← Copa Sudamericana
#2 · 7 pts
0 – 0
Final score
#4 · 3 pts
Model wrong — prediction Olimpia, result Pareggio

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Olimpia a 60% win probability (draw 25%, Barracas Central 13%). The final result was Olimpia 0–0 Barracas Central. In 1 previous meetings, Olimpia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Barracas Central.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
2
0.49
Actual xG
0.39
2
Saves
4
67%
Possession
33%
5
Corners
1
12
Tackles
11
6
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
10'
D. Miloc
J. F. Alfaro
16'
A. Silva
44'
R. Ortiz
45'
R. Lezcano / H. Quintana
46'
50'
R. Insua
54'
N. Capraro
58'
J. Candia / F. Bruera
R. Benitez
64'
R. Ortiz / I. Leguizamon
65'
65'
G. Morales / N. Briasco
66'
I. A. Guaraz / I. Tapia
A. Alcaraz / S. Ferreira
73'
R. Benitez / E. Delmas
73'
75'
D. Martinez
I. Leguizamon
77'
A. F. Rodriguez Armoa / H. Sandoval
80'
83'
K. Jappert / D. Martinez
H. Sandoval
86'
Pre-match prediction
60.66%
Olimpia
25.72%
X ←
13.62%
Barracas
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 25.72% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Olimpia
1.60
0.49
-1.11
Barracas
0.51
0.39
-0.12
xG dominance was balanced (0.49 – 0.39). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 4 9
1 Cienciano Cienciano 4 7
1 Botafogo Botafogo 4 10
1 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 4 7
1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 4 8
1 River Plate River Plate 4 10
1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 4 6
1 Macara Macara 4 8
2 Gremio Gremio 4 7
2 Olimpia Olimpia 4 7
2 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 4 6
2 America de Cali America de Cali 4 7
2 Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello 4 6
2 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 4 5
2 O'Higgins O'Higgins 4 7
2 Caracas FC Caracas FC 4 8
3 Racing Club Racing Club 4 4
3 Juventud Juventud 4 5
3 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 4 4
3 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 4 4
3 Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 4 6
3 Tigre Tigre 4 5
3 A. Italiano A. Italiano 4 4
3 Millonarios Millonarios 4 7
4 Barracas Central Barracas Central 4 3
4 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 4 1
4 Santos Santos 4 3
4 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 4 4
4 Boston River Boston River 4 0
4 Blooming Blooming 4 1
4 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 4 0
4 Palestino Palestino 4 2
Lineups
1
G. Olveira G 7.20
27 R. Cáceres R. Cáceres D 7.30
14
Gustavo Vargas D 7.30
15 M. Gamarra M. Gamarra D 7.30
30 A. Rodríguez A. Rodríguez 80' D 7.30
6 R. Ortiz R. Ortiz 65' M 6.90
19 R. Lezcano R. Lezcano 45' M 6.60
26
Richard Sánchez M 7.60
5
J. F. Alfaro M 6.50
37 R. Benitez R. Benitez 73' M 7.20
17 A. Alcaraz A. Alcaraz 73' F 6.50
Bench
8
A. F. Franco Zayas M
3
A. Silva M
2
B. Bentaberry D
20
E. Delmas 17' F 6.70
28 H. Quintana H. Quintana 45' M 6.90
9
H. Sandoval 10' F 6.70
29
I. Leguizamon 25' M 6.90
11
Sebastián Ferreira 17' F 6.50
1
G 7.30
2
N. Capraro D 7.00
32
F. Tobio D 7.30
31
N. Demartini D 6.90
5
D. Miloc M 6.60
4 D. Martínez D. Martínez 83' M 6.50
8
Tomás Porra M 6.90
10
I. Tapia 66' M 6.90
6
R. Insua M 6.90
11
N. Briasco 65' F 6.60
7
F. Bruera 58' F 6.60
Bench
24
E. Taborda F
33
G. Maroni M
9
G. Morales 25' F 6.50
20
J. Candia 32' F 6.90
28
R. Bogarin M
Best on the pitch
Richard Sánchez
M · Olimpia
7.60
1 shots · 54 pass
R. Cáceres
R. Cáceres
D · Olimpia
7.30
· 39 pass
Gustavo Vargas
D · Olimpia
7.30
· 54 pass
M. Gamarra
M. Gamarra
D · Olimpia
7.30
1 shots · 59 pass
A. Rodríguez
A. Rodríguez
D · Olimpia
7.30
2 shots · 29 pass
G · Barracas
7.30
· 36 pass
Olimpia Olimpia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Olveira G 90 7.20 15 15%
R. Cáceres D 90 7.30 39 32% 1
Gustavo Vargas D 90 7.30 54 46% 2
M. Gamarra D 90 7.30 1 59 49% 1
A. Rodríguez D 80 7.30 2 29 24% 1
R. Ortiz M 65 6.90 32 28% 1
R. Lezcano M 45 6.60 13 9%
Richard Sánchez M 90 7.60 1 54 48% 3
J. F. Alfaro M 90 6.50 59 51% 1
R. Benitez M 73 7.20 1 21 12% 2 1
A. Alcaraz F 73 6.50 2 8 3% 1
E. Delmas F 17 6.70 12 12%
H. Quintana M 45 6.90 25 22%
H. Sandoval F 10 6.70 5 4% 1
I. Leguizamon M 25 6.90 2 14 10% 1 1
Sebastián Ferreira F 17 6.50 1 4 2%
Barracas Central Barracas Central — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 36 6%
N. Capraro D 90 7.00 12 10% 3 1
F. Tobio D 90 7.30 13 9% 2
N. Demartini D 90 6.90 13 8% 3
D. Miloc M 90 6.60 19 14% 1 1
D. Martínez M 83 6.50 18 12% 1
Tomás Porra M 90 6.90 1 25 16%
I. Tapia M 66 6.90 15 11%
R. Insua M 90 6.90 14 11% 1
N. Briasco F 65 6.60 2 17 10% 2
F. Bruera F 58 6.60 3 14 9%
G. Morales F 25 6.50 6 5%
J. Candia F 32 6.90 9 4%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Olimpia vs Barracas Central?
The final score was Olimpia 0–0 Barracas Central.
What did the model predict before Olimpia vs Barracas Central?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Olimpia win, 25% to a draw, and 13% to an Barracas Central win.