← Ligue 1
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 29 April 10, 2026 19:00
Paris FC
#11 · 41 pts
4 – 1
Final score
Monaco
#7 · 54 pts
J. Ikone (ast. M. Simon) 4'
C. Immobile (ast. M. Munetsi) 8'
J. Ikone (ast. C. Immobile) 21'
L. Koleosho 71'
36' (ast. A. Bamba) F. Balogun

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monaco a 43% win probability (draw 22%, Paris FC 34%). The final result was Paris FC 4–1 Monaco. In 1 previous meetings, Paris FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Monaco.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
6
Shots on target
5
2.51
Actual xG
2.23
4
Saves
2
35%
Possession
65%
1
Corners
11
14
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽J. Ikone · ast. M. Simon
4'
⚽C. Immobile · ast. M. Munetsi
8'
⚽J. Ikone · ast. C. Immobile
21'
36'
ast. A. Bamba · F. Balogun⚽
46'
K. Diatta / J. Teze ↕
46'
C. Mawissa / L. Camara ↕
A. Camara
59'
↕ J. Ikone / L. Koleosho
65'
↕ M. Lopez / R. Matondo
65'
↕ A. Camara / H. Traore
65'
69'
P. Pogba / T. Kehrer ↕
69'
M. Akliouche / M. Coulibaly ↕
⚽L. Koleosho
71'
↕ C. Immobile / A. Gory
75'
87'
M. Biereth / F. Balogun ↕
↕ M. Simon / W. Geubbels
87'
Pre-match prediction
34.37%
Paris ←
22.36%
X
43.28%
Monaco
we assigned to the actual result (Paris FC) 34.37% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Paris
1.31
2.51
+1.2
Monaco
1.90
2.23
+0.33
xG dominance was balanced (2.51 – 2.23). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 33 76
1 Rodez Rodez 1 3
2 Lens Lens 33 67
2 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 1 0
3 Lille Lille 33 61
4 Lyon Lyon 33 60
5 Rennes Rennes 33 59
6 Marseille Marseille 33 56
7 Monaco Monaco 33 54
8 Strasbourg Strasbourg 33 50
9 Lorient Lorient 33 45
10 Toulouse Toulouse 33 44
11 Paris FC Paris FC 33 41
12 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 33 38
13 Angers Angers 33 35
14 Le Havre Le Havre 33 32
15 Auxerre Auxerre 33 31
16 Nice Nice 33 31
17 Nantes Nantes 33 23
18 Metz Metz 33 16
Lineups
Paris FC Paris FC 4-2-3-1
35 Kevin Trapp Kevin Trapp G 6.50
19
D 6.90
5 Moustapha Mbow Moustapha Mbow D 7.20
42
D 6.60
17 A. Camara A. Camara 65' D 7.30
21 M. Lopez M. Lopez 65' M 6.60
33 Pierre Lees Melou Pierre Lees Melou M 6.90
27 Moses Simon Moses Simon 1 👟 87' M 7.00
18 Marshall Munetsi Marshall Munetsi 1 👟 M 7.00
93 J. Ikoné J. Ikoné 2 ⚽ 65' M 9.20
36 Ciro Immobile Ciro Immobile 1 ⚽ 1 👟 75' F 8.90
Bench
7 Alimami Gory Alimami Gory 15' F 6.50
14 Hamari Traoré Hamari Traoré 25' D 6.70
10 I. Kebbal I. Kebbal M
24 Luca Koleosho Luca Koleosho 1 ⚽ 25' F 7.30
6 Otávio Otávio D
23 Rudy Matondo Rudy Matondo 25' M 6.30
9 Willem Geubbels Willem Geubbels 3' F
Monaco Monaco 3-4-3
1 Lukáš Hrádecký Lukáš Hrádecký G 6.30
25 Wout Faes Wout Faes D 6.20
6 D. Zakaria D. Zakaria D 5.90
5 T. Kehrer T. Kehrer 69' D 6.60
24 Simon Adingra Simon Adingra M 6.90
23 Aladji Bamba Aladji Bamba 1 👟 M 7.60
15 Lamine Camara Lamine Camara 45' M 6.90
4 J. Teze J. Teze 45' M 6.50
31 Ansu Fati Ansu Fati 87' F 6.30
9 F. Balogun F. Balogun 1 ⚽ F 7.20
28 M. Coulibaly M. Coulibaly 69' F 6.20
Bench
13 Christian Mawissa Christian Mawissa 45' D 6.50
27 Krépin Diatta Krépin Diatta 45' M 6.30
11 M. Akliouche M. Akliouche 21' M 6.50
8 Paul Pogba Paul Pogba 21' M 6.60
17 S. Idumbo-Muzambo S. Idumbo-Muzambo M
Best on the pitch
J. Ikoné
J. Ikoné
M · Paris
9.20
2 ⚽
3 shots · 25 pass
Ciro Immobile
Ciro Immobile
F · Paris
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 20 pass
Aladji Bamba
Aladji Bamba
M · Monaco
7.60
1 👟
1 shots · 63 pass
Luca Koleosho
Luca Koleosho
F · Paris
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 7 pass
A. Camara
A. Camara
D · Paris
7.30
· 25 pass
Moustapha Mbow
Moustapha Mbow
D · Paris
7.20
· 22 pass
Paris FC Paris FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Kevin Trapp G 90 6.50 — — — 30 10% — — —
D 90 6.90 — — — 31 24% 2 — —
Moustapha Mbow D 90 7.20 — — — 22 20% — — —
D 90 6.60 — — — 34 24% — — —
A. Camara D 65 7.30 — — — 25 19% 3 1 —
M. Lopez M 65 6.60 — — 2 36 34% 1 — —
Pierre Lees Melou M 90 6.90 — — — 37 27% 3 — —
Moses Simon M 87 7.00 — 1 — 20 15% 1 — —
Marshall Munetsi M 90 7.00 — 1 1 22 16% — — —
J. Ikoné M 65 9.20 2 — 3 25 22% 2 — —
Ciro Immobile F 75 8.90 1 1 1 20 17% — — —
Alimami Gory F 15 6.50 — — 1 5 5% 1 — —
Hamari Traoré D 25 6.70 — — — 7 5% — — —
Luca Koleosho F 25 7.30 1 — 2 7 3% — — —
Rudy Matondo M 25 6.30 — — — 12 7% 1 — —
Willem Geubbels F 3 — — — — — — — — —
Monaco Monaco — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Lukáš Hrádecký G 90 6.30 — — — 26 22% — — —
Wout Faes D 90 6.20 — — 1 67 63% — — —
D. Zakaria D 90 5.90 — — — 70 65% 3 — —
T. Kehrer D 69 6.60 — — — 68 60% 2 — —
Simon Adingra M 90 6.90 — — 1 46 38% 2 — —
Aladji Bamba M 90 7.60 — 1 1 63 53% 3 — —
Lamine Camara M 45 6.90 — — 1 41 30% 2 — —
J. Teze M 45 6.50 — — — 38 31% — — —
Ansu Fati F 87 6.30 — — 2 39 36% — — —
F. Balogun F 90 7.20 1 — 3 18 15% — — —
M. Coulibaly F 69 6.20 — — 1 37 30% 1 — —
Christian Mawissa D 45 6.50 — — — 25 20% 1 — —
Krépin Diatta M 45 6.30 — — 1 31 28% — — —
M. Akliouche M 21 6.50 — — — 11 5% — — —
Paul Pogba M 21 6.60 — — — 25 21% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paris FC vs Monaco?
The final score was Paris FC 4–1 Monaco.
What did the model predict before Paris FC vs Monaco?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Paris FC win, 22% to a draw, and 43% to an Monaco win.