Super League
· Championship Group - 3
May 03, 2026 20:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AEK Athens FC a 37% win probability (draw 30%, Panathinaikos 32%). The final result was Panathinaikos 0–0 AEK Athens FC. In 3 previous meetings, Panathinaikos have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for AEK Athens FC.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
4
1.21
Actual xG
2.15
4
Saves
4
35%
Possession
65%
2
Corners
7
18
Tackles
22
1
🟨 Yellow cards
6
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
J. Hernandez
17'
29'
M. Georgiev
S. I. Ingason
39'
42'
S. Pilios
45'
F. Relvas
46'
J. Penrice
/
S. Pilios
58'
L. Jovic
/
Zini
58'
Joao Mario
/
R. Pereyra
S. Kontouris
/ A. Bakasetas
69'
V. Taborda
/ F. Pellistri
69'
69'
D. Vida
73'
N. Eliasson
/
O. Pineda
S. Andino
/ A. Zaroury
77'
87'
Joao Mario
A. Tetteh
/ M. Pantovic
88'
90'+3
R. Marin
Pre-match prediction
32.19%
Panathinaikos
30.75%
X ←
37.06%
AEK
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.75%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.36
1.21
-0.15
1.49
2.15
+0.66
AEK Athens FC dominated by xG (2.15 vs 1.21).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
40
G
77
Georgios Kyriakopoulos
D
Georgios Kyriakopoulos
D
26
Javi Hernández
17'
D
Javi Hernández
17'
D
15
S. I. Ingason
D
14
Erik Palmer Brown
D
Erik Palmer Brown
D
2
D. Calabria
D
D. Calabria
D
10
Santino Andino
77'
M
Santino Andino
77'
M
16
M
18
Sotiris Kontouris
69'
M
Sotiris Kontouris
69'
M
20
Vicente Taborda
69'
M
Vicente Taborda
69'
M
7
88'
F
Bench
11
A. Bakasetas
21'
M
A. Bakasetas
21'
M
9
Anass Zaroury
13'
F
Anass Zaroury
13'
F
28
F. Pellistri
21'
M
F. Pellistri
21'
M
19
Karol Świderski
F
Karol Świderski
F
4
Pedro Chirivella
M
Pedro Chirivella
M
1
G
3
Stavros Pilios
45'
D
44
Filipe Relvas
D
Filipe Relvas
D
2
D
12
L. Rota
D
L. Rota
D
37
Roberto Pereyra
58'
M
Roberto Pereyra
58'
M
18
R. Marin
M
R. Marin
M
13
Orbelín Pineda
73'
M
Orbelín Pineda
73'
M
11
A. Koita
M
A. Koita
M
90
Zini
58'
F
Zini
58'
F
25
B. Varga
F
B. Varga
F
Bench
7
D. Kutesa
M
D. Kutesa
M
21
D. Vida
D
D. Vida
D
29
James Penrice
45'
D
James Penrice
45'
D
10
João Mário
32'
M
João Mário
32'
M
9
L. Jović
32'
F
L. Jović
32'
F
15
Martin Georgiev
D
8
M. Gacinovic
M
20
P. Mantalos
M
P. Mantalos
M
Best on the pitch
Erik Palmer Brown
D · Panathinaikos
7.90
· 15 pass
F · Panathinaikos
7.90
3 shots
· 21 pass
S. I. Ingason
D · Panathinaikos
7.50
· 13 pass
G · AEK
7.50
· 17 pass
G · Panathinaikos
7.30
· 34 pass
D. Calabria
D · Panathinaikos
7.30
1 shots
· 33 pass
Panathinaikos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| Georgios Kyriakopoulos | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Javi Hernández | D | 17 | 3.00 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | 1 |
| S. I. Ingason | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Erik Palmer Brown | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Calabria | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Santino Andino | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 36% | — | — | — | |
| Sotiris Kontouris | M | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Vicente Taborda | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| F | 88 | 7.90 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| A. Bakasetas | M | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Anass Zaroury | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| F. Pellistri | M | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
AEK Athens FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Stavros Pilios | D | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Filipe Relvas | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 58% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 81 | 72% | 1 | — | — | |
| L. Rota | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 56% | 4 | — | — |
| Roberto Pereyra | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Marin | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 49% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Orbelín Pineda | M | 73 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 40% | 6 | — | — |
| A. Koita | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Zini | F | 58 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| B. Varga | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| James Penrice | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| João Mário | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Jović | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens FC?
The final score was Panathinaikos 0–0 AEK Athens FC.
What did the model predict before Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens FC?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Panathinaikos win, 30% to a draw, and 37% to an AEK Athens FC win.