Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 3
April 30, 2026 02:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palestino a 29% win probability (draw 47%, Gremio 23%). The final result was Palestino 0–0 Gremio.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
2
0.35
Actual xG
1.37
2
Saves
3
43%
Possession
57%
2
Corners
1
17
Tackles
8
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
4'
L. Perez
E. Roco
15'
17'
(missed pen.)
Carlos Vinicius⚽
28'
Dodi
S. Gallegos
31'
46'
Arthur Melo
/
Dodi
46'
E. Noriega
/
L. Perez
46'
J. Enamorado
/
Willian
71'
M. Braithwaite
/
Tete
71'
Riquelme
/
Caio Paulista
N. Da Silva
/ F. Meza
76'
B. Carrasco
/ R. Fernandez
76'
F. T. Montes Romero
/ D. Salgado
76'
79'
R. Fernandez
79'
C. Munder
/ G. Tapia Paez
85'
F. Meza
87'
89'
Carlos Vinicius
Pre-match prediction
29.13%
Palestino
47.31%
X ←
23.56%
Gremio
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
47.31%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.54
0.35
-0.19
0.47
1.37
+0.9
Gremio dominated by xG (1.37 vs 0.35).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
S. A. Perez Kirby
G
28
Dilan Zúñiga
D
3
Enzo Roco
D
2
Vicente Espinoza
D
29
I. A. Garguez Gomez
D
8
N. Meza
M
27
C. Munder
85'
M
C. Munder
85'
M
15
Francisco Montes
76'
M
18
S. Gallegos
M
S. Gallegos
M
7
B. Carrasco
76'
M
B. Carrasco
76'
M
19
N. Da Silva
76'
F
N. Da Silva
76'
F
Bench
6
F. Meza
11'
D
23
J. Leon
D
9
R. Fernandez
21'
F
1
G
38
Caio Paulista
71'
D
Caio Paulista
71'
D
44
Viery
D
Viery
D
6
Gustavo Martins
D
Gustavo Martins
D
7
Cristian Pavón
D
Cristian Pavón
D
17
Dodi
45'
M
Dodi
45'
M
33
Leonel Pérez
45'
M
Leonel Pérez
45'
M
10
Willian
45'
M
Willian
45'
M
37
Gabriel Mec
M
Gabriel Mec
M
21
Tetê
71'
M
Tetê
71'
M
95
Carlos Vinícius
F
Carlos Vinícius
F
Bench
8
Arthur Melo
52'
M
19
Erick Noriega
52'
M
Erick Noriega
52'
M
2
Fabián Balbuena
D
Fabián Balbuena
D
99
José Enamorado
52'
F
José Enamorado
52'
F
14
Marcos Rocha
D
Marcos Rocha
D
22
Martin Braithwaite
26'
F
Martin Braithwaite
26'
F
54
Pedro Gabriel
D
Pedro Gabriel
D
65
Riquelme
26'
M
3
Wagner Leonardo
D
Wagner Leonardo
D
4
Walter Kannemann
D
Walter Kannemann
D
Best on the pitch
G · Gremio
7.60
· 33 pass
Vicente Espinoza
D · Palestino
7.30
· 26 pass
Viery
D · Gremio
7.30
1 shots
· 73 pass
Enzo Roco
D · Palestino
7.20
1 shots
· 16 pass
I. A. Garguez Gomez
D · Palestino
7.20
· 23 pass
N. Meza
M · Palestino
7.20
· 31 pass
Palestino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. A. Perez Kirby | G | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Dilan Zúñiga | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Enzo Roco | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Vicente Espinoza | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| I. A. Garguez Gomez | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Meza | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Munder | M | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Montes | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Gallegos | M | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 32% | 4 | 1 | — |
| B. Carrasco | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| N. Da Silva | F | 76 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| F. Meza | D | 11 | 5.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
| R. Fernandez | F | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
Gremio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| Caio Paulista | D | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Viery | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 73 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Martins | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 70 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Pavón | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Dodi | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Leonel Pérez | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Willian | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Mec | M | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Tetê | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Vinícius | F | 97 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Arthur Melo | M | 52 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Erick Noriega | M | 52 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| José Enamorado | F | 52 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Martin Braithwaite | F | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Riquelme | M | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Palestino vs Gremio?
The final score was Palestino 0–0 Gremio.
What did the model predict before Palestino vs Gremio?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Palestino win, 47% to a draw, and 23% to an Gremio win.