✓Model correct — prediction Palestino
B. Carrasco
(ast. I. A. Garguez Gomez)
7'
F. T. Montes Romero
24'
N. Da Silva
39'
C. Munder
76'
J. Leon
(ast. N. Meza)
83'
86'
A. Henriquez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palestino a 57% win probability (draw 21%, D. La Serena 20%). The final result was Palestino 5–1 D. La Serena.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
9
10
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
5
45%
Possession
55%
2
Corners
3
18
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽B. Carrasco
· ast. I. A. Garguez Gomez
7'
⚽F. T. Montes Romero
24'
31'
R. Delgado
/
A. Zanini
⚽N. Da Silva
39'
46'
J. Gutierrez
/
F. Chamorro
F. T. Montes Romero
/ J. Fernandez
46'
46'
S. Diaz
/
L. Alarcon
54'
N. Stefanelli
/
D. Rubio
N. Da Silva
/ R. Fernandez
64'
S. Gallegos
/ G. Tapia Paez
64'
B. Carrasco
/ M. Araya
67'
⚽C. Munder
(missed pen.)
76'
⚽C. Munder
76'
78'
B. Gutierrez
79'
M. Marin
/
J. Orellana
⚽J. Leon
· ast. N. Meza
83'
E. Roco
/ J. Bizama
84'
86'
A. Henriquez⚽
Pre-match prediction
57.59%
Palestino ←
21.61%
X
20.8%
D.
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Palestino)
57.59%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.59
—
—
1.08
—
—
Lineups
25
Sebastián Pérez
G
Sebastián Pérez
G
23
Jason León
1 ⚽
D
Jason León
1 ⚽
D
3
Enzo Roco
84'
D
Enzo Roco
84'
D
2
Vicente Espinoza
D
Vicente Espinoza
D
29
Ian Garguez
1 👟
D
Ian Garguez
1 👟
D
8
Nicolás Meza
1 👟
M
Nicolás Meza
1 👟
M
18
S. Gallegos
64'
M
S. Gallegos
64'
M
27
César Munder
1 ⚽
M
César Munder
1 ⚽
M
15
Francisco Montes
45'
M
Francisco Montes
45'
M
7
Bryan Carrasco
1 ⚽
67'
M
Bryan Carrasco
1 ⚽
67'
M
19
N. Da Silva
1 ⚽
64'
F
N. Da Silva
1 ⚽
64'
F
Bench
4
Antonio Ceza
D
Antonio Ceza
D
24
Dilan Salgado
F
Dilan Salgado
F
20
Gonzalo Tapia
29'
F
Gonzalo Tapia
29'
F
30
Ian Alegría
F
Ian Alegría
F
16
José Bizama
9'
D
José Bizama
9'
D
5
Julián Fernández
48'
M
Julián Fernández
48'
M
21
Martín Araya
26'
F
Martín Araya
26'
F
9
Ronnie Fernández
29'
F
Ronnie Fernández
29'
F
1
Sebastián Salas
G
Sebastián Salas
G
1
Federico Lanzillotta
G
Federico Lanzillotta
G
17
Y. Salazar
D
Y. Salazar
D
5
Lucas Alarcón
45'
D
Lucas Alarcón
45'
D
2
Andrés Zanini
31'
D
Andrés Zanini
31'
D
21
B. Gutiérrez
D
B. Gutiérrez
D
28
Joan Orellana
79'
M
Joan Orellana
79'
M
10
J. Vargas
M
J. Vargas
M
8
Gonzalo Escalante
M
Gonzalo Escalante
M
14
F. Chamorro
45'
M
F. Chamorro
45'
M
9
Ángelo Henríquez
1 ⚽
M
Ángelo Henríquez
1 ⚽
M
11
D. Rubio
54'
F
D. Rubio
54'
F
Bench
19
Bastián Sandoval
F
Bastián Sandoval
F
22
Eryin Sanhueza
G
Eryin Sanhueza
G
24
Fabricio Diaz
F
Fabricio Diaz
F
26
Fernando Dinamarca
D
Fernando Dinamarca
D
16
Joaquín Gutiérrez
48'
D
Joaquín Gutiérrez
48'
D
23
Matías Marín
14'
M
Matías Marín
14'
M
34
Nicolás Stefanelli
39'
F
Nicolás Stefanelli
39'
F
33
Rafael Delgado
62'
D
Rafael Delgado
62'
D
6
S. Díaz
48'
M
S. Díaz
48'
M
Best on the pitch
Jason León
D · Palestino
8.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 39 pass
César Munder
M · Palestino
8.30
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 25 pass
Francisco Montes
M · Palestino
7.90
1 shots
· 12 pass
Bryan Carrasco
M · Palestino
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
N. Da Silva
F · Palestino
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
Nicolás Meza
M · Palestino
7.20
1 👟
· 35 pass
Palestino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastián Pérez | G | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Jason León | D | 93 | 8.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 39 | 31% | 5 | — | — |
| Enzo Roco | D | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Vicente Espinoza | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Ian Garguez | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 38 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Meza | M | 93 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 35 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Gallegos | M | 64 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| César Munder | M | 93 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 5 | 25 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Montes | M | 45 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Bryan Carrasco | M | 67 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| N. Da Silva | F | 64 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 16 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Tapia | F | 29 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| José Bizama | D | 9 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Julián Fernández | M | 48 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Martín Araya | F | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Ronnie Fernández | F | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 4% | — | — | — |
D. La Serena — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federico Lanzillotta | G | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Y. Salazar | D | 93 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Lucas Alarcón | D | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Andrés Zanini | D | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Gutiérrez | D | 93 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Joan Orellana | M | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 38 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Vargas | M | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Escalante | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 41% | 4 | — | — |
| F. Chamorro | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Ángelo Henríquez | M | 93 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Rubio | F | 54 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Gutiérrez | D | 48 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Matías Marín | M | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Stefanelli | F | 39 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Delgado | D | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Díaz | M | 48 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Palestino vs D. La Serena?
The final score was Palestino 5–1 D. La Serena.
What did the model predict before Palestino vs D. La Serena?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Palestino win, 21% to a draw, and 20% to an D. La Serena win.