Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 2
April 16, 2026 02:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Olimpia, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Olimpia a 60% win probability (draw 25%, Barracas Central 13%). The final result was Olimpia 0–0 Barracas Central. In 1 previous meetings, Olimpia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Barracas Central.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
2
0.49
Actual xG
0.39
2
Saves
4
67%
Possession
33%
5
Corners
1
12
Tackles
11
6
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
10'
D. Miloc
J. F. Alfaro
16'
A. Silva
44'
R. Ortiz
45'
R. Lezcano
/ H. Quintana
46'
50'
R. Insua
54'
N. Capraro
58'
J. Candia
/
F. Bruera
R. Benitez
64'
R. Ortiz
/ I. Leguizamon
65'
65'
G. Morales
/
N. Briasco
66'
I. A. Guaraz
/
I. Tapia
A. Alcaraz
/ S. Ferreira
73'
R. Benitez
/ E. Delmas
73'
75'
D. Martinez
I. Leguizamon
77'
A. F. Rodriguez Armoa
/ H. Sandoval
80'
83'
K. Jappert
/
D. Martinez
H. Sandoval
86'
Pre-match prediction
60.66%
Olimpia
25.72%
X ←
13.62%
Barracas
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.72%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.60
0.49
-1.11
0.51
0.39
-0.12
xG dominance was balanced (0.49 – 0.39).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G. Olveira
G
G. Olveira
G
27
R. Cáceres
D
R. Cáceres
D
14
G. Vargas
D
G. Vargas
D
15
Mateo Gamarra
D
Mateo Gamarra
D
30
A. Rodríguez
80'
D
A. Rodríguez
80'
D
6
R. Ortiz
65'
M
R. Ortiz
65'
M
19
R. Lezcano
45'
M
R. Lezcano
45'
M
26
Richard Sánchez
M
5
Juan Fernando Alfaro
M
Juan Fernando Alfaro
M
37
R. Benitez
73'
M
R. Benitez
73'
M
17
A. Alcaraz
73'
F
A. Alcaraz
73'
F
Bench
3
Alejandro Silva
M
Alejandro Silva
M
8
Alex Franco
M
Alex Franco
M
2
B. Bentaberry
D
B. Bentaberry
D
20
Eduardo Delmas
17'
F
Eduardo Delmas
17'
F
28
H. Quintana
45'
M
H. Quintana
45'
M
9
Hugo Sandoval
10'
F
Hugo Sandoval
10'
F
29
I. Leguizamon
25'
M
11
S. Ferreira
17'
F
S. Ferreira
17'
F
1
G
2
N. Capraro
D
N. Capraro
D
32
Fernando Tobio
D
Fernando Tobio
D
31
N. Demartini
D
N. Demartini
D
5
Dardo Miloc
M
Dardo Miloc
M
4
D. Martínez
83'
M
D. Martínez
83'
M
8
Tomás Porra
M
Tomás Porra
M
10
Iván Tapia
66'
M
Iván Tapia
66'
M
6
R. Insúa
M
R. Insúa
M
11
Norberto Briasco
65'
F
Norberto Briasco
65'
F
7
Facundo Bruera
58'
F
Facundo Bruera
58'
F
Bench
24
Enzo Taborda
F
Enzo Taborda
F
33
Gonzalo Maroni
M
Gonzalo Maroni
M
20
Jhonatan Candia
32'
F
Jhonatan Candia
32'
F
9
J. Morales
25'
F
J. Morales
25'
F
28
Rodrigo Bogarín
M
Rodrigo Bogarín
M
Best on the pitch
Richard Sánchez
M · Olimpia
7.60
1 shots
· 54 pass
R. Cáceres
D · Olimpia
7.30
· 39 pass
G. Vargas
D · Olimpia
7.30
· 54 pass
Mateo Gamarra
D · Olimpia
7.30
1 shots
· 59 pass
A. Rodríguez
D · Olimpia
7.30
2 shots
· 29 pass
G · Barracas
7.30
· 36 pass
Olimpia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Olveira | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| R. Cáceres | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Vargas | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Mateo Gamarra | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Rodríguez | D | 80 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Ortiz | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Lezcano | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Richard Sánchez | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 48% | 3 | — | — |
| Juan Fernando Alfaro | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 59 | 51% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Benitez | M | 73 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Alcaraz | F | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Eduardo Delmas | F | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| H. Quintana | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Hugo Sandoval | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| I. Leguizamon | M | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Ferreira | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Barracas Central — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 6% | — | — | — | |
| N. Capraro | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Fernando Tobio | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Demartini | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| Dardo Miloc | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Martínez | M | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Tomás Porra | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Iván Tapia | M | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| R. Insúa | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Norberto Briasco | F | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Facundo Bruera | F | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Jhonatan Candia | F | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Morales | F | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Olimpia vs Barracas Central?
The final score was Olimpia 0–0 Barracas Central.
What did the model predict before Olimpia vs Barracas Central?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Olimpia win, 25% to a draw, and 13% to an Barracas Central win.