← Serie B
Serie B · Regular Season - 35 April 18, 2026 17:15
Palermo
#4 · 72 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Cesena
#11 · 46 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Palermo
J. Pohjanpalo (ast. J. Le Douaron) 9'
J. Pohjanpalo (ast. R. Modesto) 71'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palermo a 61% win probability (draw 25%, Cesena 12%). The final result was Palermo 2–0 Cesena. In 1 previous meetings, Palermo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cesena.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
3
2.11
Actual xG
1.35
3
Saves
1
39%
Possession
61%
6
Corners
6
14
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽J. Pohjanpalo · ast. J. Le Douaron
9'
41'
A. Cerri
⚽J. Pohjanpalo · ast. R. Modesto
71'
72'
G. Frabotta / T. Corazza ↕
72'
G. Castrovilli / M. Castagnetti ↕
72'
R. Ciervo / A. Cerri ↕
↕ A. Palumbo / S. Giovane
74'
↕ J. Le Douaron / E. Gyasi
74'
78'
G. Vrioni / M. Olivieri ↕
↕ J. Segre / A. Vasic
80'
↕ R. Modesto / G. Magnani
80'
↕ J. Pohjanpalo / G. Corona
88'
90'
T. Arrigoni / T. Berti ↕
Pre-match prediction
61.67%
Palermo ←
25.64%
X
12.69%
Cesena
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Palermo) 61.67% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Palermo
1.77
2.11
+0.34
Cesena
0.74
1.35
+0.61
Palermo dominated by xG (2.11 vs 1.35). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
Palermo Palermo 3-4-2-1
1
G 6.90
32
P. Ceccaroni D 6.90
13 M. Bani M. Bani D 7.50
27
Niccolò Pierozzi D 6.90
3
M 7.90
10
F. Ranocchia M 7.30
8
J. Segre 80' M 6.20
18
R. Modesto 1 👟 80' M 8.20
5 A. Palumbo A. Palumbo 74' F 6.90
21
J. Le Douaron 1 👟 74' F 6.30
20 J. Pohjanpalo J. Pohjanpalo 2 ⚽ 88' F 8.70
Bench
14
A. Vasic 10' M 7.90
19
B. Bereszynski D
11
E. Gyasi 16' D 6.60
96
G. Magnani 10' D 6.90
66
J. Joronen G
17
S. Giovane 16' M 6.30
Cesena Cesena 4-2-3-1
33
G 6.90
27
T. Corazza 72' D 6.90
26
D 6.30
19
D 7.00
15
A. Ciofi D 6.20
25
D. Bisoli M 7.50
4
M. Castagnetti 72' M 6.60
32
M. Olivieri 77' M 6.20
14 T. Berti T. Berti 89' M 6.60
9 C. Shpendi C. Shpendi M 6.60
7
A. Cerri 72' F 7.00
Bench
99
G. Frabotta 18' D 6.70
24 M. Mangraviti M. Mangraviti D
11
R. Ciervo 18' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
J. Pohjanpalo
J. Pohjanpalo
F · Palermo
8.70
2 ⚽
5 shots · 12 pass
R. Modesto
M · Palermo
8.20
1 👟
· 24 pass
A. Vasic
M · Palermo
7.90
· 5 pass
M · Palermo
7.90
· 52 pass
M. Bani
M. Bani
D · Palermo
7.50
· 37 pass
D. Bisoli
M · Cesena
7.50
1 shots · 95 pass
Palermo Palermo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 20 7% — — —
P. Ceccaroni D 90 6.90 — — — 45 41% 1 — —
M. Bani D 90 7.50 — — — 37 35% 5 — —
Niccolò Pierozzi D 90 6.90 — — 1 19 14% — — —
M 90 7.90 — — — 52 51% — — —
F. Ranocchia M 90 7.30 — — 1 76 70% — — —
J. Segre M 80 6.20 — — 1 33 31% 3 — —
R. Modesto M 80 8.20 — 1 — 24 18% 1 — —
A. Palumbo F 74 6.90 — — 2 28 26% 1 — —
J. Le Douaron F 74 6.30 — 1 3 6 4% — — —
J. Pohjanpalo F 88 8.70 2 — 5 12 8% — — —
A. Vasic M 10 7.90 — — — 5 4% 2 — —
E. Gyasi D 16 6.60 — — — 4 4% 1 — —
G. Magnani D 10 6.90 — — — 1 1% — — —
S. Giovane M 16 6.30 — — — 6 4% — — —
Cesena Cesena — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 36 31% — — —
T. Corazza D 72 6.90 — — 1 40 35% 2 — —
D 90 6.30 — — 1 60 59% 1 — —
D 90 7.00 — — 1 65 58% 3 — —
A. Ciofi D 90 6.20 — — — 60 54% — — —
D. Bisoli M 90 7.50 — — 1 95 86% — — —
M. Castagnetti M 72 6.60 — — — 73 64% 3 — —
M. Olivieri M 77 6.20 — — 1 27 23% — — —
T. Berti M 89 6.60 — — 1 69 60% 1 — —
C. Shpendi M 90 6.60 — — — 19 18% 1 — —
A. Cerri F 72 7.00 — — 2 24 20% — 1 —
G. Frabotta D 18 6.70 — — — 7 6% — — —
R. Ciervo F 18 6.50 — — — 3 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Palermo vs Cesena?
The final score was Palermo 2–0 Cesena.
What did the model predict before Palermo vs Cesena?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Palermo win, 25% to a draw, and 12% to an Cesena win.