← Serie B
Serie B · Regular Season - 35 April 19, 2026 17:15
Padova
#10 · 46 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Reggiana
#18 · 37 pts
A. Seghetti (ast. G. Caprari) 80'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Padova a 52% win probability (draw 30%, Reggiana 16%). The final result was Padova 1–0 Reggiana. In 1 previous meetings, Padova have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Reggiana.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
10
2
Shots on target
3
1.38
Actual xG
1.08
3
Saves
1
56%
Possession
44%
5
Corners
2
25
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
24'
T. Reinhart
46'
M. Rover / K. Bozhanaj ↕
50'
S. Bonetti
56'
A. Tripaldelli / S. Bonetti ↕
↕ P. Fusi / L. Di Maggio
68'
↕ F. Di Mariano / G. Caprari
68'
73'
A. Novakovich / C. Gondo ↕
↕ K. Varas / J. Silva
77'
↕ M. Bortolussi / A. Seghetti
77'
⚽A. Seghetti · ast. G. Caprari
80'
81'
T. Fumagalli / M. Lambourde ↕
81'
Charlys / M. Bertagnoli ↕
Pre-match prediction
52.96%
Padova ←
30.12%
X
16.91%
Reggiana
we assigned to the actual result (Padova) 52.96% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Padova
1.40
1.38
-0.02
Reggiana
0.58
1.08
+0.5
xG dominance was balanced (1.38 – 1.08). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
Padova Padova 3-5-2
22
G 7.30
58
C. Pastina D 7.90
55
L. Villa D 7.30
72
Carlo Faedo D 7.20
30
G. Favale M 7.00
7
Kevin Varas Marcillo 77' M 7.00
6
Lorenzo Crisetig M 7.20
8 P. Fusi P. Fusi 68' M 7.20
17 A. Capelli A. Capelli M 7.00
77
F. Di Mariano 68' F 6.90
20 M. Bortolussi M. Bortolussi 77' F 6.30
Bench
11
A. Seghetti 1 ⚽ 13' F 7.00
4
F. Belli D
32
F. Sgarbi D
24
G. Caprari 1 👟 22' F 6.20
86
G. Giunti M
41
J. Silva 13' M 6.60
23
L. Di Maggio 22' M 6.70
5 M. Perrotta M. Perrotta D
18
P. Ghiglione D
Reggiana Reggiana 4-3-2-1
1
A. Micai G 6.60
43
S. Bonetti 56' D 6.90
47
Mateus Lusuardi D 6.20
34
F. Vicari D 6.90
17
L. Libutti D 6.60
10
K. Bozhanaj 45' M 6.20
16 T. Reinhart T. Reinhart M 7.20
26
M. Bertagnoli 81' M 6.90
90
M. Portanova M 6.20
93
M. Lambourde 81' M 6.50
11
C. Gondo 73' F 6.20
Bench
9
A. Novakovich 17' F 6.30
2 A. Papetti A. Papetti D
33
A. Tripaldelli 34' D 7.00
8
Charlys 9' M 7.00
57
L. Belardinelli M
23
M. Rover 45' F 6.50
77
T. Fumagalli 9' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
C. Pastina
D · Padova
7.90
1 shots · 61 pass
G · Padova
7.30
· 24 pass
L. Villa
D · Padova
7.30
· 40 pass
Carlo Faedo
D · Padova
7.20
· 60 pass
Lorenzo Crisetig
M · Padova
7.20
· 59 pass
P. Fusi
P. Fusi
M · Padova
7.20
1 shots · 26 pass
Padova Padova — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 24 15% — — —
C. Pastina D 90 7.90 — — 1 61 54% 4 — —
L. Villa D 90 7.30 — — — 40 35% 1 — —
Carlo Faedo D 90 7.20 — — — 60 48% 5 — —
G. Favale M 90 7.00 — — 1 29 17% 3 — —
Kevin Varas Marcillo M 77 7.00 — — 1 36 29% 1 — —
Lorenzo Crisetig M 90 7.20 — — — 59 54% 2 — —
P. Fusi M 68 7.20 — — 1 26 20% 4 — —
A. Capelli M 90 7.00 — — — 39 30% 1 — —
F. Di Mariano F 68 6.90 — — 1 14 10% — — —
M. Bortolussi F 77 6.30 — — — 11 8% — — —
A. Seghetti F 13 7.00 1 — 1 6 6% 1 — —
G. Caprari F 22 6.20 — 1 1 11 9% — — —
J. Silva M 13 6.60 — — — 8 6% 1 — —
L. Di Maggio M 22 6.70 — — — 14 12% 2 — —
Reggiana Reggiana — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Micai G 90 6.60 — — — 38 23% — — —
S. Bonetti D 56 6.90 — — — 15 13% 2 1 —
Mateus Lusuardi D 90 6.20 — — 1 24 18% — — —
F. Vicari D 90 6.90 — — — 34 30% 1 — —
L. Libutti D 90 6.60 — — — 48 36% 2 — —
K. Bozhanaj M 45 6.20 — — 2 12 7% 1 — —
T. Reinhart M 90 7.20 — — 1 41 32% 1 1 —
M. Bertagnoli M 81 6.90 — — 1 30 24% 1 — —
M. Portanova M 90 6.20 — — 2 24 16% 4 — —
M. Lambourde M 81 6.50 — — 1 16 12% 2 — —
C. Gondo F 73 6.20 — — 1 14 8% 1 — —
A. Novakovich F 17 6.30 — — 1 3 2% — — —
A. Tripaldelli D 34 7.00 — — — 11 8% 1 — —
Charlys M 9 7.00 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
M. Rover F 45 6.50 — — — 13 8% — — —
T. Fumagalli F 9 6.30 — — — 4 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Padova vs Reggiana?
The final score was Padova 1–0 Reggiana.
What did the model predict before Padova vs Reggiana?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Padova win, 30% to a draw, and 16% to an Reggiana win.