League One
· Regular Season - 46
May 02, 2026 16:00
✓Model correct — prediction Plymouth
E. List
(ast. M. Jacobs)
13'
M. Jacobs
(ast. N. Guinness-Walker)
18'
28'
(ast. J. Edwards)
L. Tolaj
40'
(ast. L. Tolaj)
M. Boateng
74'
(ast. X. Amaechi)
B. Wiredu
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Plymouth a 77% win probability (draw 12%, Northampton 9%). The final result was Northampton 2–3 Plymouth. In 1 previous meetings, Northampton have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Plymouth.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
18
4
Shots on target
10
6
Saves
2
49%
Possession
51%
2
Corners
8
13
Tackles
17
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽E. List
· ast. M. Jacobs
13'
⚽M. Jacobs
· ast. N. Guinness-Walker
18'
28'
ast. J. Edwards ·
L. Tolaj⚽
34'
O. Dale
40'
ast. L. Tolaj ·
M. Boateng⚽
C. McCarthy
45'+1
55'
B. Wiredu
/
C. Watts
55'
X. Amaechi
/
O. Dale
59'
M. Ross
C. McCarthy
62'
C. McCarthy
62'
N. Guinness-Walker
/ S. Hoskins
63'
E. List
64'
66'
M. Boateng
69'
J. Pleguezuelo
/
J. Edwards
70'
J. MacKenzie
/
M. Ross
E. List
/ K. Swyer
70'
74'
ast. X. Amaechi ·
B. Wiredu⚽
79'
R. Curtis
J. Evans
84'
M. Jacobs
/ J. Vale
85'
J. Evans
/ N. Dobson
85'
K. McAdam
/ D. Campbell
85'
87'
M. Sorinola
/
R. Curtis
Pre-match prediction
9.84%
Northampton
12.57%
X
77.59%
Plymouth ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Plymouth)
77.59%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.58
—
—
2.77
—
—
Lineups
1
G
35
D
6
D
3
C. McCarthy
62'
D
26
K. McAdam
85'
M
23
T. Taylor
M
T. Taylor
M
8
C. McGeehan
M
C. McGeehan
M
12
N. Guinness-Walker
1 👟
63'
M
N. Guinness-Walker
1 👟
63'
M
17
M. Jacobs
1 ⚽
1 👟
85'
F
15
J. Evans
85'
F
J. Evans
85'
F
10
Elliot List
1 ⚽
70'
F
Elliot List
1 ⚽
70'
F
Bench
4
Dean Campbell
16'
M
Dean Campbell
16'
M
27
J. Vale
16'
F
11
Kamarai Swyer
20'
F
Kamarai Swyer
20'
F
7
Sam Hoskins
27'
F
Sam Hoskins
27'
F
21
G
45
D
15
A. Mitchell
D
A. Mitchell
D
2
M. Ross
70'
D
M. Ross
70'
D
8
J. Edwards
1 👟
69'
D
J. Edwards
1 👟
69'
D
35
O. Dale
55'
M
17
C. Watts
55'
M
C. Watts
55'
M
19
Malachi Boateng
1 ⚽
M
Malachi Boateng
1 ⚽
M
28
R. Curtis
87'
M
R. Curtis
87'
M
9
L. Tolaj
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
L. Tolaj
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
27
A. Pepple
F
A. Pepple
F
Bench
4
Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu
1 ⚽
35'
M
Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu
1 ⚽
35'
M
3
J. MacKenzie
20'
D
29
M. Sorinola
14'
D
M. Sorinola
14'
D
Best on the pitch
L. Tolaj
F · Plymouth
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots
· 19 pass
M. Jacobs
F · Northampton
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 17 pass
Malachi Boateng
M · Plymouth
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 33 pass
Elliot List
F · Northampton
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 3 pass
J. MacKenzie
D · Plymouth
7.20
· 6 pass
Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu
M · Plymouth
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 7 pass
Northampton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 9% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 13% | 3 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 10% | 1 | — | — | |
| C. McCarthy | D | 62 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | 2 | 1 |
| K. McAdam | M | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Taylor | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| C. McGeehan | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | — | — | — |
| N. Guinness-Walker | M | 63 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| M. Jacobs | F | 85 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Evans | F | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Elliot List | F | 70 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 3 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| Dean Campbell | M | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Vale | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Kamarai Swyer | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Sam Hoskins | F | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
Plymouth — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| A. Mitchell | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Ross | D | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Edwards | D | 69 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 3 | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Dale | M | 55 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Watts | M | 55 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Malachi Boateng | M | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 33 | 24% | 3 | 1 | — |
| R. Curtis | M | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Tolaj | F | 90 | 8.60 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Pepple | F | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu | M | 35 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. MacKenzie | D | 20 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Sorinola | D | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Northampton vs Plymouth?
The final score was Northampton 2–3 Plymouth.
What did the model predict before Northampton vs Plymouth?
The model assigned 9% probability to a Northampton win, 12% to a draw, and 77% to an Plymouth win.