✗Model wrong — prediction O'Higgins, result Universidad de Concepcion wins
26'
(ast. A. Urzi)
C. Waterman
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave O'Higgins a 62% win probability (draw 20%, Universidad de Concepcion 16%). The final result was O'Higgins 0–1 Universidad de Concepcion.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
4
8
Shots on target
1
0
Saves
8
58%
Possession
42%
16
Corners
0
13
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
22'
B. Ogaz
26'
ast. A. Urzi ·
C. Waterman⚽
43'
D. Retamal
A. Castillo
61'
J. Leiva
/ T. Vecino
62'
62'
B. Ubal
64'
C. Mesias
/
P. Parra
Pena Jorge
67'
B. Rabello
/ M. Maturana
72'
Martin Sarrafiore
/ B. Yanez
72'
76'
D. Sabando
/
B. Ogaz
76'
A. Uribe
/
A. Urzi
Felipe Ogaz
/ B. Schamine
81'
82'
M. Gonzalez
/
C. Waterman
82'
E. Paez
/
J. Espejo
85'
D. Sabando
N. Garrido
89'
Pre-match prediction
62.97%
O'Higgins
20.11%
X
16.92%
Universidad ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Universidad de Concepcion)
16.92%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.66
—
—
0.74
—
—
Lineups
31
Omar Carabalí
G
Omar Carabalí
G
6
L. Pavez
D
L. Pavez
D
33
Miguel Brizuela
D
Miguel Brizuela
D
21
Nicolás Garrido
D
Nicolás Garrido
D
3
Felipe Faúndez
D
Felipe Faúndez
D
11
J. Leiva
62'
M
J. Leiva
62'
M
8
Felipe Ogaz
81'
M
Felipe Ogaz
81'
M
7
Martín Sarrafiore
72'
M
Martín Sarrafiore
72'
M
10
Bryan Rabello
72'
M
Bryan Rabello
72'
M
24
F. González
M
F. González
M
9
A. Castillo
F
A. Castillo
F
Bench
22
Alan Robledo
D
Alan Robledo
D
29
Bastián Yáñez
18'
F
Bastián Yáñez
18'
F
28
Benjamin Schamine
9'
M
Benjamin Schamine
9'
M
15
B. Rojas
D
B. Rojas
D
1
Jorge Peña
G
Jorge Peña
G
20
Leandro Díaz
D
Leandro Díaz
D
14
Martín Maturana
18'
M
Martín Maturana
18'
M
26
Rodrigo Godoy
F
Rodrigo Godoy
F
32
Thiago Vecino
28'
F
Thiago Vecino
28'
F
13
José Sanhueza
G
José Sanhueza
G
15
Yerco Oyanedel
D
Yerco Oyanedel
D
6
Bastián Ubal
D
Bastián Ubal
D
5
D. Retamal
D
D. Retamal
D
21
J. Espejo
82'
D
J. Espejo
82'
D
8
Facundo Mater
M
Facundo Mater
M
16
Bryan Ogaz
76'
M
Bryan Ogaz
76'
M
14
Pablo Parra
64'
M
Pablo Parra
64'
M
10
Jeison Fuentealba
F
Jeison Fuentealba
F
18
C. Waterman
1 ⚽
82'
F
C. Waterman
1 ⚽
82'
F
7
A. Urzi
1 👟
76'
F
A. Urzi
1 👟
76'
F
Bench
22
Ariel Uribe
14'
M
Ariel Uribe
14'
M
19
C. Mesías
26'
D
C. Mesías
26'
D
29
Diego Antonio Sabando Sanhueza
14'
F
Diego Antonio Sabando Sanhueza
14'
F
2
Esteban Páez
8'
M
Esteban Páez
8'
M
25
Harol Salgado
F
Harol Salgado
F
28
Luca Kmet
F
Luca Kmet
F
17
Moisés González
8'
D
Moisés González
8'
D
4
O. González
D
O. González
D
Best on the pitch
C. Waterman
F · Universidad
8.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
José Sanhueza
G · Universidad
8.30
· 45 pass
Felipe Faúndez
D · O'Higgins
7.60
1 shots
· 40 pass
F. González
M · O'Higgins
7.60
4 shots
· 39 pass
D. Retamal
D · Universidad
7.50
· 37 pass
Bastián Yáñez
F · O'Higgins
7.50
· 7 pass
O'Higgins — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar Carabalí | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| L. Pavez | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 50 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Brizuela | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 50 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Garrido | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 47% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Felipe Faúndez | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Leiva | M | 62 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| Felipe Ogaz | M | 81 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 62 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Martín Sarrafiore | M | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | 5 | 27 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Bryan Rabello | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| F. González | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 4 | 39 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Castillo | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 24 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Bastián Yáñez | F | 18 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Schamine | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Martín Maturana | M | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Thiago Vecino | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Universidad de Concepcion — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Sanhueza | G | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Yerco Oyanedel | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Bastián Ubal | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Retamal | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Espejo | D | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Facundo Mater | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Bryan Ogaz | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Pablo Parra | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Jeison Fuentealba | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | — | — | — |
| C. Waterman | F | 82 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Urzi | F | 76 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Ariel Uribe | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| C. Mesías | D | 26 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Diego Antonio Sabando Sanhueza | F | 14 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Esteban Páez | M | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Moisés González | D | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of O'Higgins vs Universidad de Concepcion?
The final score was O'Higgins 0–1 Universidad de Concepcion.
What did the model predict before O'Higgins vs Universidad de Concepcion?
The model assigned 62% probability to a O'Higgins win, 20% to a draw, and 16% to an Universidad de Concepcion win.