(pen.)
43'
G. Paiva
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Once Caldas a 49% win probability (draw 26%, Junior 24%). The final result was Once Caldas 0–1 Junior. In 3 previous meetings, Once Caldas have won 1 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Junior.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
3
1.14
Actual xG
1.26
2
Saves
7
57%
Possession
43%
4
Corners
2
10
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
6
Match Events
28'
F. S. Angel Bernal
A. Roa
31'
43'
(pen.)
G. Paiva⚽
L. Sanchez
/ J. Quinones
46'
59'
J. Rivas
/
Y. Chara
59'
J. Canchimbo
/
J. Sarmiento
A. Roa
/ M. Zuleta
65'
73'
J. Pestana
74'
T. Gutierrez
/
G. Paiva
74'
C. Barrios
/
B. Castrillon
76'
C. Barrios
J. Patino
/ E. Navarro
78'
P. Gomez
/ H. Guzman
78'
81'
M. Silveira
88'
J. Guerrero
90'+1
L. Monzon
90'+3
D. Rivera
/
J. Rios
Pre-match prediction
49.45%
Once
26.39%
X
24.16%
Junior ←
we assigned to the actual result (Junior)
24.16%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.39
1.14
-0.25
0.87
1.26
+0.39
xG dominance was balanced (1.14 – 1.26).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
99
J. Parra
G
J. Parra
G
33
J. Patiño
78'
D
J. Patiño
78'
D
18
Jeider Riquett
D
Jeider Riquett
D
16
J. Castaño
D
J. Castaño
D
22
J. Cuesta
D
J. Cuesta
D
20
A. Roa
65'
M
A. Roa
65'
M
88
Robert Mejía
M
Robert Mejía
M
9
Pipe Gómez
78'
M
Pipe Gómez
78'
M
10
L. Sánchez
45'
M
L. Sánchez
45'
M
14
J. Zapata
M
J. Zapata
M
17
D. Moreno
F
D. Moreno
F
Bench
4
Efraín Navarro
12'
D
Efraín Navarro
12'
D
21
H. Guzman
12'
F
H. Guzman
12'
F
5
I. Rojas
M
I. Rojas
M
12
J. Aguirre
G
J. Aguirre
G
15
J. Alvarado
M
J. Alvarado
M
2
J. Cardona
D
J. Cardona
D
42
J. Quiñónes
45'
M
J. Quiñónes
45'
M
28
M. Zuleta
25'
M
M. Zuleta
25'
M
19
T. García
M
T. García
M
1
M. Silveira
G
M. Silveira
G
3
E. Herrera
D
E. Herrera
D
33
L. Monzón
D
L. Monzón
D
24
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
Jean Carlos Pestaña
D
34
Jhonier Guerrero
D
Jhonier Guerrero
D
80
F. Ángel
M
F. Ángel
M
14
J. Ríos
89'
M
J. Ríos
89'
M
88
B. Castrillón
74'
M
B. Castrillón
74'
M
8
Yimmi Chará
59'
M
Yimmi Chará
59'
M
20
J. Sarmiento
59'
M
J. Sarmiento
59'
M
9
G. Paiva
1 ⚽
74'
F
G. Paiva
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
38
Andrés Schmalbach
M
Andrés Schmalbach
M
70
C. Bacca
F
C. Bacca
F
77
C. Barrios
16'
F
C. Barrios
16'
F
19
Daniel Socarras
D
Daniel Socarras
D
5
D. Rivera
1'
M
D. Rivera
1'
M
22
Jesús Rivas
31'
M
Jesús Rivas
31'
M
30
J. Martínez
G
J. Martínez
G
21
Joel Canchimbo
31'
F
Joel Canchimbo
31'
F
29
T. Gutiérrez
16'
F
T. Gutiérrez
16'
F
Best on the pitch
M. Silveira
G · Junior
8.90
· 33 pass
G. Paiva
F · Junior
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 27 pass
J. Parra
G · Once
7.50
· 23 pass
J. Ríos
M · Junior
7.50
· 48 pass
B. Castrillón
M · Junior
7.30
2 shots
· 22 pass
J. Quiñónes
M · Once
7.30
· 45 pass
Once Caldas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Parra | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| J. Patiño | D | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Jeider Riquett | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 38% | — | — | — |
| J. Castaño | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 37% | — | — | — |
| J. Cuesta | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Roa | M | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 45% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Robert Mejía | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 59 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Pipe Gómez | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Sánchez | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| J. Zapata | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 5 | 44 | 36% | — | — | — |
| D. Moreno | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Efraín Navarro | D | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Guzman | F | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Quiñónes | M | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 43% | — | — | — |
| M. Zuleta | M | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
Junior — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Silveira | G | 90 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Herrera | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Monzón | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jean Carlos Pestaña | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jhonier Guerrero | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Ángel | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 6 | 1 | — |
| J. Ríos | M | 89 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 48 | 42% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Castrillón | M | 74 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Yimmi Chará | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 36% | — | — | — |
| J. Sarmiento | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Paiva | F | 74 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| C. Barrios | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Rivera | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesús Rivas | M | 31 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Joel Canchimbo | F | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| T. Gutiérrez | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Junior?
The final score was Once Caldas 0–1 Junior.
What did the model predict before Once Caldas vs Junior?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Once Caldas win, 26% to a draw, and 24% to an Junior win.