(pen.)
43'
G. Paiva
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Once Caldas a 49% win probability (draw 26%, Junior 24%). The final result was Once Caldas 0–1 Junior. In 3 previous meetings, Once Caldas have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Junior.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
3
1.14
Actual xG
1.26
2
Saves
7
57%
Possession
43%
4
Corners
2
10
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
6
Match Events
28'
F. S. Angel Bernal
A. Roa
31'
43'
(pen.)
G. Paiva⚽
L. Sanchez
/ J. Quinones
46'
59'
J. Rivas
/
Y. Chara
59'
J. Canchimbo
/
J. Sarmiento
A. Roa
/ M. Zuleta
65'
73'
J. Pestana
74'
T. Gutierrez
/
G. Paiva
74'
C. Barrios
/
B. Castrillon
76'
C. Barrios
J. Patino
/ E. Navarro
78'
P. Gomez
/ H. Guzman
78'
81'
M. Silveira
88'
J. Guerrero
90'+1
L. Monzon
90'+3
D. Rivera
/
J. Rios
Pre-match prediction
49.45%
Once
26.39%
X
24.16%
Junior ←
we assigned to the actual result (Junior)
24.16%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.39
1.14
-0.25
0.87
1.26
+0.39
xG dominance was balanced (1.14 – 1.26).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
99
Felipe Parra
G
Felipe Parra
G
33
Juan Patiño
78'
D
Juan Patiño
78'
D
18
Jeider Riquett
D
Jeider Riquett
D
16
Juan Castaño
D
Juan Castaño
D
22
Juan David Cuesta
D
Juan David Cuesta
D
20
A. Roa
65'
M
A. Roa
65'
M
88
Robert Mejía
M
Robert Mejía
M
9
Pipe Gómez
78'
M
Pipe Gómez
78'
M
10
Luis Sánchez
45'
M
Luis Sánchez
45'
M
14
Jefry Zapata
M
Jefry Zapata
M
17
Dayro Moreno
F
Dayro Moreno
F
Bench
4
Efraín Navarro
12'
D
Efraín Navarro
12'
D
21
Helieyker Guzman
12'
F
Helieyker Guzman
12'
F
5
Iván Rojas
M
Iván Rojas
M
42
Jader Quinones
45'
M
Jader Quinones
45'
M
15
Jaime Alvarado
M
Jaime Alvarado
M
12
James Aguirre
G
James Aguirre
G
2
Jorge Cardona
D
Jorge Cardona
D
28
Mateo Zuleta
25'
M
Mateo Zuleta
25'
M
19
Tomas García
M
Tomas García
M
1
Mauro Silveira
G
Mauro Silveira
G
3
E. Herrera
D
E. Herrera
D
33
L. Monzón
D
L. Monzón
D
24
J. Pestaña
D
J. Pestaña
D
34
Jhonier Guerrero
D
Jhonier Guerrero
D
80
Fabián Ángel
M
Fabián Ángel
M
14
Juan David Ríos
89'
M
Juan David Ríos
89'
M
88
Bryan Castrillón
74'
M
Bryan Castrillón
74'
M
8
Yimmi Chará
59'
M
Yimmi Chará
59'
M
20
J. Sarmiento
59'
M
J. Sarmiento
59'
M
9
Guillermo Paiva
1 ⚽
74'
F
Guillermo Paiva
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
38
Andrés Schmalbach
M
Andrés Schmalbach
M
70
Carlos Bacca
F
Carlos Bacca
F
77
Cristian Barrios
16'
F
Cristian Barrios
16'
F
5
Daniel Rivera
1'
M
Daniel Rivera
1'
M
19
Daniel Socarras
D
Daniel Socarras
D
30
Jefersson Martínez
G
Jefersson Martínez
G
22
Jesús Rivas
31'
M
Jesús Rivas
31'
M
21
Joel Canchimbo
31'
F
Joel Canchimbo
31'
F
29
T. Gutiérrez
16'
F
T. Gutiérrez
16'
F
Best on the pitch
Mauro Silveira
G · Junior
8.90
· 33 pass
Guillermo Paiva
F · Junior
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 27 pass
Felipe Parra
G · Once
7.50
· 23 pass
Juan David Ríos
M · Junior
7.50
· 48 pass
Bryan Castrillón
M · Junior
7.30
2 shots
· 22 pass
Jader Quinones
M · Once
7.30
· 45 pass
Once Caldas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felipe Parra | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Juan Patiño | D | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Jeider Riquett | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Juan Castaño | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Juan David Cuesta | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Roa | M | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 45% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Robert Mejía | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 59 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Pipe Gómez | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Luis Sánchez | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Jefry Zapata | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 5 | 44 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Dayro Moreno | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Efraín Navarro | D | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Helieyker Guzman | F | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Jader Quinones | M | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Zuleta | M | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
Junior — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mauro Silveira | G | 90 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Herrera | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Monzón | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Pestaña | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jhonier Guerrero | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Fabián Ángel | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 6 | 1 | — |
| Juan David Ríos | M | 89 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 48 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| Bryan Castrillón | M | 74 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Yimmi Chará | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 36% | — | — | — |
| J. Sarmiento | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Guillermo Paiva | F | 74 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Barrios | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Daniel Rivera | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesús Rivas | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Joel Canchimbo | F | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| T. Gutiérrez | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Junior?
The final score was Once Caldas 0–1 Junior.
What did the model predict before Once Caldas vs Junior?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Once Caldas win, 26% to a draw, and 24% to an Junior win.