30%
56%
BTTS
50%
22%
Clean Sht
40%
22%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ NK Domzale Celje →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.4% 4.7% 8.0% 9.2% 7.9% 5.4%
1 1.2% 4.1% 6.9% 7.9% 6.8% 4.7%
2 0.5% 1.8% 3.0% 3.4% 2.9% 2.0%
3 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6%
4 — 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

NK Domzale NK Domzale
L Koper 2–1
W Bravo 1–0
L Celje 0–2
L Aluminij 3–1
D Mura 3–3
Celje Celje
W Olimpija Ljubljana 1–0
D Maribor 1–1
D Mura 2–2
W Primorje 0–4
L Koper 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 35%

Playing profile

NK Domzale NK Domzale
Attack
28
Defence
54
Form
35
Celje Celje
Attack
35
Defence
47
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
NK Domzale
0
Draw
2
Celje
22 Nov 2025 1. SNL 0–2
31 Aug 2025 1. SNL 1–4

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Maribor Maribor 4 8
2 Nafta Nafta 4 7
3 Bravo Bravo 4 7
4 Celje Celje 3 5
5 Koper Koper 4 5
6 Brinje-Grosuplje Brinje-Grosuplje 4 5
7 Mura Mura 3 4
8 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 4 3
9 Aluminij Aluminij 3 2
10 Radomlje Radomlje 3 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win NK Domzale vs Celje?
The model gives NK Domzale a 8% win probability, 10% for a draw, and 81% for an Celje win.
How many goals are expected in NK Domzale vs Celje?
Expected goals: NK Domzale 0.9, Celje 3.4 (total 4.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 86%.
What is the most likely score in NK Domzale vs Celje?
0–3 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.2%.