Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 2
April 16, 2026 02:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Olimpia, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Olimpia a 60% win probability (draw 25%, Barracas Central 13%). The final result was Olimpia 0–0 Barracas Central. In 1 previous meetings, Olimpia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Barracas Central.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
2
0.49
Actual xG
0.39
2
Saves
4
67%
Possession
33%
5
Corners
1
12
Tackles
11
6
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
10'
D. Miloc
J. F. Alfaro
16'
A. Silva
44'
R. Ortiz
45'
R. Lezcano
/ H. Quintana
46'
50'
R. Insua
54'
N. Capraro
58'
J. Candia
/
F. Bruera
R. Benitez
64'
R. Ortiz
/ I. Leguizamon
65'
65'
G. Morales
/
N. Briasco
66'
I. A. Guaraz
/
I. Tapia
A. Alcaraz
/ S. Ferreira
73'
R. Benitez
/ E. Delmas
73'
75'
D. Martinez
I. Leguizamon
77'
A. F. Rodriguez Armoa
/ H. Sandoval
80'
83'
K. Jappert
/
D. Martinez
H. Sandoval
86'
Pre-match prediction
60.66%
Olimpia
25.72%
X ←
13.62%
Barracas
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.72%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.60
0.49
-1.11
0.51
0.39
-0.12
xG dominance was balanced (0.49 – 0.39).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Gastón Olveira
G
27
Raúl Cáceres
D
14
Gustavo Vargas
D
15
Mateo Gamarra
D
30
Alan Rodríguez
80'
D
6
Richard Ortiz
65'
M
19
Rubén Lezcano
45'
M
26
Richard Sánchez
M
5
Juan Fernando Alfaro
M
37
R. Benitez
73'
M
R. Benitez
73'
M
17
Adrián Alcaraz
73'
F
Adrián Alcaraz
73'
F
Bench
3
Alejandro Silva
M
Alejandro Silva
M
8
Alex Franco
M
2
B. Bentaberry
D
B. Bentaberry
D
20
Eduardo Delmas
17'
F
28
H. Quintana
45'
M
H. Quintana
45'
M
9
Hugo Sandoval
10'
F
29
I. Leguizamon
25'
M
11
Sebastián Ferreira
17'
F
1
G
2
N. Capraro
D
N. Capraro
D
32
Fernando Tobio
D
Fernando Tobio
D
31
N. Demartini
D
N. Demartini
D
5
D. Miloc
M
D. Miloc
M
4
D. Martínez
83'
M
D. Martínez
83'
M
8
T. Porra
M
T. Porra
M
10
I. Tapia
66'
M
I. Tapia
66'
M
6
R. Insúa
M
R. Insúa
M
11
N. Briasco
65'
F
N. Briasco
65'
F
7
F. Bruera
58'
F
F. Bruera
58'
F
Bench
24
Enzo Taborda
F
Enzo Taborda
F
33
G. Maroni
M
G. Maroni
M
20
J. Candia
32'
F
J. Candia
32'
F
9
J. Morales
25'
F
J. Morales
25'
F
28
R. Bogarín
M
R. Bogarín
M
Best on the pitch
Richard Sánchez
M · Olimpia
7.60
1 shots
· 54 pass
Raúl Cáceres
D · Olimpia
7.30
· 39 pass
Gustavo Vargas
D · Olimpia
7.30
· 54 pass
Mateo Gamarra
D · Olimpia
7.30
1 shots
· 59 pass
Alan Rodríguez
D · Olimpia
7.30
2 shots
· 29 pass
G · Barracas
7.30
· 36 pass
Olimpia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gastón Olveira | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Raúl Cáceres | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Vargas | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Mateo Gamarra | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Alan Rodríguez | D | 80 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Richard Ortiz | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| Rubén Lezcano | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Richard Sánchez | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 48% | 3 | — | — |
| Juan Fernando Alfaro | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 59 | 51% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Benitez | M | 73 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Adrián Alcaraz | F | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Eduardo Delmas | F | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| H. Quintana | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Hugo Sandoval | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| I. Leguizamon | M | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sebastián Ferreira | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Barracas Central — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 6% | — | — | — | |
| N. Capraro | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Fernando Tobio | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Demartini | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Miloc | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Martínez | M | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Porra | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 16% | — | — | — |
| I. Tapia | M | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| R. Insúa | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Briasco | F | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Bruera | F | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Candia | F | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Morales | F | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Olimpia vs Barracas Central?
The final score was Olimpia 0–0 Barracas Central.
What did the model predict before Olimpia vs Barracas Central?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Olimpia win, 25% to a draw, and 13% to an Barracas Central win.