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Liga BetPlay · Apertura - Quarter-finals May 11, 2026 01:10
Once Caldas
#5 · 33 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Junior
#2 · 35 pts
(pen.) 43' G. Paiva

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Once Caldas a 49% win probability (draw 26%, Junior 24%). The final result was Once Caldas 0–1 Junior. In 2 previous meetings, Once Caldas have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Junior.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
3
1.14
Actual xG
1.26
2
Saves
7
57%
Possession
43%
4
Corners
2
10
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
6
Match Events
28'
F. S. Angel Bernal
A. Roa
31'
43'
(pen.) G. Paiva⚽
↕ L. Sanchez / J. Quinones
46'
59'
J. Rivas / Y. Chara ↕
59'
J. Canchimbo / J. Sarmiento ↕
↕ A. Roa / M. Zuleta
65'
73'
J. Pestana
74'
T. Gutierrez / G. Paiva ↕
74'
C. Barrios / B. Castrillon ↕
76'
C. Barrios
↕ J. Patino / E. Navarro
78'
↕ P. Gomez / H. Guzman
78'
81'
M. Silveira
88'
J. Guerrero
90'+1
L. Monzon
90'+3
D. Rivera / J. Rios ↕
Pre-match prediction
49.45%
Once
26.39%
X
24.16%
Junior ←
we assigned to the actual result (Junior) 24.16% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Once
1.39
1.14
-0.25
Junior
0.87
1.26
+0.39
xG dominance was balanced (1.14 – 1.26). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 19 40
2 Junior Junior 19 35
3 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 19 34
4 America de Cali America de Cali 19 33
5 Once Caldas Once Caldas 19 33
6 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 19 31
7 Santa Fe Santa Fe 19 29
8 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 19 28
9 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 19 27
10 Millonarios Millonarios 19 26
11 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 19 26
12 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 19 26
13 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 19 23
14 Llaneros Llaneros 19 22
15 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 19 22
16 Jaguares Jaguares 19 18
17 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 19 17
18 Chico Chico 19 17
19 Cucuta Cucuta 19 16
20 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 19 10
Lineups
Once Caldas Once Caldas 4-2-3-1
99 Felipe Parra Felipe Parra G 7.50
33 Juan Patiño Juan Patiño 78' D 6.20
18 Jeider Riquett Jeider Riquett D 5.90
16 Juan Castaño Juan Castaño D 6.70
22 Juan David Cuesta Juan David Cuesta D 6.90
20 Andrés Roa Andrés Roa 65' M 6.70
88 Robert Mejía Robert Mejía M 6.90
9 Pipe Gómez Pipe Gómez 78' M 6.90
10 Luis Sánchez Luis Sánchez 45' M 6.50
14 Jefry Zapata Jefry Zapata M 6.60
17 Dayro Moreno Dayro Moreno F 7.20
Bench
4 Efraín Navarro Efraín Navarro 12' D 6.90
21 Helieyker Guzman Helieyker Guzman 12' F 6.60
5 Iván Rojas Iván Rojas M
42 Jader Quinones Jader Quinones 45' M 7.30
15 Jaime Alvarado Jaime Alvarado M
12 James Aguirre James Aguirre G
2 Jorge Cardona Jorge Cardona D
28 Mateo Zuleta Mateo Zuleta 25' M 6.60
19 Tomas García Tomas García M
Junior Junior 4-2-3-1
1 Mauro Silveira Mauro Silveira G 8.90
3 Edwin Herrera Edwin Herrera D 6.90
33 Lucas Monzón Lucas Monzón D 7.20
24 Jean Carlos Pestaña Jean Carlos Pestaña D 7.00
34 Jhonier Guerrero Jhonier Guerrero D 6.60
80 Fabián Ángel Fabián Ángel M 7.20
14 Juan David Ríos Juan David Ríos 89' M 7.50
88 Bryan Castrillón Bryan Castrillón 74' M 7.30
8 Yimmi Chará Yimmi Chará 59' M 6.30
20 Jannenson Sarmiento Jannenson Sarmiento 59' M 6.30
9 Guillermo Paiva Guillermo Paiva 1 ⚽ 74' F 7.60
Bench
38 Andrés Schmalbach Andrés Schmalbach M
70 Carlos Bacca Carlos Bacca F
77 Cristian Barrios Cristian Barrios 16' F 6.70
5 Daniel Rivera Daniel Rivera 1' M
19 Daniel Soccaras Daniel Soccaras D
30 Jefersson Martínez Jefersson Martínez G
22 Jesús Rivas Jesús Rivas 31' M 6.70
21 Joel Canchimbo Joel Canchimbo 31' F 6.60
29 Teófilo Gutiérrez Teófilo Gutiérrez 16' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
Mauro Silveira
Mauro Silveira
G · Junior
8.90
· 33 pass
Guillermo Paiva
Guillermo Paiva
F · Junior
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 27 pass
Felipe Parra
Felipe Parra
G · Once
7.50
· 23 pass
Juan David Ríos
Juan David Ríos
M · Junior
7.50
· 48 pass
Bryan Castrillón
Bryan Castrillón
M · Junior
7.30
2 shots · 22 pass
Jader Quinones
Jader Quinones
M · Once
7.30
· 45 pass
Once Caldas Once Caldas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Felipe Parra G 90 7.50 — — — 23 20% — — —
Juan Patiño D 78 6.20 — — — 32 28% 2 — —
Jeider Riquett D 90 5.90 — — 1 50 38% — — —
Juan Castaño D 90 6.70 — — 1 44 37% — — —
Juan David Cuesta D 90 6.90 — — 1 55 48% 2 — —
Andrés Roa M 65 6.70 — — 1 50 45% 1 1 —
Robert Mejía M 90 6.90 — — — 59 56% 1 — —
Pipe Gómez M 78 6.90 — — 3 32 24% 2 — —
Luis Sánchez M 45 6.50 — — 1 20 16% — — —
Jefry Zapata M 90 6.60 — — 5 44 36% — — —
Dayro Moreno F 90 7.20 — — 2 32 29% — — —
Efraín Navarro D 12 6.90 — — — 4 4% 1 — —
Helieyker Guzman F 12 6.60 — — — 8 7% 1 — —
Jader Quinones M 45 7.30 — — — 45 43% — — —
Mateo Zuleta M 25 6.60 — — — 15 14% — — —
Junior Junior — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mauro Silveira G 90 8.90 — — — 33 16% — 1 —
Edwin Herrera D 90 6.90 — — — 27 25% 3 — —
Lucas Monzón D 90 7.20 — — — 20 14% 1 1 —
Jean Carlos Pestaña D 90 7.00 — — — 25 20% 3 1 —
Jhonier Guerrero D 90 6.60 — — — 36 28% 1 1 —
Fabián Ángel M 90 7.20 — — — 39 35% 6 1 —
Juan David Ríos M 89 7.50 — — — 48 42% 3 — —
Bryan Castrillón M 74 7.30 — — 2 22 15% 2 — —
Yimmi Chará M 59 6.30 — — 1 41 36% — — —
Jannenson Sarmiento M 59 6.30 — — 2 33 28% 1 — —
Guillermo Paiva F 74 7.60 1 — 2 27 25% — — —
Cristian Barrios F 16 6.70 — — — 4 4% — 1 —
Daniel Rivera M 1 — — — — — — — — —
Jesús Rivas M 31 6.70 — — — 14 13% — — —
Joel Canchimbo F 31 6.60 — — — 13 10% — — —
Teófilo Gutiérrez F 16 6.30 — — — 8 8% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Junior?
The final score was Once Caldas 0–1 Junior.
What did the model predict before Once Caldas vs Junior?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Once Caldas win, 26% to a draw, and 24% to an Junior win.