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#15 · 13 pts
1 – 2
Final score
#8 · 42 pts
Model correct — prediction Zorya Luhansk
T. Cara (ast. D. Kremchanin) 77'
(pen.) 55' P. Budkivsky
75' (ast. P. Budkivsky) P. Micin

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Zorya Luhansk a 71% win probability (draw 18%, Oleksandria 10%). The final result was Oleksandria 1–2 Zorya Luhansk. In 1 previous meetings, Oleksandria have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Zorya Luhansk.

Match statistics
4
Shots on target
9
0.94
Actual xG
2.41
39%
Possession
61%
5
Corners
7
Match Events
25'
S. Bah
D. Skorko
30'
45'
Juninho
46'
P. Budkivsky / I. Gorbach
46'
A. Slesar / F. Zadorozhnyi
55'
(pen.) P. Budkivsky
B. Butko / M. Rodrigues
62'
B. Castillo / D. Kremchanin
62'
66'
P. Micin / S. Bah
66'
D. Popara / D. Jelavic
75'
ast. P. Budkivsky · P. Micin
T. Cara · ast. D. Kremchanin
77'
80'
G. Eskinja / J. Basic
S. Buletsa / D. Myshnyov
81'
D. Skorko
85'
D. Skorko
85'
D. Vashchenko / D. Shostak
85'
90'+4
90'+5
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
10.2%
Oleksandria
18.27%
X
71.53%
Zorya ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Zorya Luhansk) 71.53% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Oleksandria
0.53
0.94
+0.41
Zorya
2.46
2.41
-0.05
Zorya Luhansk dominated by xG (2.41 vs 0.94). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 28 69
2 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy 28 57
3 Polessya Polessya 28 55
4 Dynamo Kyiv Dynamo Kyiv 28 51
5 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 28 47
6 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 28 47
7 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 28 46
8 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 28 42
9 Karpaty Karpaty 28 38
10 Veres Rivne Veres Rivne 28 31
11 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 28 30
12 Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar 28 28
13 Kudrivka Kudrivka 28 25
14 Ruh Lviv Ruh Lviv 28 21
15 Oleksandria Oleksandria 28 13
16 SK Poltava SK Poltava 28 12
Lineups
Oleksandria Oleksandria 3-4-3
72
Nazar Makarenko G
50
Jocelin Behiratche D
26
Miguel Campos D
91
Bogdan Butko D
90
Danyil Vlasiuk D
10
Sergiy Anatoliyovych Buletsa M
20
Daniil Vashchenko M
22
Danil Skorko D
37
Papa Ndiaga Yade M
99
Bryan Castillo F
27
Tedi Cara 1 ⚽ M
Bench
11
Artem Shulianskyi M
79
Denys Khmeliovskyi M
71
Denys Shostak M
77
Dmytrii Kremchanin 1 👟 F
40
Dmytro Chernysh M
9
Dmytro Myshnyov M
24
Hussayn Touati M
49
Mateus Amaral M
67
Mauro Rodrigues M
97
Nazar Prokopenko D
1
Viktor Dolhyi G
1
Oleksandr Saputin G
10
Juninho D
21
Jakov Bašić D
55
Anderson Jordan D
23
Navin Malysh M
27
Domagoj Jelavić M
8
Kyrylo Dryshlyuk M
88
Sallieu Bah M
11
Horbach Ihor Volodymyrovych M
17
Fedir Zadorozhnyi F
70
Reynaldiño Verley M
Bench
5
Andrija Janjić D
9
Artem Slesar M
6
Dejan Popara M
4
Gabriel Eskinja D
44
Igor Perduta D
12
Mykyta Turbaievskyi G
22
Petar Mićin 1 ⚽ M
28
Pylyp Budkivskyi 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F
47
Roman Vantukh D
31
Valerii Kosivskyi G
Oleksandria Oleksandria — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Nazar Makarenko G
Jocelin Behiratche D
Miguel Campos D
Bogdan Butko D
Danyil Vlasiuk D
Sergiy Anatoliyovych Buletsa M
Daniil Vashchenko M
Danil Skorko D
Papa Ndiaga Yade M
Bryan Castillo F
Tedi Cara M 1
Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Oleksandr Saputin G
Juninho D
Jakov Bašić D
Anderson Jordan D
Navin Malysh M
Domagoj Jelavić M
Kyrylo Dryshlyuk M
Sallieu Bah M
Horbach Ihor Volodymyrovych M
Fedir Zadorozhnyi F
Reynaldiño Verley M
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Oleksandria vs Zorya Luhansk?
The final score was Oleksandria 1–2 Zorya Luhansk.
What did the model predict before Oleksandria vs Zorya Luhansk?
The model assigned 10% probability to a Oleksandria win, 18% to a draw, and 71% to an Zorya Luhansk win.