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Super League · Championship Group - 3 May 03, 2026 20:00
Panathinaikos
#4 · 51 pts
0 – 0
Final score
AEK Athens FC
#1 · 71 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AEK Athens FC a 37% win probability (draw 30%, Panathinaikos 32%). The final result was Panathinaikos 0–0 AEK Athens FC. In 3 previous meetings, Panathinaikos have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for AEK Athens FC.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
4
1.21
Actual xG
2.15
4
Saves
4
35%
Possession
65%
2
Corners
7
18
Tackles
22
1
🟨 Yellow cards
6
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
J. Hernandez
17'
29'
M. Georgiev
S. I. Ingason
39'
42'
S. Pilios
45'
F. Relvas
46'
J. Penrice / S. Pilios ↕
58'
L. Jovic / Zini ↕
58'
Joao Mario / R. Pereyra ↕
↕ S. Kontouris / A. Bakasetas
69'
↕ V. Taborda / F. Pellistri
69'
69'
D. Vida
73'
N. Eliasson / O. Pineda ↕
↕ S. Andino / A. Zaroury
77'
87'
Joao Mario
↕ A. Tetteh / M. Pantovic
88'
90'+3
R. Marin
Pre-match prediction
32.19%
Panathinaikos
30.75%
X ←
37.06%
AEK
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 30.75% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Panathinaikos
1.36
1.21
-0.15
AEK
1.49
2.15
+0.66
AEK Athens FC dominated by xG (2.15 vs 1.21). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atromitos Atromitos 34 43
1 Levadiakos Levadiakos 31 31
1 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 31 71
2 Kifisia Kifisia 34 37
2 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 31 65
2 Aris Thessalonikis Aris Thessalonikis 31 28
3 Panetolikos Panetolikos 34 35
3 OFI OFI 31 20
3 PAOK PAOK 31 63
4 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 34 32
4 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 31 51
4 Volos NFC Volos NFC 31 17
5 Panserraikos Panserraikos 34 28
6 Larisa Larisa 34 27
Lineups
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 5-4-1
40
G 7.30
77 Georgios Kyriakopoulos Georgios Kyriakopoulos D 6.20
26 Javier Hernández Javier Hernández 17' D 3.00
15
S. I. Ingason D 7.50
14 Erik Palmer Brown Erik Palmer Brown D 7.90
2 Davide Calabria Davide Calabria D 7.30
10 Santino Andino Santino Andino 77' M 6.90
16
M 6.60
18 Sotiris Kontouris Sotiris Kontouris 69' M 6.70
20 Vicente Taborda Vicente Taborda 69' M 6.60
7
88' F 7.90
Bench
11
A. Bakasetas 21' M 6.60
9 Anass Zaroury Anass Zaroury 13' F 6.70
28
F. Pellistri 21' M 6.60
19 Karol Świderski Karol Świderski F
4 Pedro Chirivella Pedro Chirivella M
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 4-4-2
1
G 7.50
3 Stavros Pilios Stavros Pilios 45' D 7.30
44 Filipe Relvas Filipe Relvas D 7.20
2
D 7.20
12 L. Rota L. Rota D 7.30
37 Roberto Pereyra Roberto Pereyra 58' M 6.90
18 R. Marin R. Marin M 7.20
13 Orbelín Pineda Orbelín Pineda 73' M 7.20
11 Aboubakary Koita Aboubakary Koita M 6.90
90 Zini Zini 58' F 6.50
25 Barnabás Varga Barnabás Varga F 7.00
Bench
7 Dereck Kutesa Dereck Kutesa M
21 Domagoj Vida Domagoj Vida D
29 James Penrice James Penrice 45' D 6.90
10 João Mário João Mário 32' M 6.90
9 Luka Jović Luka Jović 32' F 6.30
15 Martin Georgiev Martin Georgiev D
8
M. Gacinovic M
20 Petros Mantalos Petros Mantalos M
Best on the pitch
Erik Palmer Brown
Erik Palmer Brown
D · Panathinaikos
7.90
· 15 pass
F · Panathinaikos
7.90
3 shots · 21 pass
S. I. Ingason
D · Panathinaikos
7.50
· 13 pass
G · AEK
7.50
· 17 pass
G · Panathinaikos
7.30
· 34 pass
Davide Calabria
Davide Calabria
D · Panathinaikos
7.30
1 shots · 33 pass
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 34 10% — — —
Georgios Kyriakopoulos D 90 6.20 — — 1 31 23% 1 — —
Javier Hernández D 17 3.00 — — — 3 — — — 1
S. I. Ingason D 90 7.50 — — — 13 8% 2 1 —
Erik Palmer Brown D 90 7.90 — — — 15 12% 3 — —
Davide Calabria D 90 7.30 — — 1 33 26% 3 — —
Santino Andino M 77 6.90 — — — 11 10% 3 — —
M 90 6.60 — — 1 40 36% — — —
Sotiris Kontouris M 69 6.70 — — — 19 15% 2 — —
Vicente Taborda M 69 6.60 — — — 28 19% 2 — —
F 88 7.90 — — 3 21 14% — — —
A. Bakasetas M 21 6.60 — — 1 8 6% 1 — —
Anass Zaroury F 13 6.70 — — 2 4 4% — — —
F. Pellistri M 21 6.60 — — — 3 3% 1 — —
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.50 — — — 17 16% — — —
Stavros Pilios D 45 7.30 — — — 13 11% — 1 —
Filipe Relvas D 90 7.20 — — 1 70 58% — 1 —
D 90 7.20 — — 2 81 72% 1 — —
L. Rota D 90 7.30 — — 1 59 56% 4 — —
Roberto Pereyra M 58 6.90 — — 1 18 15% 1 — —
R. Marin M 90 7.20 — — 1 57 49% 4 1 —
Orbelín Pineda M 73 7.20 — — — 42 40% 6 — —
Aboubakary Koita M 90 6.90 — — 2 26 20% 3 — —
Zini F 58 6.50 — — — 12 7% — — —
Barnabás Varga F 90 7.00 — — 1 25 18% — — —
James Penrice D 45 6.90 — — — 25 24% 2 — —
João Mário M 32 6.90 — — 1 29 25% 1 1 —
Luka Jović F 32 6.30 — — — 14 9% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens FC?
The final score was Panathinaikos 0–0 AEK Athens FC.
What did the model predict before Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens FC?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Panathinaikos win, 30% to a draw, and 37% to an AEK Athens FC win.