Liga MX
· Clausura - 14
April 12, 2026 03:00
✓Model correct — prediction CF Pachuca
V. Guzman
(ast. Kenedy)
15'
V. Guzman
(ast. E. Montiel)
35'
V. Guzman
(ast. B. A. Garcia Caprizo)
60'
C. Sanchez
72'
1'
(ast. F. Villalba)
L. Di Yorio
(og)
89'
J. Ramirez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CF Pachuca a 67% win probability (draw 19%, Santos Laguna 12%). The final result was CF Pachuca 4–2 Santos Laguna. In 1 previous meetings, CF Pachuca have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Santos Laguna.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
4
8
Shots on target
1
1.09
Actual xG
0.64
0
Saves
4
62%
Possession
38%
4
Corners
1
15
Tackles
18
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
1'
ast. F. Villalba ·
L. Di Yorio⚽
⚽V. Guzman
· ast. Kenedy
15'
⚽V. Guzman
· ast. E. Montiel
35'
45'+3
C. Dajome
46'
R. Sordo
/
C. Dajome
52'
B. Amione
53'
E. Orona
/
N. Cedillo
57'
J. Guemez
⚽V. Guzman
· ast. B. A. Garcia Caprizo
60'
E. Montiel
/ A. Bautista
67'
⚽C. Sanchez
72'
75'
J. Perez
/
E. Bullaude
O. Idrissi
/ A. Dominguez
82'
Kenedy
/ L. Quinones
82'
82'
T. Jimenez
/
F. Villalba
82'
D. Medina
/
L. Di Yorio
S. Rondon
/ J. Ramirez
87'
V. Guzman
/ P. Pedraza
87'
89'
(og)
J. Ramirez⚽
Pre-match prediction
67.56%
CF ←
19.56%
X
12.88%
Santos
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (CF Pachuca)
67.56%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.16
1.09
-1.07
0.83
0.64
-0.19
CF Pachuca dominated by xG (1.09 vs 0.64).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
C. Moreno
G
C. Moreno
G
12
B. García
1 👟
D
B. García
1 👟
D
2
D
4
Eduardo Bauermann
D
Eduardo Bauermann
D
14
C. Sánchez
1 ⚽
D
C. Sánchez
1 ⚽
D
8
V. Guzmán
3 ⚽
87'
M
V. Guzmán
3 ⚽
87'
M
188
S. Rodríguez
M
S. Rodríguez
M
11
O. Idrissi
82'
M
O. Idrissi
82'
M
28
E. Montiel
1 👟
67'
M
E. Montiel
1 👟
67'
M
29
Kenedy
1 👟
82'
M
Kenedy
1 👟
82'
M
23
S. Rondón
87'
F
S. Rondón
87'
F
Bench
26
Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
23'
M
Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
23'
M
18
Alexei Domínguez
8'
F
Alexei Domínguez
8'
F
184
C. Alfaro
D
C. Alfaro
D
7
L. Quiñones
8'
F
L. Quiñones
8'
F
5
P. Pedraza
12'
M
P. Pedraza
12'
M
1
G
17
E. EcheverrÃa
D
E. EcheverrÃa
D
2
B. Amione
52'
D
B. Amione
52'
D
35
Kevin Balanta
D
Kevin Balanta
D
4
D
6
J. Güémez
M
J. Güémez
M
195
N. Cedillo
53'
M
7
C. Dájome
45'
M
C. Dájome
45'
M
21
Fran Villalba
1 👟
82'
M
Fran Villalba
1 👟
82'
M
10
E. Bullaude
75'
F
E. Bullaude
75'
F
9
Lucas Di Yorio
1 ⚽
82'
F
Lucas Di Yorio
1 ⚽
82'
F
Bench
14
E. Orona
37'
M
E. Orona
37'
M
193
Luis Gómez
M
Luis Gómez
M
29
Tahiel Adrián Jiménez Sánchez
8'
F
Tahiel Adrián Jiménez Sánchez
8'
F
Best on the pitch
V. Guzmán
M · CF
10.00
3 ⚽
5 shots
· 55 pass
C. Sánchez
D · CF
8.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 63 pass
Lucas Di Yorio
F · Santos
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 12 pass
B. García
D · CF
7.90
1 👟
· 88 pass
E. Orona
M · Santos
7.20
· 12 pass
O. Idrissi
M · CF
7.20
· 47 pass
CF Pachuca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Moreno | G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| B. García | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 88 | 78% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 39% | 2 | — | — | |
| Eduardo Bauermann | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Sánchez | D | 90 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 63 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Guzmán | M | 87 | 10.00 | 3 | — | 5 | 55 | 54% | — | — | — |
| S. Rodríguez | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 39% | 4 | — | — |
| O. Idrissi | M | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Montiel | M | 67 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Kenedy | M | 82 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 36 | 32% | — | — | — |
| S. Rondón | F | 87 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez | M | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Alexei Domínguez | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| L. Quiñones | F | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| P. Pedraza | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
Santos Laguna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| E. EcheverrÃa | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 33% | — | — | — |
| B. Amione | D | 52 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Kevin Balanta | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 4 | — | — | |
| J. Güémez | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 36% | 3 | 1 | — |
| N. Cedillo | M | 53 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Dájome | M | 45 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Fran Villalba | M | 82 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 34 | 23% | — | — | — |
| E. Bullaude | F | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Di Yorio | F | 82 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 6% | — | — | — |
| E. Orona | M | 37 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Tahiel Adrián Jiménez Sánchez | F | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of CF Pachuca vs Santos Laguna?
The final score was CF Pachuca 4–2 Santos Laguna.
What did the model predict before CF Pachuca vs Santos Laguna?
The model assigned 67% probability to a CF Pachuca win, 19% to a draw, and 12% to an Santos Laguna win.