← Serie A
Serie A · Regular Season - 36 May 10, 2026 18:00
Parma
#13 · 42 pts
2 – 3
Final score
AS Roma
#5 · 67 pts
✓Model correct — prediction AS Roma
G. Strefezza (ast. H. Nicolussi Caviglia) 47'
M. Keita (ast. N. Estevez) 87'
22' (ast. P. Dybala) D. Malen
90'+4 (ast. D. Ghilardi) D. Rensch
(pen.) 90'+11 D. Malen

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AS Roma a 50% win probability (draw 32%, Parma 17%). The final result was Parma 2–3 AS Roma. In 1 previous meetings, Parma have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for AS Roma.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
12
3
Shots on target
7
0.71
Actual xG
2.58
4
Saves
1
34%
Possession
66%
3
Corners
6
20
Tackles
9
4
🟨 Yellow cards
0
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
22'
ast. P. Dybala · D. Malen⚽
⚽G. Strefezza · ast. H. Nicolussi Caviglia
47'
G. Strefezza
48'
↕ G. Strefezza / M. Pellegrino
53'
53'
D. Ghilardi / M. Hermoso ↕
58'
N. Pisilli / M. Soule ↕
59'
N. El Aynaoui / B. Cristante ↕
M. Troilo
65'
↕ E. Valeri / F. Carboni
74'
↕ E. Delprato / S. Britschgi
74'
75'
D. Rensch / Z. Celik ↕
75'
L. Venturino / M. Kone ↕
S. Britschgi
76'
↕ H. Nicolussi Caviglia / N. Estevez
79'
↕ N. Elphege / P. Almqvist
79'
⚽M. Keita · ast. N. Estevez
87'
90'+4
ast. D. Ghilardi · D. Rensch⚽
S. Britschgi
90'+9
S. Britschgi
90'+9
90'+11
(pen.) D. Malen⚽
Pre-match prediction
17.35%
Parma
32.51%
X
50.14%
AS ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (AS Roma) 50.14% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Parma
0.53
0.71
+0.18
AS
1.14
2.58
+1.44
AS Roma dominated by xG (2.58 vs 0.71). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Inter Inter 36 85
2 Napoli Napoli 36 70
3 Juventus Juventus 36 68
4 AC Milan AC Milan 36 67
5 AS Roma AS Roma 36 67
6 Como Como 36 65
7 Atalanta Atalanta 36 58
8 Bologna Bologna 36 52
9 Lazio Lazio 36 51
10 Udinese Udinese 36 50
11 Sassuolo Sassuolo 36 49
12 Torino Torino 36 44
13 Parma Parma 36 42
14 Genoa Genoa 36 41
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 36 38
16 Cagliari Cagliari 36 37
17 Lecce Lecce 36 32
18 Cremonese Cremonese 36 31
19 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 36 20
20 Pisa Pisa 36 18
Lineups
Parma Parma 3-5-2
31 Zion Suzuki Zion Suzuki G 6.00
5 Lautaro Valenti Lautaro Valenti D 6.30
37 Mariano Troilo Mariano Troilo D 6.30
39 Alessandro Circati Alessandro Circati D 5.90
14 E. Valeri E. Valeri 74' M 7.00
16 Mandela Keita Mandela Keita 1 ⚽ M 8.00
41 Hans Nicolussi Caviglia Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 1 👟 79' M 7.20
24 Christian Ordoñez Christian Ordoñez M 6.70
15 Enrico Delprato Enrico Delprato 74' M 6.90
7 Gabriel Strefezza Gabriel Strefezza 1 ⚽ 53' F 7.90
23 Nesta Elphege Nesta Elphege 79' F 6.60
Bench
3 Abdoulaye Ndiaye Abdoulaye Ndiaye D
76 Daniel Mikołajewski Daniel Mikołajewski F
61 Dominik Drobnic Dominik Drobnic D
40 Edoardo Corvi Edoardo Corvi G
66 Filippo Rinaldi Filippo Rinaldi G
29 Franco Carboni Franco Carboni 16' D 6.20
17 Jacob Ondrejka Jacob Ondrejka F
9 Mateo Pellegrino Mateo Pellegrino 37' F 6.30
8 Nahuel Estévez Nahuel Estévez 1 👟 11' M 6.70
22 Oliver Sørensen Oliver Sørensen M
11 Pontus Almqvist Pontus Almqvist 11' F 6.30
27 Sascha Britschgi Sascha Britschgi 25' D 4.70
AS Roma AS Roma 3-4-2-1
99 Mile Svilar Mile Svilar G 6.50
22 Mario Hermoso Mario Hermoso 53' D 6.50
5 Evan Ndicka Evan Ndicka D 6.30
23 G. Mancini G. Mancini D 5.60
43 Wesley Wesley M 6.90
17 Manu Koné Manu Koné 75' M 6.20
4 Bryan Cristante Bryan Cristante 59' M 6.60
19 Zeki Çelik Zeki Çelik 75' M 6.70
21 Paulo Dybala Paulo Dybala 1 👟 F 8.20
18 M. Soulé M. Soulé 58' F 6.30
14 D. Malen D. Malen 2 ⚽ F 8.30
Bench
3 Angeliño Angeliño D
87 Daniele Ghilardi Daniele Ghilardi 1 👟 37' D 6.70
2 Devyne Rensch Devyne Rensch 1 ⚽ 15' D 7.60
70 Giorgio De Marzi Giorgio De Marzi G
24 Jan Ziółkowski Jan Ziółkowski D
12 Kostas Tsimikas Kostas Tsimikas D
20 Lorenzo Venturino Lorenzo Venturino 15' F 6.60
8 N. El Aynaoui N. El Aynaoui 31' M 7.30
61 Niccolò Pisilli Niccolò Pisilli 32' M 6.30
95 Pierluigi Gollini Pierluigi Gollini G
78 Robinio Vaz Robinio Vaz F
Best on the pitch
D. Malen
D. Malen
F · AS
8.30
2 ⚽
5 shots · 11 pass
Paulo Dybala
Paulo Dybala
F · AS
8.20
1 👟
· 66 pass
Mandela Keita
Mandela Keita
M · Parma
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 33 pass
Gabriel Strefezza
Gabriel Strefezza
F · Parma
7.90
1 ⚽
5 shots · 12 pass
Devyne Rensch
Devyne Rensch
D · AS
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 10 pass
N. El Aynaoui
N. El Aynaoui
M · AS
7.30
1 shots · 26 pass
Parma Parma — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Zion Suzuki G 90 6.00 — — — 39 19% — — —
Lautaro Valenti D 90 6.30 — — — 30 25% 5 — —
Mariano Troilo D 90 6.30 — — — 27 23% 2 1 —
Alessandro Circati D 90 5.90 — — — 34 28% — — —
E. Valeri M 74 7.00 — — — 15 11% — — —
Mandela Keita M 90 8.00 1 — 1 33 28% 5 — —
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia M 79 7.20 — 1 1 33 26% 2 — —
Christian Ordoñez M 90 6.70 — — 1 21 19% 2 — —
Enrico Delprato M 74 6.90 — — — 16 12% 2 — —
Gabriel Strefezza F 53 7.90 1 — 5 12 10% — 1 —
Nesta Elphege F 79 6.60 — — — 12 10% 1 — —
Franco Carboni D 16 6.20 — — — 2 1% — — —
Mateo Pellegrino F 37 6.30 — — — 9 8% — — —
Nahuel Estévez M 11 6.70 — 1 — 3 3% 1 — —
Pontus Almqvist F 11 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
Sascha Britschgi D 25 4.70 — — — 2 1% — 2 1
AS Roma AS Roma — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mile Svilar G 90 6.50 — — — 23 18% — — —
Mario Hermoso D 53 6.50 — — — 62 56% — — —
Evan Ndicka D 90 6.30 — — 1 45 41% — — —
G. Mancini D 90 5.60 — — 1 43 38% — — —
Wesley M 90 6.90 — — 1 49 42% — — —
Manu Koné M 75 6.20 — — — 61 53% — — —
Bryan Cristante M 59 6.60 — — — 50 40% 2 — —
Zeki Çelik M 75 6.70 — — — 38 32% 2 — —
Paulo Dybala F 90 8.20 — 1 — 66 58% 1 — —
M. Soulé F 58 6.30 — — 1 30 28% — — —
D. Malen F 90 8.30 2 — 5 11 10% — — —
Daniele Ghilardi D 37 6.70 — 1 — 27 25% 1 — —
Devyne Rensch D 15 7.60 1 — 1 10 8% — — —
Lorenzo Venturino F 15 6.60 — — — 6 5% — — —
N. El Aynaoui M 31 7.30 — — 1 26 25% 3 — —
Niccolò Pisilli M 32 6.30 — — 1 21 18% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Parma vs AS Roma?
The final score was Parma 2–3 AS Roma.
What did the model predict before Parma vs AS Roma?
The model assigned 17% probability to a Parma win, 32% to a draw, and 50% to an AS Roma win.