Palestino 0–1 Concepción — pre-match prediction — Primera División — April 24, 2026

← Primera División

Primera División · Regular Season - 11 April 24, 2026 02:00 Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna, Santiago de Chile

Palestino

#5 · 36 pts

0 – 1

Final score

Concepción

#8 · 31 pts

(pen.) 17' J. Larrivey

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palestino a 53% win probability (draw 26%, Concepción 20%). The final result was Palestino 0–1 Concepción.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

67%

Possession

33%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

17'

(pen.) J. Larrivey⚽

34'

M. Cavalleri

↕ M. Araya / D. Salgado

46'

S. Gallegos

48'

D. Salgado

54'

59'

J. Larrivey

↕ C. Munder / N. Da Silva

60'

↕ I. A. Garguez Gomez / A. A. Ceza Gavilan

61'

↕ S. Gallegos / G. Tapia Paez

61'

Y. Rodriguez / M. Cavalleri ↕

66'

M. Gonzalez / J. Henriquez ↕

66'

J. Rojas / N. Rodriguez ↕

78'

A. Gillard / A. Jara ↕

78'

L. Valencia Rossel / J. Larrivey ↕

↕ F. T. Montes Romero / B. Carrasco

79'

S. A. Perez Kirby

90'+3

Pre-match prediction

53.16%

Palestino

26.29%

20.55%

Concepción ←

we assigned to the actual result (Concepción) 20.55% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Palestino

1.71

—

Concepción

0.60

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Colo Colo	23	54
2	U. Catolica	23	42
3	Universidad de Chile	23	42
4	Everton de Vina	23	36
5	Palestino	23	36
6	Deportes Limache	23	33
7	Nublense	23	32
8	Concepción	23	31
9	D. La Serena	23	30
10	Coquimbo Unido	22	29
11	A. Italiano	23	28
12	O'Higgins	23	27
13	Huachipato	21	25
14	Cobresal	23	24
15	Universidad de Concepcion	22	22
16	Union La Calera	23	17

Lineups

Palestino 4-2-3-1

S. Pérez G 6.20

Jason León D 7.50

E. Roco D 7.20

V. Espinoza D 7.30

I. A. Garguez Gomez 61' D 6.90

N. Meza M 7.70

F. Montes 79' M 7.00

45' M 6.70

S. Gallegos 61' M 6.70

C. Munder 60' M 6.20

R. Fernández F 6.20

Bench

B. Carrasco 11' F 6.90

F. Meza D

J. Fernández M

N. Da Silva 30' F 6.60

Concepción 4-1-4-1

G 8.00

D 7.20

N. Rodríguez 66' D 6.90

Cristián Suárez D 7.60

D 6.30

J. Henríquez 66' M 6.60

M. Cavalleri 61' M 6.50

J. Larrivey 1 ⚽ 78' M 7.30

M 6.70

A. Jara 78' M 7.00

F 5.90

Bench

A. Gillard 12' F 6.30

E. Espinoza M

L. Valencia 12' M 6.60

Y. Rodríguez 29' M 6.30

Best on the pitch

G · Concepción

8.00

· 32 pass

N. Meza

M · Palestino

7.70

· 52 pass

Cristián Suárez

D · Concepción

7.60

· 31 pass

Jason León

D · Palestino

7.50

2 shots · 73 pass

V. Espinoza

D · Palestino

7.30

1 shots · 66 pass

J. Larrivey

M · Concepción

7.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 19 pass

Palestino — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
S. Pérez	G	90	6.20	—	—	—	28	26%	—	1	—
Jason León	D	90	7.50	—	—	2	73	56%	1	—	—
E. Roco	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	64	53%	—	—	—
V. Espinoza	D	90	7.30	—	—	1	66	59%	3	—	—
I. A. Garguez Gomez	D	61	6.90	—	—	—	22	16%	2	—	—
N. Meza	M	90	7.70	—	—	—	52	48%	3	—	—
F. Montes	M	79	7.00	—	—	—	29	24%	3	—	—
	M	45	6.70	—	—	—	13	10%	1	—	—
S. Gallegos	M	61	6.70	—	—	1	27	19%	—	1	—
C. Munder	M	60	6.20	—	—	2	23	12%	—	—	—
R. Fernández	F	90	6.20	—	—	1	17	8%	—	—	—
B. Carrasco	F	11	6.90	—	—	—	5	3%	—	—	—
N. Da Silva	F	30	6.60	—	—	2	7	1%	—	—	—

Concepción — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	8.00	—	—	—	32	17%	—	—	—
	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	16	11%	3	—	—
N. Rodríguez	D	66	6.90	—	—	—	25	13%	—	—	—
Cristián Suárez	D	90	7.60	—	—	—	31	22%	1	—	—
	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	20	13%	2	—	—
J. Henríquez	M	66	6.60	—	—	2	21	12%	3	—	—
M. Cavalleri	M	61	6.50	—	—	1	17	11%	—	1	—
J. Larrivey	M	78	7.30	1	—	3	19	11%	1	1	—
	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	12	8%	5	—	—
A. Jara	M	78	7.00	—	—	2	14	12%	—	—	—
	F	90	5.90	—	—	1	10	8%	—	—	—
A. Gillard	F	12	6.30	—	—	—	1	—	2	—	—
L. Valencia	M	12	6.60	—	—	—	3	3%	1	—	—
Y. Rodríguez	M	29	6.30	—	—	—	7	2%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Palestino vs Concepción?

The final score was Palestino 0–1 Concepción.

What did the model predict before Palestino vs Concepción?

The model assigned 53% probability to a Palestino win, 26% to a draw, and 20% to an Concepción win.