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Serie B · Regular Season - 35 April 18, 2026 17:15 Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo
Palermo
#1 · 9 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Cesena
#11 · 5 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Palermo
J. Pohjanpalo (ast. J. Le Douaron) 9'
J. Pohjanpalo (ast. R. Modesto) 71'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palermo a 61% win probability (draw 25%, Cesena 12%). The final result was Palermo 2–0 Cesena. In 1 previous meetings, Palermo have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cesena.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
3
2.11
Actual xG
1.35
3
Saves
1
39%
Possession
61%
6
Corners
6
14
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽J. Pohjanpalo · ast. J. Le Douaron
9'
41'
A. Cerri
⚽J. Pohjanpalo · ast. R. Modesto
71'
72'
G. Frabotta / T. Corazza ↕
72'
G. Castrovilli / M. Castagnetti ↕
72'
R. Ciervo / A. Cerri ↕
↕ A. Palumbo / S. Giovane
74'
↕ J. Le Douaron / E. Gyasi
74'
78'
G. Vrioni / M. Olivieri ↕
↕ J. Segre / A. Vasic
80'
↕ R. Modesto / G. Magnani
80'
↕ J. Pohjanpalo / G. Corona
88'
90'
T. Arrigoni / T. Berti ↕
Pre-match prediction
61.67%
Palermo ←
25.64%
X
12.69%
Cesena
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Palermo) 61.67% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Palermo
1.77
2.11
+0.34
Cesena
0.74
1.35
+0.61
Palermo dominated by xG (2.11 vs 1.35). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 3 9
2 Sudtirol Sudtirol 4 8
3 Mantova Mantova 3 7
4 Modena Modena 4 7
5 Ascoli Ascoli 4 7
6 Padova Padova 4 7
7 Arezzo Arezzo 4 6
8 Pisa Pisa 4 6
9 Avellino Avellino 3 6
10 Empoli Empoli 4 6
11 Cesena Cesena 3 5
12 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 4 5
13 Benevento Benevento 4 4
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 4 4
15 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 4 4
16 Cremonese Cremonese 3 3
17 Catanzaro Catanzaro 4 3
18 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 4 2
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 3 1
20 Carrarese Carrarese 4 1
Lineups
Palermo Palermo 3-4-2-1
1
G 6.90
32 P. Ceccaroni P. Ceccaroni D 6.90
13 M. Bani M. Bani D 7.50
27 N. Pierozzi N. Pierozzi D 6.90
3
M 7.90
10 F. Ranocchia F. Ranocchia M 7.30
8 J. Segre J. Segre 80' M 6.20
18 Rui Modesto Rui Modesto 1 👟 80' M 8.20
5 A. Palumbo A. Palumbo 74' F 6.90
21 J. Le Douaron J. Le Douaron 1 👟 74' F 6.30
20 J. Pohjanpalo J. Pohjanpalo 2 ⚽ 88' F 8.70
Bench
14 A. Vasic A. Vasic 10' M 7.90
19 B. Bereszyński B. Bereszyński D
11 E. Gyasi E. Gyasi 16' D 6.60
96 G. Magnani G. Magnani 10' D 6.90
66 Jesse Joronen Jesse Joronen G
17 S. Giovane S. Giovane 16' M 6.30
Cesena Cesena 4-2-3-1
33
G 6.90
27 T. Corazza T. Corazza 72' D 6.90
26
D 6.30
19
D 7.00
15 A. Ciofi A. Ciofi D 6.20
25 D. Bisoli D. Bisoli M 7.50
4
M. Castagnetti 72' M 6.60
32 M. Olivieri M. Olivieri 77' M 6.20
14 T. Berti T. Berti 89' M 6.60
9 C. Shpendi C. Shpendi M 6.60
7 A. Cerri A. Cerri 72' F 7.00
Bench
99 G. Frabotta G. Frabotta 18' D 6.70
24 M. Mangraviti M. Mangraviti D
11 R. Ciervo R. Ciervo 18' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
J. Pohjanpalo
J. Pohjanpalo
F · Palermo
8.70
2 ⚽
5 shots · 12 pass
Rui Modesto
Rui Modesto
M · Palermo
8.20
1 👟
· 24 pass
A. Vasic
A. Vasic
M · Palermo
7.90
· 5 pass
M · Palermo
7.90
· 52 pass
M. Bani
M. Bani
D · Palermo
7.50
· 37 pass
D. Bisoli
D. Bisoli
M · Cesena
7.50
1 shots · 95 pass
Palermo Palermo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 20 7% — — —
P. Ceccaroni D 90 6.90 — — — 45 41% 1 — —
M. Bani D 90 7.50 — — — 37 35% 5 — —
N. Pierozzi D 90 6.90 — — 1 19 14% — — —
M 90 7.90 — — — 52 51% — — —
F. Ranocchia M 90 7.30 — — 1 76 70% — — —
J. Segre M 80 6.20 — — 1 33 31% 3 — —
Rui Modesto M 80 8.20 — 1 — 24 18% 1 — —
A. Palumbo F 74 6.90 — — 2 28 26% 1 — —
J. Le Douaron F 74 6.30 — 1 3 6 4% — — —
J. Pohjanpalo F 88 8.70 2 — 5 12 8% — — —
A. Vasic M 10 7.90 — — — 5 4% 2 — —
E. Gyasi D 16 6.60 — — — 4 4% 1 — —
G. Magnani D 10 6.90 — — — 1 1% — — —
S. Giovane M 16 6.30 — — — 6 4% — — —
Cesena Cesena — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.90 — — — 36 31% — — —
T. Corazza D 72 6.90 — — 1 40 35% 2 — —
D 90 6.30 — — 1 60 59% 1 — —
D 90 7.00 — — 1 65 58% 3 — —
A. Ciofi D 90 6.20 — — — 60 54% — — —
D. Bisoli M 90 7.50 — — 1 95 86% — — —
M. Castagnetti M 72 6.60 — — — 73 64% 3 — —
M. Olivieri M 77 6.20 — — 1 27 23% — — —
T. Berti M 89 6.60 — — 1 69 60% 1 — —
C. Shpendi M 90 6.60 — — — 19 18% 1 — —
A. Cerri F 72 7.00 — — 2 24 20% — 1 —
G. Frabotta D 18 6.70 — — — 7 6% — — —
R. Ciervo F 18 6.50 — — — 3 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Palermo vs Cesena?
The final score was Palermo 2–0 Cesena.
What did the model predict before Palermo vs Cesena?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Palermo win, 25% to a draw, and 12% to an Cesena win.