HNL
· Regular Season - 34
May 10, 2026 16:00
45'
(ast. E. Frederiksen)
S. Prevljak
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave NK Osijek a 40% win probability (draw 33%, Istra 1961 26%). The final result was NK Osijek 0–1 Istra 1961. In 3 previous meetings, NK Osijek have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Istra 1961.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
2
0.66
Actual xG
0.58
1
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
1
Corners
4
23
Tackles
19
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
I. Baric
13'
I. Kolarik
16'
45'
ast. E. Frederiksen ·
S. Prevljak⚽
M. Jovicic
/ D. Bukvic
46'
I. Kolarik
/ L. Vrbancic
46'
N. Farkas
/ E. Hasic
46'
60'
D. Ahmeti
/
E. Frederiksen
60'
A. Kadusic
/
R. Hrvatin
I. Baric
/ A. Jakupovic
61'
A. Jakupovic
61'
B. Barisic
67'
B. Barisic
/ S. Akere
70'
72'
A. Mauric
/
V. Rozic
74'
D. Ahmeti
75'
S. Miettinen
84'
N. Sepic
/
M. Heister
88'
A. Mauric
90'+2
R. Kumar
Pre-match prediction
40.11%
NK
33.84%
X
26.05%
Istra ←
we assigned to the actual result (Istra 1961)
26.05%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.89
0.66
-0.23
0.65
0.58
-0.07
xG dominance was balanced (0.66 – 0.58).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Nikola Ćurčija
85'
G
Nikola Ćurčija
85'
G
3
Borna Barišić
70'
D
Borna Barišić
70'
D
26
Luka Jelenić
85'
D
Luka Jelenić
85'
D
49
Ivano Kolarik
45'
D
Ivano Kolarik
45'
D
22
Roko Jurišić
85'
M
Roko Jurišić
85'
M
16
Oleksandr Petrusenko
85'
M
Oleksandr Petrusenko
85'
M
21
Vladan Bubanja
85'
F
Vladan Bubanja
85'
F
98
Miloš Jovičić
45'
M
Miloš Jovičić
45'
M
18
Niko Farkaš
45'
M
Niko Farkaš
45'
M
11
Nail Omerović
85'
F
Nail Omerović
85'
F
46
Ivan Barić
61'
F
Ivan Barić
61'
F
Bench
17
Arnel Jakupović
24'
F
Arnel Jakupović
24'
F
38
David Čolina
D
David Čolina
D
39
Domagoj Bukvić
40'
F
Domagoj Bukvić
40'
F
33
Emin Hasić
40'
D
Emin Hasić
40'
D
29
Fran Karačić
D
Fran Karačić
D
48
Jona Ježić
M
Jona Ježić
M
5
Jon Mersinaj
D
Jon Mersinaj
D
23
Luka Vrbančić
40'
M
Luka Vrbančić
40'
M
31
Marko Malenica
G
Marko Malenica
G
12
Matej Grahovac
G
Matej Grahovac
G
57
Samuel Akere
15'
M
Samuel Akere
15'
M
1
Franko Kolić
85'
G
Franko Kolić
85'
G
16
Samuli Miettinen
85'
D
Samuli Miettinen
85'
D
38
Raul Kumar
85'
D
Raul Kumar
85'
D
24
Filip Taraba
85'
D
Filip Taraba
85'
D
26
M. Heister
84'
M
M. Heister
84'
M
10
S. Lončar
85'
M
S. Lončar
85'
M
5
Josip Radošević
85'
M
Josip Radošević
85'
M
44
Rene Hrvatin
60'
M
Rene Hrvatin
60'
M
7
Vinko Rozić
72'
F
Vinko Rozić
72'
F
9
S. Prevljak
1 ⚽
85'
F
S. Prevljak
1 ⚽
85'
F
17
E. Frederiksen
1 👟
60'
F
E. Frederiksen
1 👟
60'
F
Bench
97
Advan Kadušić
25'
D
Advan Kadušić
25'
D
29
Allen Obando
F
Allen Obando
F
8
Antonio Maurić
13'
M
Antonio Maurić
13'
M
77
Charles Adah Agada
F
Charles Adah Agada
F
20
Dukan Ahmeti
25'
M
Dukan Ahmeti
25'
M
25
Gustavo Albarracín
M
Gustavo Albarracín
M
18
Israel Ayuma
M
Israel Ayuma
M
40
Jan Paus-Kunšt
G
Jan Paus-Kunšt
G
23
Leo Štulac
M
Leo Štulac
M
66
Mutari Momoh
D
Mutari Momoh
D
13
Niko Šepić
1'
D
Niko Šepić
1'
D
11
Silvio Goričan
F
Silvio Goričan
F
Best on the pitch
S. Prevljak
F · Istra
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
Josip Radošević
M · Istra
7.70
· 47 pass
Luka Vrbančić
M · NK
7.30
· 34 pass
Luka Jelenić
D · NK
7.20
· 46 pass
Domagoj Bukvić
F · NK
7.00
2 shots
· 10 pass
Roko Jurišić
M · NK
7.00
· 45 pass
NK Osijek — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Ćurčija | G | 85 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Borna Barišić | D | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | — | 1 | — |
| Luka Jelenić | D | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Ivano Kolarik | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| Roko Jurišić | M | 85 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 45 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Oleksandr Petrusenko | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 43% | 5 | — | — |
| Vladan Bubanja | F | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Miloš Jovičić | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Niko Farkaš | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Nail Omerović | F | 85 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Ivan Barić | F | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Arnel Jakupović | F | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Domagoj Bukvić | F | 40 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 8% | 4 | — | — |
| Emin Hasić | D | 40 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Luka Vrbančić | M | 40 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Akere | M | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
Istra 1961 — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franko Kolić | G | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Samuli Miettinen | D | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 53 | 44% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Raul Kumar | D | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Filip Taraba | D | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Heister | M | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Lončar | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Josip Radošević | M | 85 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 47 | 42% | 5 | — | — |
| Rene Hrvatin | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Vinko Rozić | F | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Prevljak | F | 85 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| E. Frederiksen | F | 60 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Advan Kadušić | D | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Antonio Maurić | M | 13 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Dukan Ahmeti | M | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Niko Šepić | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of NK Osijek vs Istra 1961?
The final score was NK Osijek 0–1 Istra 1961.
What did the model predict before NK Osijek vs Istra 1961?
The model assigned 40% probability to a NK Osijek win, 33% to a draw, and 26% to an Istra 1961 win.