Premier League
· Regular Season - 28
May 12, 2026 12:00
✓Model correct — prediction Zorya Luhansk
T. Cara
(ast. D. Kremchanin)
77'
(pen.)
55'
P. Budkivsky
75'
(ast. P. Budkivsky)
P. Micin
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Zorya Luhansk a 71% win probability (draw 18%, Oleksandria 10%). The final result was Oleksandria 1–2 Zorya Luhansk. In 1 previous meetings, Oleksandria have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Zorya Luhansk.
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
9
0.94
Actual xG
2.41
39%
Possession
61%
5
Corners
7
Match Events
25'
S. Bah
D. Skorko
30'
45'
Juninho
46'
P. Budkivsky
/
I. Gorbach
46'
A. Slesar
/
F. Zadorozhnyi
55'
(pen.)
P. Budkivsky⚽
B. Butko
/ M. Rodrigues
62'
B. Castillo
/ D. Kremchanin
62'
66'
P. Micin
/
S. Bah
66'
D. Popara
/
D. Jelavic
75'
ast. P. Budkivsky ·
P. Micin⚽
⚽T. Cara
· ast. D. Kremchanin
77'
80'
G. Eskinja
/
J. Basic
S. Buletsa
/ D. Myshnyov
81'
D. Skorko
85'
D. Skorko
85'
D. Vashchenko
/ D. Shostak
85'
90'+4
90'+5
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
10.2%
Oleksandria
18.27%
X
71.53%
Zorya ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Zorya Luhansk)
71.53%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.53
0.94
+0.41
2.46
2.41
-0.05
Zorya Luhansk dominated by xG (2.41 vs 0.94).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
72
Nazar Makarenko
G
50
Jocelin Behiratche
D
Jocelin Behiratche
D
26
Miguel Campos
D
Miguel Campos
D
91
Bogdan Butko
D
90
Danyil Vlasiuk
D
10
Sergiy Buletsa
M
20
Daniil Vashchenko
M
22
D. Skorko
D
D. Skorko
D
37
Papa Ndiaga Yade
M
99
B. Castillo
F
B. Castillo
F
27
Tedi Cara
1 ⚽
M
Bench
11
Artem Shulianskyi
M
79
Denys Khmeliovskyi
M
71
Denys Shostak
M
Denys Shostak
M
77
Dmytrii Kremchanin
1 👟
F
40
Dmytro Chernysh
M
9
Dmytro Myshnyov
M
24
Hussayn Touati
M
49
Mateus Amaral
M
67
Mauro Rodrigues
M
97
Nazar Prokopenko
D
1
Viktor Dolhyi
G
1
Oleksandr Saputin
G
10
Juninho
D
Juninho
D
21
Jakov Bašić
D
55
Jordan
D
Jordan
D
23
Navin Malysh
M
27
Domagoj Jelavić
M
8
Kyrylo Dryshlyuk
M
88
Sallieu Bah
M
11
Horbach Ihor Volodymyrovych
M
17
Fedir Zadorozhnyi
F
70
Reynaldiño Verley
M
Bench
5
Andrija Janjić
D
9
Artem Slesar
M
6
Dejan Popara
M
4
Gabriel Eskinja
D
44
Igor Perduta
D
12
Mykyta Turbaievskyi
G
28
P. Budkivskyi
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
P. Budkivskyi
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
22
Petar Mićin
1 ⚽
M
47
R. Vantukh
D
R. Vantukh
D
31
Valerii Kosivskyi
G
Oleksandria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nazar Makarenko | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jocelin Behiratche | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Campos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bogdan Butko | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Danyil Vlasiuk | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergiy Buletsa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniil Vashchenko | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Skorko | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Papa Ndiaga Yade | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Castillo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tedi Cara | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Zorya Luhansk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oleksandr Saputin | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juninho | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jakov Bašić | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Navin Malysh | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Domagoj Jelavić | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kyrylo Dryshlyuk | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sallieu Bah | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horbach Ihor Volodymyrovych | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fedir Zadorozhnyi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Reynaldiño Verley | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Oleksandria vs Zorya Luhansk?
The final score was Oleksandria 1–2 Zorya Luhansk.
What did the model predict before Oleksandria vs Zorya Luhansk?
The model assigned 10% probability to a Oleksandria win, 18% to a draw, and 71% to an Zorya Luhansk win.