A. Seghetti
(ast. G. Caprari)
80'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Padova a 52% win probability (draw 30%, Reggiana 16%). The final result was Padova 1–0 Reggiana. In 1 previous meetings, Padova have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Reggiana.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
10
2
Shots on target
3
1.38
Actual xG
1.08
3
Saves
1
56%
Possession
44%
5
Corners
2
25
Tackles
17
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
24'
T. Reinhart
46'
M. Rover
/
K. Bozhanaj
50'
S. Bonetti
56'
A. Tripaldelli
/
S. Bonetti
P. Fusi
/ L. Di Maggio
68'
F. Di Mariano
/ G. Caprari
68'
73'
A. Novakovich
/
C. Gondo
K. Varas
/ J. Silva
77'
M. Bortolussi
/ A. Seghetti
77'
⚽A. Seghetti
· ast. G. Caprari
80'
81'
T. Fumagalli
/
M. Lambourde
81'
Charlys
/
M. Bertagnoli
Pre-match prediction
52.96%
Padova ←
30.12%
X
16.91%
Reggiana
we assigned to the actual result (Padova)
52.96%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.40
1.38
-0.02
0.58
1.08
+0.5
xG dominance was balanced (1.38 – 1.08).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
22
G
58
C. Pastina
D
55
L. Villa
D
72
Carlo Faedo
D
30
G. Favale
M
7
Kevin Varas Marcillo
77'
M
6
Lorenzo Crisetig
M
8
P. Fusi
68'
M
P. Fusi
68'
M
17
A. Capelli
M
A. Capelli
M
77
F. Di Mariano
68'
F
20
M. Bortolussi
77'
F
M. Bortolussi
77'
F
Bench
11
A. Seghetti
1 ⚽
13'
F
4
F. Belli
D
32
F. Sgarbi
D
24
G. Caprari
1 👟
22'
F
86
G. Giunti
M
41
J. Silva
13'
M
23
L. Di Maggio
22'
M
5
M. Perrotta
D
M. Perrotta
D
18
P. Ghiglione
D
1
A. Micai
G
43
S. Bonetti
56'
D
47
Mateus Lusuardi
D
34
F. Vicari
D
17
L. Libutti
D
10
K. Bozhanaj
45'
M
16
T. Reinhart
M
T. Reinhart
M
26
M. Bertagnoli
81'
M
90
M. Portanova
M
93
M. Lambourde
81'
M
11
C. Gondo
73'
F
Bench
9
A. Novakovich
17'
F
2
A. Papetti
D
A. Papetti
D
33
A. Tripaldelli
34'
D
8
Charlys
9'
M
Charlys
9'
M
57
L. Belardinelli
M
23
M. Rover
45'
F
77
T. Fumagalli
9'
F
Best on the pitch
C. Pastina
D · Padova
7.90
1 shots
· 61 pass
G · Padova
7.30
· 24 pass
L. Villa
D · Padova
7.30
· 40 pass
Carlo Faedo
D · Padova
7.20
· 60 pass
Lorenzo Crisetig
M · Padova
7.20
· 59 pass
P. Fusi
M · Padova
7.20
1 shots
· 26 pass
Padova — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| C. Pastina | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 54% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Villa | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlo Faedo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 48% | 5 | — | — |
| G. Favale | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Kevin Varas Marcillo | M | 77 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Lorenzo Crisetig | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 59 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Fusi | M | 68 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Capelli | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Di Mariano | F | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| M. Bortolussi | F | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Seghetti | F | 13 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Caprari | F | 22 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Silva | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Di Maggio | M | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
Reggiana — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Micai | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 38 | 23% | — | — | — |
| S. Bonetti | D | 56 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Mateus Lusuardi | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| F. Vicari | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Libutti | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 48 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Bozhanaj | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Reinhart | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Bertagnoli | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Portanova | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Lambourde | M | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Gondo | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Novakovich | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| A. Tripaldelli | D | 34 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Charlys | M | 9 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Rover | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| T. Fumagalli | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Padova vs Reggiana?
The final score was Padova 1–0 Reggiana.
What did the model predict before Padova vs Reggiana?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Padova win, 30% to a draw, and 16% to an Reggiana win.