✓Model correct — prediction Palermo
J. Pohjanpalo
(ast. J. Le Douaron)
9'
J. Pohjanpalo
(ast. R. Modesto)
71'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palermo a 61% win probability (draw 25%, Cesena 12%). The final result was Palermo 2–0 Cesena. In 1 previous meetings, Palermo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cesena.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
3
2.11
Actual xG
1.35
3
Saves
1
39%
Possession
61%
6
Corners
6
14
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽J. Pohjanpalo
· ast. J. Le Douaron
9'
41'
A. Cerri
⚽J. Pohjanpalo
· ast. R. Modesto
71'
72'
G. Frabotta
/
T. Corazza
72'
G. Castrovilli
/
M. Castagnetti
72'
R. Ciervo
/
A. Cerri
A. Palumbo
/ S. Giovane
74'
J. Le Douaron
/ E. Gyasi
74'
78'
G. Vrioni
/
M. Olivieri
J. Segre
/ A. Vasic
80'
R. Modesto
/ G. Magnani
80'
J. Pohjanpalo
/ G. Corona
88'
90'
T. Arrigoni
/
T. Berti
Pre-match prediction
61.67%
Palermo ←
25.64%
X
12.69%
Cesena
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Palermo)
61.67%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.77
2.11
+0.34
0.74
1.35
+0.61
Palermo dominated by xG (2.11 vs 1.35).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
32
Pietro Ceccaroni
D
Pietro Ceccaroni
D
13
M. Bani
D
M. Bani
D
27
N. Pierozzi
D
N. Pierozzi
D
3
M
10
Filippo Ranocchia
M
Filippo Ranocchia
M
8
Jacopo Segre
80'
M
Jacopo Segre
80'
M
18
Rui Modesto
1 👟
80'
M
Rui Modesto
1 👟
80'
M
5
A. Palumbo
74'
F
A. Palumbo
74'
F
21
Jérémy Le Douaron
1 👟
74'
F
Jérémy Le Douaron
1 👟
74'
F
20
J. Pohjanpalo
2 ⚽
88'
F
J. Pohjanpalo
2 ⚽
88'
F
Bench
14
Aljoša Vasić
10'
M
Aljoša Vasić
10'
M
19
Bartosz Bereszyński
D
Bartosz Bereszyński
D
11
Emmanuel Gyasi
16'
D
Emmanuel Gyasi
16'
D
96
Giangiacomo Magnani
10'
D
Giangiacomo Magnani
10'
D
66
Jesse Joronen
G
Jesse Joronen
G
17
Samuel Giovane
16'
M
Samuel Giovane
16'
M
33
G
27
T. Corazza
72'
D
26
D
19
D
15
A. Ciofi
D
25
D. Bisoli
M
4
M. Castagnetti
72'
M
32
M. Olivieri
77'
M
14
T. Berti
89'
M
T. Berti
89'
M
9
C. Shpendi
M
C. Shpendi
M
7
A. Cerri
72'
F
Bench
99
G. Frabotta
18'
D
24
M. Mangraviti
D
M. Mangraviti
D
11
R. Ciervo
18'
F
Best on the pitch
J. Pohjanpalo
F · Palermo
8.70
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 12 pass
Rui Modesto
M · Palermo
8.20
1 👟
· 24 pass
Aljoša Vasić
M · Palermo
7.90
· 5 pass
M · Palermo
7.90
· 52 pass
M. Bani
D · Palermo
7.50
· 37 pass
D. Bisoli
M · Cesena
7.50
1 shots
· 95 pass
Palermo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 7% | — | — | — | |
| Pietro Ceccaroni | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Bani | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 35% | 5 | — | — |
| N. Pierozzi | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 51% | — | — | — | |
| Filippo Ranocchia | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 70% | — | — | — |
| Jacopo Segre | M | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| Rui Modesto | M | 80 | 8.20 | — | 1 | — | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Palumbo | F | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Jérémy Le Douaron | F | 74 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Pohjanpalo | F | 88 | 8.70 | 2 | — | 5 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Aljoša Vasić | M | 10 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Emmanuel Gyasi | D | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Giangiacomo Magnani | D | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Giovane | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Cesena — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | — | — | — | |
| T. Corazza | D | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 59% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 58% | 3 | — | — | |
| A. Ciofi | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 54% | — | — | — |
| D. Bisoli | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 95 | 86% | — | — | — |
| M. Castagnetti | M | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 73 | 64% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Olivieri | M | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| T. Berti | M | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Shpendi | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Cerri | F | 72 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Frabotta | D | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| R. Ciervo | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Palermo vs Cesena?
The final score was Palermo 2–0 Cesena.
What did the model predict before Palermo vs Cesena?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Palermo win, 25% to a draw, and 12% to an Cesena win.