Super League
· Championship Group - 3
May 03, 2026 20:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AEK Athens FC a 37% win probability (draw 30%, Panathinaikos 32%). The final result was Panathinaikos 0–0 AEK Athens FC. In 3 previous meetings, Panathinaikos have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for AEK Athens FC.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
4
1.21
Actual xG
2.15
4
Saves
4
35%
Possession
65%
2
Corners
7
18
Tackles
22
1
🟨 Yellow cards
6
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
J. Hernandez
17'
29'
M. Georgiev
S. I. Ingason
39'
42'
S. Pilios
45'
F. Relvas
46'
J. Penrice
/
S. Pilios
58'
L. Jovic
/
Zini
58'
Joao Mario
/
R. Pereyra
S. Kontouris
/ A. Bakasetas
69'
V. Taborda
/ F. Pellistri
69'
69'
D. Vida
73'
N. Eliasson
/
O. Pineda
S. Andino
/ A. Zaroury
77'
87'
Joao Mario
A. Tetteh
/ M. Pantovic
88'
90'+3
R. Marin
Pre-match prediction
32.19%
Panathinaikos
30.75%
X ←
37.06%
AEK
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.75%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.36
1.21
-0.15
1.49
2.15
+0.66
AEK Athens FC dominated by xG (2.15 vs 1.21).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
40
G
77
G. Kiriakopoulos
D
G. Kiriakopoulos
D
26
Javi Hernández
17'
D
Javi Hernández
17'
D
15
S. I. Ingason
D
14
E. Palmer-Brown
D
E. Palmer-Brown
D
2
D. Calabria
D
D. Calabria
D
10
Santino Andino
77'
M
Santino Andino
77'
M
16
M
18
S. Kontouris
69'
M
S. Kontouris
69'
M
20
V. Taborda
69'
M
V. Taborda
69'
M
7
88'
F
Bench
11
A. Bakasetas
21'
M
9
A. Zaroury
13'
F
A. Zaroury
13'
F
28
F. Pellistri
21'
M
F. Pellistri
21'
M
19
K. Świderski
F
K. Świderski
F
4
Pedro Chirivella
M
Pedro Chirivella
M
1
G
3
S. Pilios
45'
D
S. Pilios
45'
D
44
Filipe Relvas
D
Filipe Relvas
D
2
D
12
L. Rota
D
L. Rota
D
37
Roberto Pereyra
58'
M
Roberto Pereyra
58'
M
18
R. Marin
M
R. Marin
M
13
O. Pineda
73'
M
O. Pineda
73'
M
11
A. Koita
M
A. Koita
M
90
Zini
58'
F
Zini
58'
F
25
B. Varga
F
B. Varga
F
Bench
7
D. Kutesa
M
D. Kutesa
M
21
D. Vida
D
D. Vida
D
10
João Mário
32'
M
João Mário
32'
M
29
J. Penrice
45'
D
J. Penrice
45'
D
9
L. Jović
32'
F
L. Jović
32'
F
8
M. Gaćinović
M
M. Gaćinović
M
15
M. Todorski
D
M. Todorski
D
20
P. Mantalos
M
P. Mantalos
M
Best on the pitch
E. Palmer-Brown
D · Panathinaikos
7.90
· 15 pass
F · Panathinaikos
7.90
3 shots
· 21 pass
S. I. Ingason
D · Panathinaikos
7.50
· 13 pass
G · AEK
7.50
· 17 pass
G · Panathinaikos
7.30
· 34 pass
D. Calabria
D · Panathinaikos
7.30
1 shots
· 33 pass
Panathinaikos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| G. Kiriakopoulos | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Javi Hernández | D | 17 | 3.00 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | 1 |
| S. I. Ingason | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Palmer-Brown | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Calabria | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Santino Andino | M | 77 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 36% | — | — | — | |
| S. Kontouris | M | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Taborda | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| F | 88 | 7.90 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| A. Bakasetas | M | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Zaroury | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| F. Pellistri | M | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
AEK Athens FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| S. Pilios | D | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| Filipe Relvas | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 58% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 81 | 72% | 1 | — | — | |
| L. Rota | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 56% | 4 | — | — |
| Roberto Pereyra | M | 58 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Marin | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 49% | 4 | 1 | — |
| O. Pineda | M | 73 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 40% | 6 | — | — |
| A. Koita | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Zini | F | 58 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| B. Varga | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| João Mário | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Penrice | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Jović | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens FC?
The final score was Panathinaikos 0–0 AEK Athens FC.
What did the model predict before Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens FC?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Panathinaikos win, 30% to a draw, and 37% to an AEK Athens FC win.