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Final score
#8 · 8 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Zorya Luhansk
T. Cara (ast. D. Kremchanin) 77'
(pen.) 55' P. Budkivsky
75' (ast. P. Budkivsky) P. Micin
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Zorya Luhansk a 71% win probability (draw 18%, Oleksandria 10%). The final result was Oleksandria 1–2 Zorya Luhansk. In 1 previous meetings, Oleksandria have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Zorya Luhansk.

Match statistics
4
Shots on target
9
0.94
Actual xG
2.41
39%
Possession
61%
5
Corners
7
Match Events
25'
S. Bah
D. Skorko
30'
45'
Juninho
46'
P. Budkivsky / I. Gorbach ↕
46'
A. Slesar / F. Zadorozhnyi ↕
55'
(pen.) P. Budkivsky⚽
↕ B. Butko / M. Rodrigues
62'
↕ B. Castillo / D. Kremchanin
62'
66'
P. Micin / S. Bah ↕
66'
D. Popara / D. Jelavic ↕
75'
ast. P. Budkivsky · P. Micin⚽
⚽T. Cara · ast. D. Kremchanin
77'
80'
G. Eskinja / J. Basic ↕
↕ S. Buletsa / D. Myshnyov
81'
D. Skorko
85'
D. Skorko
85'
↕ D. Vashchenko / D. Shostak
85'
90'+4
90'+5
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
10.2%
Oleksandria
18.27%
X
71.53%
Zorya ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Zorya Luhansk) 71.53% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Oleksandria
0.53
0.94
+0.41
Zorya
2.46
2.41
-0.05
Zorya Luhansk dominated by xG (2.41 vs 0.94). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Polessya Polessya 7 18
2 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 7 18
3 Karpaty Karpaty 7 14
4 Dynamo Kyiv Dynamo Kyiv 6 13
5 FC Kharkiv FC Kharkiv 6 12
6 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 7 8
7 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy 7 8
8 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 7 8
9 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 6 7
10 Bukovyna Bukovyna 7 7
11 Veres Rivne Veres Rivne 6 6
12 Chornomorets Chornomorets 6 5
13 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 6 5
14 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 6 5
15 Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar 7 4
16 Kudrivka Kudrivka 6 2
Lineups
Oleksandria Oleksandria 3-4-3
72
Nazar Makarenko G
50 J. Behiratche J. Behiratche D
26 Miguel Campos Miguel Campos D
91
Bogdan Butko D
90
Danyil Vlasiuk D
10
Sergiy Buletsa M
20
Daniil Vashchenko M
22 D. Skorko D. Skorko D
37
Papa Ndiaga Yade M
99 Bryan Castillo Bryan Castillo F
27
Tedi Cara 1 ⚽ M
Bench
11
Artem Shulianskyi M
79
Denys Khmeliovskyi M
71
Denys Shostak M
77
Dmytrii Kremchanin 1 👟 F
40
Dmytro Chernysh M
9
Dmytro Myshnyov M
24
Hussayn Touati M
49
Mateus Amaral M
67 Mauro Rodrigues Mauro Rodrigues M
97
Nazar Prokopenko D
1
Viktor Dolhyi G
1
Oleksandr Saputin G
10
Juninho D
21
Jakov Bašić D
55
Anderson Jordan D
23
Navin Malysh M
27
Domagoj Jelavić M
8
Kyrylo Dryshlyuk M
88
Sallieu Bah M
11
Ihor Horbach M
17
Fedir Zadorozhnyi F
70
R. Verley M
Bench
5
Andrija Janjić D
9
Artem Slesar M
6
Dejan Popara M
4
Gabriel Eskinja D
44
Igor Perduta D
12
Mykyta Turbaievskyi G
22
Petar Mićin 1 ⚽ M
28
Pylyp Budkivskyi 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F
47 R. Vantukh R. Vantukh D
31
Valerii Kosivskyi G
Oleksandria Oleksandria — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Nazar Makarenko G — — — — — — — — — —
J. Behiratche D — — — — — — — — — —
Miguel Campos D — — — — — — — — — —
Bogdan Butko D — — — — — — — — — —
Danyil Vlasiuk D — — — — — — — — — —
Sergiy Buletsa M — — — — — — — — — —
Daniil Vashchenko M — — — — — — — — — —
D. Skorko D — — — — — — — — — —
Papa Ndiaga Yade M — — — — — — — — — —
Bryan Castillo F — — — — — — — — — —
Tedi Cara M — — 1 — — — — — — —
Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Oleksandr Saputin G — — — — — — — — — —
Juninho D — — — — — — — — — —
Jakov Bašić D — — — — — — — — — —
Anderson Jordan D — — — — — — — — — —
Navin Malysh M — — — — — — — — — —
Domagoj Jelavić M — — — — — — — — — —
Kyrylo Dryshlyuk M — — — — — — — — — —
Sallieu Bah M — — — — — — — — — —
Ihor Horbach M — — — — — — — — — —
Fedir Zadorozhnyi F — — — — — — — — — —
R. Verley M — — — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Oleksandria vs Zorya Luhansk?
The final score was Oleksandria 1–2 Zorya Luhansk.
What did the model predict before Oleksandria vs Zorya Luhansk?
The model assigned 10% probability to a Oleksandria win, 18% to a draw, and 71% to an Zorya Luhansk win.