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Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 29 April 10, 2026 19:00 Stade Jean Bouin, Isilemulino
Paris FC
#4 · 8 pts
4 – 1
Final score
Monaco
#1 · 10 pts
J. Ikone (ast. M. Simon) 4'
C. Immobile (ast. M. Munetsi) 8'
J. Ikone (ast. C. Immobile) 21'
L. Koleosho 71'
36' (ast. A. Bamba) F. Balogun
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monaco a 43% win probability (draw 22%, Paris FC 34%). The final result was Paris FC 4–1 Monaco. In 1 previous meetings, Paris FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Monaco.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
6
Shots on target
5
2.51
Actual xG
2.23
4
Saves
2
35%
Possession
65%
1
Corners
11
14
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽J. Ikone · ast. M. Simon
4'
⚽C. Immobile · ast. M. Munetsi
8'
⚽J. Ikone · ast. C. Immobile
21'
36'
ast. A. Bamba · F. Balogun⚽
46'
K. Diatta / J. Teze ↕
46'
C. Mawissa / L. Camara ↕
A. Camara
59'
↕ J. Ikone / L. Koleosho
65'
↕ M. Lopez / R. Matondo
65'
↕ A. Camara / H. Traore
65'
69'
P. Pogba / T. Kehrer ↕
69'
M. Akliouche / M. Coulibaly ↕
⚽L. Koleosho
71'
↕ C. Immobile / A. Gory
75'
87'
M. Biereth / F. Balogun ↕
↕ M. Simon / W. Geubbels
87'
Pre-match prediction
34.37%
Paris ←
22.36%
X
43.28%
Monaco
we assigned to the actual result (Paris FC) 34.37% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Paris
1.31
2.51
+1.2
Monaco
1.90
2.23
+0.33
xG dominance was balanced (2.51 – 2.23). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Monaco Monaco 4 10
2 Rennes Rennes 4 10
3 Lyon Lyon 4 8
4 Paris FC Paris FC 4 8
5 Lille Lille 3 7
6 Strasbourg Strasbourg 4 7
7 Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 3 5
8 Lorient Lorient 4 5
9 Angers Angers 4 4
10 Estac Troyes Estac Troyes 3 4
11 Lens Lens 3 3
12 Marseille Marseille 4 3
13 Auxerre Auxerre 4 3
14 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 2
15 Le Mans Le Mans 3 2
16 Le Havre Le Havre 4 2
17 Toulouse Toulouse 4 2
18 Nice Nice 4 2
Lineups
Paris FC Paris FC 4-2-3-1
35 K. Trapp K. Trapp G 6.50
19
D 6.90
5 M. Mbow M. Mbow D 7.20
42
D 6.60
17 A. Camara A. Camara 65' D 7.30
21 M. Lopez M. Lopez 65' M 6.60
33 P. Lees-Melou P. Lees-Melou M 6.90
27 M. Simon M. Simon 1 👟 87' M 7.00
18 M. Munetsi M. Munetsi 1 👟 M 7.00
93 J. Ikoné J. Ikoné 2 ⚽ 65' M 9.20
36 C. Immobile C. Immobile 1 ⚽ 1 👟 75' F 8.90
Bench
7 A. Gory A. Gory 15' F 6.50
14 H. Traoré H. Traoré 25' D 6.70
10 I. Kebbal I. Kebbal M
24 L. Koleosho L. Koleosho 1 ⚽ 25' F 7.30
6 Otávio Otávio D
23 R. Matondo R. Matondo 25' M 6.30
9 Willem Geubbels Willem Geubbels 3' F
Monaco Monaco 3-4-3
1 L. Hrádecký L. Hrádecký G 6.30
25 Wout Faes Wout Faes D 6.20
6 D. Zakaria D. Zakaria D 5.90
5 T. Kehrer T. Kehrer 69' D 6.60
24 Simon Adingra Simon Adingra M 6.90
23 A. Bamba A. Bamba 1 👟 M 7.60
15 L. Camara L. Camara 45' M 6.90
4 J. Teze J. Teze 45' M 6.50
31 Ansu Fati Ansu Fati 87' F 6.30
9 F. Balogun F. Balogun 1 ⚽ F 7.20
28 M. Coulibaly M. Coulibaly 69' F 6.20
Bench
13 C. Mawissa Elebi C. Mawissa Elebi 45' D 6.50
27 Krépin Diatta Krépin Diatta 45' M 6.30
11 M. Akliouche M. Akliouche 21' M 6.50
8 Paul Pogba Paul Pogba 21' M 6.60
17 S. Idumbo-Muzambo S. Idumbo-Muzambo M
Best on the pitch
J. Ikoné
J. Ikoné
M · Paris
9.20
2 ⚽
3 shots · 25 pass
C. Immobile
C. Immobile
F · Paris
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 20 pass
A. Bamba
A. Bamba
M · Monaco
7.60
1 👟
1 shots · 63 pass
L. Koleosho
L. Koleosho
F · Paris
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 7 pass
A. Camara
A. Camara
D · Paris
7.30
· 25 pass
M. Mbow
M. Mbow
D · Paris
7.20
· 22 pass
Paris FC Paris FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Trapp G 90 6.50 — — — 30 10% — — —
D 90 6.90 — — — 31 24% 2 — —
M. Mbow D 90 7.20 — — — 22 20% — — —
D 90 6.60 — — — 34 24% — — —
A. Camara D 65 7.30 — — — 25 19% 3 1 —
M. Lopez M 65 6.60 — — 2 36 34% 1 — —
P. Lees-Melou M 90 6.90 — — — 37 27% 3 — —
M. Simon M 87 7.00 — 1 — 20 15% 1 — —
M. Munetsi M 90 7.00 — 1 1 22 16% — — —
J. Ikoné M 65 9.20 2 — 3 25 22% 2 — —
C. Immobile F 75 8.90 1 1 1 20 17% — — —
A. Gory F 15 6.50 — — 1 5 5% 1 — —
H. Traoré D 25 6.70 — — — 7 5% — — —
L. Koleosho F 25 7.30 1 — 2 7 3% — — —
R. Matondo M 25 6.30 — — — 12 7% 1 — —
Willem Geubbels F 3 — — — — — — — — —
Monaco Monaco — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Hrádecký G 90 6.30 — — — 26 22% — — —
Wout Faes D 90 6.20 — — 1 67 63% — — —
D. Zakaria D 90 5.90 — — — 70 65% 3 — —
T. Kehrer D 69 6.60 — — — 68 60% 2 — —
Simon Adingra M 90 6.90 — — 1 46 38% 2 — —
A. Bamba M 90 7.60 — 1 1 63 53% 3 — —
L. Camara M 45 6.90 — — 1 41 30% 2 — —
J. Teze M 45 6.50 — — — 38 31% — — —
Ansu Fati F 87 6.30 — — 2 39 36% — — —
F. Balogun F 90 7.20 1 — 3 18 15% — — —
M. Coulibaly F 69 6.20 — — 1 37 30% 1 — —
C. Mawissa Elebi D 45 6.50 — — — 25 20% 1 — —
Krépin Diatta M 45 6.30 — — 1 31 28% — — —
M. Akliouche M 21 6.50 — — — 11 5% — — —
Paul Pogba M 21 6.60 — — — 25 21% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Paris FC vs Monaco?
The final score was Paris FC 4–1 Monaco.
What did the model predict before Paris FC vs Monaco?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Paris FC win, 22% to a draw, and 43% to an Monaco win.