← League One
League One · Regular Season - 46 May 02, 2026 16:00
Northampton
#24 · 35 pts
2 – 3
Final score
Plymouth
#8 · 73 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Plymouth
E. List (ast. M. Jacobs) 13'
M. Jacobs (ast. N. Guinness-Walker) 18'
28' (ast. J. Edwards) L. Tolaj
40' (ast. L. Tolaj) M. Boateng
74' (ast. X. Amaechi) B. Wiredu

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Plymouth a 77% win probability (draw 12%, Northampton 9%). The final result was Northampton 2–3 Plymouth. In 1 previous meetings, Northampton have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Plymouth.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
18
4
Shots on target
10
6
Saves
2
49%
Possession
51%
2
Corners
8
13
Tackles
17
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽E. List · ast. M. Jacobs
13'
⚽M. Jacobs · ast. N. Guinness-Walker
18'
28'
ast. J. Edwards · L. Tolaj⚽
34'
O. Dale
40'
ast. L. Tolaj · M. Boateng⚽
C. McCarthy
45'+1
55'
B. Wiredu / C. Watts ↕
55'
X. Amaechi / O. Dale ↕
59'
M. Ross
C. McCarthy
62'
C. McCarthy
62'
↕ N. Guinness-Walker / S. Hoskins
63'
E. List
64'
66'
M. Boateng
69'
J. Pleguezuelo / J. Edwards ↕
70'
J. MacKenzie / M. Ross ↕
↕ E. List / K. Swyer
70'
74'
ast. X. Amaechi · B. Wiredu⚽
79'
R. Curtis
J. Evans
84'
↕ M. Jacobs / J. Vale
85'
↕ J. Evans / N. Dobson
85'
↕ K. McAdam / D. Campbell
85'
87'
M. Sorinola / R. Curtis ↕
Pre-match prediction
9.84%
Northampton
12.57%
X
77.59%
Plymouth ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Plymouth) 77.59% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Northampton
0.58
—
—
Plymouth
2.77
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lincoln Lincoln 46 103
2 Cardiff Cardiff 46 91
3 Stockport County Stockport County 46 77
4 Bradford Bradford 46 77
5 Bolton Bolton 46 75
6 Stevenage Stevenage 46 75
7 Luton Luton 46 74
8 Plymouth Plymouth 46 73
9 Huddersfield Huddersfield 46 67
10 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 46 65
11 Wycombe Wycombe 46 63
12 Reading Reading 46 63
13 Blackpool Blackpool 46 60
14 Doncaster Doncaster 46 60
15 Barnsley Barnsley 46 59
16 Wigan Wigan 46 56
17 Burton Albion Burton Albion 46 54
18 Peterborough Peterborough 46 53
19 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 46 53
20 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 46 52
21 Exeter City Exeter City 46 49
22 Port Vale Port Vale 46 42
23 Rotherham Rotherham 46 41
24 Northampton Northampton 46 35
Lineups
Northampton Northampton 3-4-2-1
1
G 6.90
35
D 6.50
6
D 6.90
3
C. McCarthy 62' D 5.20
26
K. McAdam 85' M 6.30
23
T. Taylor M 7.20
8
C. McGeehan M 6.50
12
N. Guinness-Walker 1 👟 63' M 6.30
17
M. Jacobs 1 ⚽ 1 👟 85' F 7.90
15
J. Evans 85' F 6.90
10
E. List 1 ⚽ 70' F 7.50
Bench
4
D. Campbell 16' M 6.60
27
J. Vale 16' F 6.30
11
K. Swyer 20' F 6.30
7
S. Hoskins 27' F 6.90
Plymouth Plymouth 4-4-2
21
G 6.50
45
D 6.50
15
A. Mitchell D 6.90
2
M. Ross 70' D 6.20
8
J. Edwards 1 👟 69' D 6.60
35
O. Dale 55' M 6.00
17
C. Watts 55' M 6.60
19 M. Boateng M. Boateng 1 ⚽ M 7.50
28
R. Curtis 87' M 6.30
9 L. Tolaj L. Tolaj 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.60
27 A. Pepple A. Pepple F 5.90
Bench
4
B. Wiredu 1 ⚽ 35' M 7.20
3
J. MacKenzie 20' D 7.20
29 M. Sorinola M. Sorinola 14' D 6.90
Best on the pitch
L. Tolaj
L. Tolaj
F · Plymouth
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 19 pass
M. Jacobs
F · Northampton
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 17 pass
M. Boateng
M. Boateng
M · Plymouth
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 33 pass
E. List
F · Northampton
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 3 pass
J. MacKenzie
D · Plymouth
7.20
· 6 pass
B. Wiredu
M · Plymouth
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 7 pass
Northampton Northampton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 38 9% — — —
D 90 6.50 — — — 33 13% 3 — —
D 90 6.90 — — — 21 10% 1 — —
C. McCarthy D 62 5.20 — — — 7 5% — 2 1
K. McAdam M 85 6.30 — — — 25 12% 1 — —
T. Taylor M 90 7.20 — — — 33 21% 2 — —
C. McGeehan M 90 6.50 — — — 34 26% — — —
N. Guinness-Walker M 63 6.30 — 1 1 10 9% — — —
M. Jacobs F 85 7.90 1 1 1 17 10% 1 — —
J. Evans F 85 6.90 — — — 7 5% 3 1 —
E. List F 70 7.50 1 — 2 3 3% — 1 —
D. Campbell M 16 6.60 — — — 10 9% 2 — —
J. Vale F 16 6.30 — — — 5 3% — — —
K. Swyer F 20 6.30 — — — 7 6% — — —
S. Hoskins F 27 6.90 — — 1 8 6% — — —
Plymouth Plymouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.50 — — — 32 15% — — —
D 90 6.50 — — 1 24 18% — — —
A. Mitchell D 90 6.90 — — 2 17 12% 2 — —
M. Ross D 70 6.20 — — 1 27 14% 2 1 —
J. Edwards D 69 6.60 — 1 3 20 16% 2 — —
O. Dale M 55 6.00 — — 1 9 7% 1 1 —
C. Watts M 55 6.60 — — — 17 9% 2 — —
M. Boateng M 90 7.50 1 — 2 33 24% 3 1 —
R. Curtis M 87 6.30 — — 1 15 8% — 1 —
L. Tolaj F 90 8.60 1 1 4 19 16% 1 — —
A. Pepple F 90 5.90 — — 1 7 2% 1 — —
B. Wiredu M 35 7.20 1 — 2 7 4% — — —
J. MacKenzie D 20 7.20 — — — 6 6% 1 — —
M. Sorinola D 14 6.90 — — — 7 1% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Northampton vs Plymouth?
The final score was Northampton 2–3 Plymouth.
What did the model predict before Northampton vs Plymouth?
The model assigned 9% probability to a Northampton win, 12% to a draw, and 77% to an Plymouth win.