← HNL
HNL · Regular Season - 34 May 10, 2026 16:00
#9 · 32 pts
0 – 1
Final score
#5 · 42 pts
45' (ast. E. Frederiksen) S. Prevljak

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NK Osijek a 40% win probability (draw 33%, Istra 1961 26%). The final result was NK Osijek 0–1 Istra 1961. In 3 previous meetings, NK Osijek have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Istra 1961.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
2
0.66
Actual xG
0.58
1
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
1
Corners
4
23
Tackles
19
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
I. Baric
13'
I. Kolarik
16'
45'
ast. E. Frederiksen · S. Prevljak
M. Jovicic / D. Bukvic
46'
I. Kolarik / L. Vrbancic
46'
N. Farkas / E. Hasic
46'
60'
D. Ahmeti / E. Frederiksen
60'
A. Kadusic / R. Hrvatin
I. Baric / A. Jakupovic
61'
A. Jakupovic
61'
B. Barisic
67'
B. Barisic / S. Akere
70'
72'
A. Mauric / V. Rozic
74'
D. Ahmeti
75'
S. Miettinen
84'
N. Sepic / M. Heister
88'
A. Mauric
90'+2
R. Kumar
Pre-match prediction
40.11%
NK
33.84%
X
26.05%
Istra ←
we assigned to the actual result (Istra 1961) 26.05% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
NK
0.89
0.66
-0.23
Istra
0.65
0.58
-0.07
xG dominance was balanced (0.66 – 0.58). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 34 82
2 HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split 34 64
3 HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka 34 49
4 NK Varazdin NK Varazdin 34 48
5 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 34 42
6 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 34 42
7 NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo 34 41
8 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 34 38
9 NK Osijek NK Osijek 34 32
10 Vukovar Vukovar 34 28
Lineups
NK Osijek NK Osijek 3-4-1-2
1 Nikola Ćurčija Nikola Ćurčija 85' G 6.00
3 Borna Barišić Borna Barišić 70' D 6.30
26 Luka Jelenić Luka Jelenić 85' D 7.20
49 Ivano Kolarik Ivano Kolarik 45' D 6.20
22 Roko Jurišić Roko Jurišić 85' M 7.00
16 Oleksandr Petrusenko Oleksandr Petrusenko 85' M 6.90
21 Vladan Bubanja Vladan Bubanja 85' F 6.60
98 Miloš Jovičić Miloš Jovičić 45' M 6.50
18 Niko Farkaš Niko Farkaš 45' M 6.90
11 Nail Omerović Nail Omerović 85' F 7.00
46 Ivan Barić Ivan Barić 61' F 6.70
Bench
17 Arnel Jakupović Arnel Jakupović 24' F 6.30
38 David Čolina David Čolina D
39 Domagoj Bukvić Domagoj Bukvić 40' F 7.00
33 Emin Hasić Emin Hasić 40' D 6.30
29 Fran Karačić Fran Karačić D
48 Jona Ježić Jona Ježić M
5 Jon Mersinaj Jon Mersinaj D
23 Luka Vrbančić Luka Vrbančić 40' M 7.30
31 Marko Malenica Marko Malenica G
12 Matej Grahovac Matej Grahovac G
57 Samuel Akere Samuel Akere 15' M 6.60
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 3-4-3
1 Franko Kolić Franko Kolić 85' G 6.90
16 Samuli Miettinen Samuli Miettinen 85' D 6.60
38 Raul Kumar Raul Kumar 85' D 6.90
24 Filip Taraba Filip Taraba 85' D 6.90
26 M. Heister M. Heister 84' M 6.70
10 S. Lončar S. Lončar 85' M 6.90
5 Josip Radošević Josip Radošević 85' M 7.70
44 Rene Hrvatin Rene Hrvatin 60' M 6.20
7 Vinko Rozić Vinko Rozić 72' F 6.30
9 S. Prevljak S. Prevljak 1 ⚽ 85' F 7.70
17 E. Frederiksen E. Frederiksen 1 👟 60' F 6.20
Bench
97 Advan Kadušić Advan Kadušić 25' D 6.70
29 Allen Obando Allen Obando F
8 Antonio Maurić Antonio Maurić 13' M 6.20
77 Charles Adah Agada Charles Adah Agada F
20 Dukan Ahmeti Dukan Ahmeti 25' M 6.20
25 Gustavo Albarracín Gustavo Albarracín M
18 Israel Ayuma Israel Ayuma M
40 Jan Paus-Kunšt Jan Paus-Kunšt G
23 Leo Štulac Leo Štulac M
66 Mutari Momoh Mutari Momoh D
13 Niko Šepić Niko Šepić 1' D
11 Silvio Goričan Silvio Goričan F
Best on the pitch
S. Prevljak
S. Prevljak
F · Istra
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
Josip Radošević
Josip Radošević
M · Istra
7.70
· 47 pass
Luka Vrbančić
Luka Vrbančić
M · NK
7.30
· 34 pass
Luka Jelenić
Luka Jelenić
D · NK
7.20
· 46 pass
Domagoj Bukvić
Domagoj Bukvić
F · NK
7.00
2 shots · 10 pass
Roko Jurišić
Roko Jurišić
M · NK
7.00
· 45 pass
NK Osijek NK Osijek — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Nikola Ćurčija G 85 6.00 24 12%
Borna Barišić D 70 6.30 50 45% 1
Luka Jelenić D 85 7.20 46 43% 1
Ivano Kolarik D 45 6.20 32 28% 1
Roko Jurišić M 85 7.00 45 38% 2
Oleksandr Petrusenko M 85 6.90 1 50 43% 5
Vladan Bubanja F 85 6.60 1 28 20% 1
Miloš Jovičić M 45 6.50 19 15%
Niko Farkaš M 45 6.90 19 14% 2
Nail Omerović F 85 7.00 30 26% 3
Ivan Barić F 61 6.70 1 16 13% 2 1
Arnel Jakupović F 24 6.30 7 6% 1
Domagoj Bukvić F 40 7.00 2 10 8% 4
Emin Hasić D 40 6.30 31 28% 1
Luka Vrbančić M 40 7.30 34 27%
Samuel Akere M 15 6.60 2 3 2% 2
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Franko Kolić G 85 6.90 21 13%
Samuli Miettinen D 85 6.60 53 44% 1 1
Raul Kumar D 85 6.90 52 43% 1
Filip Taraba D 85 6.90 40 31% 3
M. Heister M 84 6.70 1 27 20% 3
S. Lončar M 85 6.90 38 34% 1
Josip Radošević M 85 7.70 47 42% 5
Rene Hrvatin M 60 6.20 1 18 8% 2
Vinko Rozić F 72 6.30 12 9% 2
S. Prevljak F 85 7.70 1 2 18 15%
E. Frederiksen F 60 6.20 1 1 24 19%
Advan Kadušić D 25 6.70 4 2% 1
Antonio Maurić M 13 6.20 2 3 1%
Dukan Ahmeti M 25 6.20 2 4 4% 1
Niko Šepić D 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NK Osijek vs Istra 1961?
The final score was NK Osijek 0–1 Istra 1961.
What did the model predict before NK Osijek vs Istra 1961?
The model assigned 40% probability to a NK Osijek win, 33% to a draw, and 26% to an Istra 1961 win.