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O'Higgins - Universidad de Concepcion

Primera División May 16, 2026 23:30
O'Higgins
#4 · 19 pts
vs
Universidad de Concepcion
#12 · 14 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 7.8°C 💨 1 km/h · Rancagua
⚡ Pre-match analysis
62.98%
Win
O'Higgins
20.05%
Draw
16.98%
Win
Universidad de Concepcion
2.62
Expected xG
0.76
Model prediction
O'Higgins
62.98%
Probability
60.0%
1X2 accuracy · 5 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives O'Higgins a 62% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Universidad de Concepcion. Expected goals are 2.6 for O'Higgins and 0.8 for Universidad de Concepcion (total 3.4), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 11.6% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ O'Higgins Universidad de Concepcion →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% — —
1 8.9% 6.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% —
2 11.6% 8.9% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% —
3 10.2% 7.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% —
4 6.7% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% —
5 3.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% — —
Recent form
O'Higgins O'Higgins
W Nublense 0–2
W Cobresal 2–3
L Huachipato 0–2
W A. Italiano 2–1
D Union La Calera 3–3
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 51%
Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion
L Colo Colo 1–2
L Deportes Limache 3–0
W Cobresal 1–0
L Huachipato 5–1
W Palestino 1–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 15%
Playing profile
O'Higgins O'Higgins
Attack
45
Defence
60
Form
55
Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion
Attack
25
Defence
54
Form
32
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Colo Colo Colo Colo 11 24
2 Deportes Limache Deportes Limache 11 21
3 Huachipato Huachipato 11 19
4 O'Higgins O'Higgins 11 19
5 U. Catolica U. Catolica 11 17
6 Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile 11 17
7 Nublense Nublense 11 17
8 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 11 16
9 Everton de Vina Everton de Vina 11 15
10 D. La Serena D. La Serena 11 14
11 Palestino Palestino 11 14
12 Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion 11 14
13 A. Italiano A. Italiano 11 11
14 Cobresal Cobresal 11 10
15 Union La Calera Union La Calera 11 10
16 Concepción Concepción 11 8
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win O'Higgins vs Universidad de Concepcion?
The model gives O'Higgins a 62% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 16% for an Universidad de Concepcion win.
How many goals are expected in O'Higgins vs Universidad de Concepcion?
Expected goals: O'Higgins 2.6, Universidad de Concepcion 0.8 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in O'Higgins vs Universidad de Concepcion?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.6%.