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Serie A · Regular Season - 36 May 10, 2026 18:00 Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Parma
#17 · 1 pts
2 – 3
Final score
AS Roma
#2 · 9 pts
✓Model correct — prediction AS Roma
G. Strefezza (ast. H. Nicolussi Caviglia) 47'
M. Keita (ast. N. Estevez) 87'
22' (ast. P. Dybala) D. Malen
90'+4 (ast. D. Ghilardi) D. Rensch
(pen.) 90'+11 D. Malen
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AS Roma a 50% win probability (draw 32%, Parma 17%). The final result was Parma 2–3 AS Roma. In 1 previous meetings, Parma have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for AS Roma.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
12
3
Shots on target
7
0.71
Actual xG
2.58
4
Saves
1
34%
Possession
66%
3
Corners
6
20
Tackles
9
4
🟨 Yellow cards
0
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
22'
ast. P. Dybala · D. Malen⚽
⚽G. Strefezza · ast. H. Nicolussi Caviglia
47'
G. Strefezza
48'
↕ G. Strefezza / M. Pellegrino
53'
53'
D. Ghilardi / M. Hermoso ↕
58'
N. Pisilli / M. Soule ↕
59'
N. El Aynaoui / B. Cristante ↕
M. Troilo
65'
↕ E. Valeri / F. Carboni
74'
↕ E. Delprato / S. Britschgi
74'
75'
D. Rensch / Z. Celik ↕
75'
L. Venturino / M. Kone ↕
S. Britschgi
76'
↕ H. Nicolussi Caviglia / N. Estevez
79'
↕ N. Elphege / P. Almqvist
79'
⚽M. Keita · ast. N. Estevez
87'
90'+4
ast. D. Ghilardi · D. Rensch⚽
S. Britschgi
90'+9
S. Britschgi
90'+9
90'+11
(pen.) D. Malen⚽
Pre-match prediction
17.35%
Parma
32.51%
X
50.14%
AS ←
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (AS Roma) 50.14% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Parma
0.53
0.71
+0.18
AS
1.14
2.58
+1.44
AS Roma dominated by xG (2.58 vs 0.71). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 4 10
2 AS Roma AS Roma 3 9
3 Inter Inter 3 9
4 Cagliari Cagliari 4 9
5 AC Milan AC Milan 4 8
6 Como Como 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Frosinone Frosinone 4 7
9 Atalanta Atalanta 4 6
10 Sassuolo Sassuolo 3 4
11 Udinese Udinese 3 4
12 Napoli Napoli 3 3
13 Torino Torino 3 3
14 Lecce Lecce 3 3
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 4 3
16 Bologna Bologna 3 1
17 Parma Parma 3 1
18 Monza Monza 3 1
19 Genoa Genoa 4 1
20 Venezia Venezia 4 0
Lineups
Parma Parma 3-5-2
31 Z. Suzuki Z. Suzuki G 6.00
5 L. Valenti L. Valenti D 6.30
37 M. Troilo M. Troilo D 6.30
39 A. Circati A. Circati D 5.90
14 E. Valeri E. Valeri 74' M 7.00
16 M. Keita M. Keita 1 ⚽ M 8.00
41 Hans Nicolussi Caviglia Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 1 👟 79' M 7.20
24 C. Ordoñez C. Ordoñez M 6.70
15 E. Del Prato E. Del Prato 74' M 6.90
7 Gabriel Strefezza Gabriel Strefezza 1 ⚽ 53' F 7.90
23 N. Elphege N. Elphege 79' F 6.60
Bench
3 A. N'Diaye A. N'Diaye D
61 D. Drobnic D. Drobnic D
76 D. Mikołajewski D. Mikołajewski F
40 E. Corvi E. Corvi G
29 F. Carboni F. Carboni 16' D 6.20
66 Filippo Rinaldi Filippo Rinaldi G
17 J. Ondrejka J. Ondrejka F
9 Mateo Pellegrino Mateo Pellegrino 37' F 6.30
8 N. Estévez N. Estévez 1 👟 11' M 6.70
22 O. Sørensen O. Sørensen M
11 P. Almqvist P. Almqvist 11' F 6.30
27 S. Britschgi S. Britschgi 25' D 4.70
AS Roma AS Roma 3-4-2-1
99 M. Svilar M. Svilar G 6.50
22 Hermoso Hermoso 53' D 6.50
5 E. Ndicka E. Ndicka D 6.30
23 G. Mancini G. Mancini D 5.60
43 Wesley Wesley M 6.90
17 M. Koné M. Koné 75' M 6.20
4 B. Cristante B. Cristante 59' M 6.60
19 Z. Çelik Z. Çelik 75' M 6.70
21 P. Dybala P. Dybala 1 👟 F 8.20
18 M. Soulé M. Soulé 58' F 6.30
14 D. Malen D. Malen 2 ⚽ F 8.30
Bench
3 Angeliño Angeliño D
87 D. Ghilardi D. Ghilardi 1 👟 37' D 6.70
2 D. Rensch D. Rensch 1 ⚽ 15' D 7.60
70 G. De Marzi G. De Marzi G
24 Jan Ziółkowski Jan Ziółkowski D
12 K. Tsimikas K. Tsimikas D
20 Lorenzo Venturino Lorenzo Venturino 15' F 6.60
8 N. El Aynaoui N. El Aynaoui 31' M 7.30
61 N. Pisilli N. Pisilli 32' M 6.30
95 P. Gollini P. Gollini G
78 R. Vaz R. Vaz F
Best on the pitch
D. Malen
D. Malen
F · AS
8.30
2 ⚽
5 shots · 11 pass
P. Dybala
P. Dybala
F · AS
8.20
1 👟
· 66 pass
M. Keita
M. Keita
M · Parma
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 33 pass
Gabriel Strefezza
Gabriel Strefezza
F · Parma
7.90
1 ⚽
5 shots · 12 pass
D. Rensch
D. Rensch
D · AS
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 10 pass
N. El Aynaoui
N. El Aynaoui
M · AS
7.30
1 shots · 26 pass
Parma Parma — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Z. Suzuki G 90 6.00 — — — 39 19% — — —
L. Valenti D 90 6.30 — — — 30 25% 5 — —
M. Troilo D 90 6.30 — — — 27 23% 2 1 —
A. Circati D 90 5.90 — — — 34 28% — — —
E. Valeri M 74 7.00 — — — 15 11% — — —
M. Keita M 90 8.00 1 — 1 33 28% 5 — —
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia M 79 7.20 — 1 1 33 26% 2 — —
C. Ordoñez M 90 6.70 — — 1 21 19% 2 — —
E. Del Prato M 74 6.90 — — — 16 12% 2 — —
Gabriel Strefezza F 53 7.90 1 — 5 12 10% — 1 —
N. Elphege F 79 6.60 — — — 12 10% 1 — —
F. Carboni D 16 6.20 — — — 2 1% — — —
Mateo Pellegrino F 37 6.30 — — — 9 8% — — —
N. Estévez M 11 6.70 — 1 — 3 3% 1 — —
P. Almqvist F 11 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
S. Britschgi D 25 4.70 — — — 2 1% — 2 1
AS Roma AS Roma — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Svilar G 90 6.50 — — — 23 18% — — —
Hermoso D 53 6.50 — — — 62 56% — — —
E. Ndicka D 90 6.30 — — 1 45 41% — — —
G. Mancini D 90 5.60 — — 1 43 38% — — —
Wesley M 90 6.90 — — 1 49 42% — — —
M. Koné M 75 6.20 — — — 61 53% — — —
B. Cristante M 59 6.60 — — — 50 40% 2 — —
Z. Çelik M 75 6.70 — — — 38 32% 2 — —
P. Dybala F 90 8.20 — 1 — 66 58% 1 — —
M. Soulé F 58 6.30 — — 1 30 28% — — —
D. Malen F 90 8.30 2 — 5 11 10% — — —
D. Ghilardi D 37 6.70 — 1 — 27 25% 1 — —
D. Rensch D 15 7.60 1 — 1 10 8% — — —
Lorenzo Venturino F 15 6.60 — — — 6 5% — — —
N. El Aynaoui M 31 7.30 — — 1 26 25% 3 — —
N. Pisilli M 32 6.30 — — 1 21 18% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Parma vs AS Roma?
The final score was Parma 2–3 AS Roma.
What did the model predict before Parma vs AS Roma?
The model assigned 17% probability to a Parma win, 32% to a draw, and 50% to an AS Roma win.