Palestino - D. La Serena

Primera División May 16, 2026 02:00

Palestino

#11 · 14 pts

02:00

vs

D. La Serena

#10 · 14 pts

Weather at kick-off 🌤️ Mainly clear 9.9°C 💨 1 km/h · Santiago de Chile

⚡ Pre-match analysis

42.82%

Win

Palestino

27.18%

Draw

30.01%

Win

D. La Serena

1.58

Expected xG

1.2

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Palestino a 42% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 30% for D. La Serena. Expected goals are 1.6 for Palestino and 1.2 for D. La Serena (total 2.8), with a 69% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.8% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ Palestino D. La Serena →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6.2%	7.4%	4.5%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%
1	9.8%	11.8%	7.1%	2.8%	0.9%	0.2%
2	7.7%	9.3%	5.6%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%
3	4.1%	4.9%	2.9%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.6%	1.9%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%	—
5	0.5%	0.6%	0.4%	0.1%	—	—

Recent form

Palestino

L Concepción 0–1

W Colo Colo 0–1

W Deportes Limache 1–0

L U. Catolica 6–1

L Universidad de Concepcion 1–0

Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 33%

D. La Serena

D Huachipato 0–0

D Concepción 3–3

W Everton de Vina 1–0

L Universidad de Chile 4–0

D Nublense 2–2

Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 24%

Playing profile

Palestino

Attack

37

Defence

61

Form

50

D. La Serena

Attack

38

Defence

70

Form

46

Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Colo Colo	11	24
2	Deportes Limache	11	21
3	Huachipato	11	19
4	O'Higgins	11	19
5	U. Catolica	11	17
6	Universidad de Chile	11	17
7	Nublense	11	17
8	Coquimbo Unido	11	16
9	Everton de Vina	11	15
10	D. La Serena	11	14
11	Palestino	11	14
12	Universidad de Concepcion	11	14
13	A. Italiano	11	11
14	Cobresal	11	10
15	Union La Calera	11	10
16	Concepción	11	8