Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 3
April 30, 2026 02:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palestino a 29% win probability (draw 47%, Gremio 23%). The final result was Palestino 0–0 Gremio. In 1 previous meetings, Palestino have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Gremio.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
2
0.35
Actual xG
1.37
2
Saves
3
43%
Possession
57%
2
Corners
1
17
Tackles
8
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
4'
L. Perez
E. Roco
15'
17'
(missed pen.)
Carlos Vinicius⚽
28'
Dodi
S. Gallegos
31'
46'
Arthur Melo
/
Dodi
46'
E. Noriega
/
L. Perez
46'
J. Enamorado
/
Willian
71'
M. Braithwaite
/
Tete
71'
Riquelme
/
Caio Paulista
N. Da Silva
/ F. Meza
76'
B. Carrasco
/ R. Fernandez
76'
F. T. Montes Romero
/ D. Salgado
76'
79'
R. Fernandez
79'
C. Munder
/ G. Tapia Paez
85'
F. Meza
87'
89'
Carlos Vinicius
Pre-match prediction
29.13%
Palestino
47.31%
X ←
23.56%
Gremio
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
47.31%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.54
0.35
-0.19
0.47
1.37
+0.9
Gremio dominated by xG (1.37 vs 0.35).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
Sebastián Pérez
G
Sebastián Pérez
G
28
Dilan Zúñiga
D
Dilan Zúñiga
D
3
Enzo Roco
D
Enzo Roco
D
2
Vicente Espinoza
D
Vicente Espinoza
D
29
I. A. Garguez Gomez
D
8
Nicolás Meza
M
Nicolás Meza
M
27
César Munder
85'
M
César Munder
85'
M
15
Francisco Montes
76'
M
Francisco Montes
76'
M
18
S. Gallegos
M
S. Gallegos
M
7
Bryan Carrasco
76'
M
Bryan Carrasco
76'
M
19
N. Da Silva
76'
F
N. Da Silva
76'
F
Bench
6
F. Meza
11'
D
F. Meza
11'
D
23
Jason León
D
Jason León
D
9
Ronnie Fernández
21'
F
Ronnie Fernández
21'
F
1
G
38
Caio Paulista
71'
D
Caio Paulista
71'
D
44
Viery
D
Viery
D
6
Gustavo Martins
D
Gustavo Martins
D
7
Cristian Pavón
D
Cristian Pavón
D
17
Dodi
45'
M
Dodi
45'
M
33
Leonel Pérez
45'
M
Leonel Pérez
45'
M
10
Willian
45'
M
Willian
45'
M
37
Gabriel Mec
M
Gabriel Mec
M
21
Tetê
71'
M
Tetê
71'
M
95
Carlos Vinícius
F
Carlos Vinícius
F
Bench
8
Arthur
52'
M
Arthur
52'
M
19
Erick Noriega
52'
M
Erick Noriega
52'
M
2
Fabián Balbuena
D
Fabián Balbuena
D
99
José Enamorado
52'
F
José Enamorado
52'
F
14
Marcos Rocha
D
Marcos Rocha
D
22
M. Braithwaite
26'
F
M. Braithwaite
26'
F
54
Pedro Gabriel
D
Pedro Gabriel
D
65
Riquelme Freitas
26'
M
Riquelme Freitas
26'
M
3
Wagner Leonardo
D
Wagner Leonardo
D
4
W. Kannemann
D
W. Kannemann
D
Best on the pitch
G · Gremio
7.60
· 33 pass
Vicente Espinoza
D · Palestino
7.30
· 26 pass
Viery
D · Gremio
7.30
1 shots
· 73 pass
Enzo Roco
D · Palestino
7.20
1 shots
· 16 pass
I. A. Garguez Gomez
D · Palestino
7.20
· 23 pass
Nicolás Meza
M · Palestino
7.20
· 31 pass
Palestino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastián Pérez | G | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Dilan Zúñiga | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Enzo Roco | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Vicente Espinoza | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| I. A. Garguez Gomez | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Nicolás Meza | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| César Munder | M | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Montes | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Gallegos | M | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 32% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Bryan Carrasco | M | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| N. Da Silva | F | 76 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| F. Meza | D | 11 | 5.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
| Ronnie Fernández | F | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
Gremio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| Caio Paulista | D | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Viery | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 73 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Martins | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 70 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Pavón | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Dodi | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Leonel Pérez | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Willian | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Mec | M | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Tetê | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Vinícius | F | 97 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Arthur | M | 52 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Erick Noriega | M | 52 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| José Enamorado | F | 52 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Braithwaite | F | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Riquelme Freitas | M | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Palestino vs Gremio?
The final score was Palestino 0–0 Gremio.
What did the model predict before Palestino vs Gremio?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Palestino win, 47% to a draw, and 23% to an Gremio win.