Primera División
· Regular Season - 11
April 24, 2026 04:00
(pen.)
17'
J. Larrivey
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palestino a 53% win probability (draw 26%, Concepción 20%). The final result was Palestino 0–1 Concepción.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
4
3
Saves
2
67%
Possession
33%
4
Corners
0
13
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
17'
(pen.)
J. Larrivey⚽
34'
M. Cavalleri
M. Araya
/ D. Salgado
46'
S. Gallegos
48'
D. Salgado
54'
59'
J. Larrivey
C. Munder
/ N. Da Silva
60'
I. A. Garguez Gomez
/ A. A. Ceza Gavilan
61'
S. Gallegos
/ G. Tapia Paez
61'
61'
Y. Rodriguez
/
M. Cavalleri
66'
M. Gonzalez
/
J. Henriquez
66'
J. Rojas
/
N. Rodriguez
78'
A. Gillard
/
A. Jara
78'
L. Valencia Rossel
/
J. Larrivey
F. T. Montes Romero
/ B. Carrasco
79'
S. A. Perez Kirby
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
53.16%
Palestino
26.29%
X
20.55%
Concepción ←
we assigned to the actual result (Concepción)
20.55%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.71
—
—
0.60
—
—
Lineups
25
S. A. Perez Kirby
G
23
J. Leon
D
3
Enzo Roco
D
2
Vicente Espinoza
D
29
I. A. Garguez Gomez
61'
D
8
N. Meza
M
15
Francisco Montes
79'
M
21
45'
M
18
S. Gallegos
61'
M
S. Gallegos
61'
M
27
C. Munder
60'
M
C. Munder
60'
M
9
R. Fernandez
F
Bench
7
B. Carrasco
11'
F
B. Carrasco
11'
F
6
F. Meza
D
5
J. Fernández
M
J. Fernández
M
19
N. Da Silva
30'
F
N. Da Silva
30'
F
25
G
29
D
21
N. Rodriguez
66'
D
13
C. Suarez
D
11
D
20
J. Henriquez
66'
M
24
M. Cavalleri
61'
M
32
J. Larrivey
1 ⚽
78'
M
22
M
19
A. Jara
78'
M
17
F
Bench
7
Ángel Gillard
12'
F
30
Ethan Espinoza
M
10
L. Valencia Rossel
12'
M
18
Y. Rodriguez
29'
M
Best on the pitch
G · Concepción
8.00
· 32 pass
N. Meza
M · Palestino
7.70
· 52 pass
C. Suarez
D · Concepción
7.60
· 31 pass
J. Leon
D · Palestino
7.50
2 shots
· 73 pass
Vicente Espinoza
D · Palestino
7.30
1 shots
· 66 pass
J. Larrivey
M · Concepción
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 19 pass
Palestino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. A. Perez Kirby | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Leon | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 73 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Enzo Roco | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 64 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Vicente Espinoza | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 59% | 3 | — | — |
| I. A. Garguez Gomez | D | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Meza | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 52 | 48% | 3 | — | — |
| Francisco Montes | M | 79 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — | |
| S. Gallegos | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Munder | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 12% | — | — | — |
| R. Fernandez | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 8% | — | — | — |
| B. Carrasco | F | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| N. Da Silva | F | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 1% | — | — | — |
Concepción — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 3 | — | — | |
| N. Rodriguez | D | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 13% | — | — | — |
| C. Suarez | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | 2 | — | — | |
| J. Henriquez | M | 66 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Cavalleri | M | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Larrivey | M | 78 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 19 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 5 | — | — | |
| A. Jara | M | 78 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| F | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — | |
| Ángel Gillard | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — | — |
| L. Valencia Rossel | M | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Rodriguez | M | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Palestino vs Concepción?
The final score was Palestino 0–1 Concepción.
What did the model predict before Palestino vs Concepción?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Palestino win, 26% to a draw, and 20% to an Concepción win.