Liga MX
· Clausura - 14
April 12, 2026 03:00
✓Model correct — prediction CF Pachuca
V. Guzman
(ast. Kenedy)
15'
V. Guzman
(ast. E. Montiel)
35'
V. Guzman
(ast. B. A. Garcia Caprizo)
60'
C. Sanchez
72'
1'
(ast. F. Villalba)
L. Di Yorio
(og)
89'
J. Ramirez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CF Pachuca a 67% win probability (draw 19%, Santos Laguna 12%). The final result was CF Pachuca 4–2 Santos Laguna. In 1 previous meetings, CF Pachuca have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Santos Laguna.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
4
8
Shots on target
1
1.09
Actual xG
0.64
0
Saves
4
62%
Possession
38%
4
Corners
1
15
Tackles
18
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
1'
ast. F. Villalba ·
L. Di Yorio⚽
⚽V. Guzman
· ast. Kenedy
15'
⚽V. Guzman
· ast. E. Montiel
35'
45'+3
C. Dajome
46'
R. Sordo
/
C. Dajome
52'
B. Amione
53'
E. Orona
/
N. Cedillo
57'
J. Guemez
⚽V. Guzman
· ast. B. A. Garcia Caprizo
60'
E. Montiel
/ A. Bautista
67'
⚽C. Sanchez
72'
75'
J. Perez
/
E. Bullaude
O. Idrissi
/ A. Dominguez
82'
Kenedy
/ L. Quinones
82'
82'
T. Jimenez
/
F. Villalba
82'
D. Medina
/
L. Di Yorio
S. Rondon
/ J. Ramirez
87'
V. Guzman
/ P. Pedraza
87'
89'
(og)
J. Ramirez⚽
Pre-match prediction
67.56%
CF ←
19.56%
X
12.88%
Santos
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (CF Pachuca)
67.56%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.16
1.09
-1.07
0.83
0.64
-0.19
CF Pachuca dominated by xG (1.09 vs 0.64).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
Carlos Moreno
G
Carlos Moreno
G
12
Brian García
1 👟
D
Brian García
1 👟
D
2
D
4
Eduardo Bauermann
D
Eduardo Bauermann
D
14
Carlos Sánchez
1 ⚽
D
Carlos Sánchez
1 ⚽
D
8
Víctor Guzmán
3 ⚽
87'
M
Víctor Guzmán
3 ⚽
87'
M
188
Sergio Rodríguez
M
Sergio Rodríguez
M
11
Oussama Idrissi
82'
M
Oussama Idrissi
82'
M
28
Elías Montiel
1 👟
67'
M
Elías Montiel
1 👟
67'
M
29
Kenedy
1 👟
82'
M
Kenedy
1 👟
82'
M
23
Salomón Rondón
87'
F
Salomón Rondón
87'
F
Bench
26
Alan Bautista
23'
M
Alan Bautista
23'
M
18
Alexei Domínguez
8'
F
Alexei Domínguez
8'
F
184
C. Alfaro
D
7
Luis Quiñones
8'
F
Luis Quiñones
8'
F
5
Pedro Pedraza
12'
M
Pedro Pedraza
12'
M
1
G
17
E. Echeverria
D
2
B. Amione
52'
D
35
K. Balanta
D
4
D
6
J. Guemez
M
195
N. Cedillo
53'
M
7
C. Dajome
45'
M
21
F. Villalba
1 👟
82'
M
10
E. Bullaude
75'
F
9
L. Di Yorio
1 ⚽
82'
F
Bench
14
E. Orona
37'
M
193
L. Gomez
M
29
T. Jimenez
8'
F
Best on the pitch
Víctor Guzmán
M · CF
10.00
3 ⚽
5 shots
· 55 pass
Carlos Sánchez
D · CF
8.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 63 pass
L. Di Yorio
F · Santos
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 12 pass
Brian García
D · CF
7.90
1 👟
· 88 pass
E. Orona
M · Santos
7.20
· 12 pass
Oussama Idrissi
M · CF
7.20
· 47 pass
CF Pachuca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Moreno | G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Brian García | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 88 | 78% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 39% | 2 | — | — | |
| Eduardo Bauermann | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Carlos Sánchez | D | 90 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 63 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| Víctor Guzmán | M | 87 | 10.00 | 3 | — | 5 | 55 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Sergio Rodríguez | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 39% | 4 | — | — |
| Oussama Idrissi | M | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Elías Montiel | M | 67 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Kenedy | M | 82 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 36 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Salomón Rondón | F | 87 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Alan Bautista | M | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Alexei Domínguez | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Luis Quiñones | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Pedraza | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
Santos Laguna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| E. Echeverria | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 33% | — | — | — |
| B. Amione | D | 52 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | 1 |
| K. Balanta | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 4 | — | — | |
| J. Guemez | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 36% | 3 | 1 | — |
| N. Cedillo | M | 53 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Dajome | M | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Villalba | M | 82 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 34 | 23% | — | — | — |
| E. Bullaude | F | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Di Yorio | F | 82 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 6% | — | — | — |
| E. Orona | M | 37 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Jimenez | F | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CF Pachuca vs Santos Laguna?
The final score was CF Pachuca 4–2 Santos Laguna.
What did the model predict before CF Pachuca vs Santos Laguna?
The model assigned 67% probability to a CF Pachuca win, 19% to a draw, and 12% to an Santos Laguna win.