Eredivisie · Regular Season - 32 May 03, 2026 14:30

PEC Zwolle

#13 · 37 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Heracles

#18 · 19 pts

✓Model correct — prediction PEC Zwolle

A. Garcia MacNulty (ast. R. Thomas) 19'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PEC Zwolle a 65% win probability (draw 22%, Heracles 11%). The final result was PEC Zwolle 1–0 Heracles. In 1 previous meetings, PEC Zwolle have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Heracles.

Match statistics

6

Total shots

9

5

Shots on target

3

0.62

Actual xG

1.00

3

Saves

4

45%

Possession

55%

3

Corners

3

14

Tackles

6

2

🟨 Yellow cards

4

0

🟥 Red cards

1

Match Events

⚽A. Garcia MacNulty · ast. R. Thomas

19'

R. Thomas

21'

31'

A. Van Hoorenbeeck

38'

D. van der Kust

46'

J. Wieckhoff / D. van der Kust ↕

59'

B. Limbombe / W. Ould Chikh ↕

59'

E. Ahlstrand / M. Engels ↕

62'

S. Scheperman

63'

S. Scheperman

63'

S. Scheperman

S. Floranus

68'

71'

S. Cestic / J. Zamburek ↕

↕ O. Velanas / N. Fichtinger

72'

↕ R. Thomas / J. Monteiro

73'

↕ S. Floranus / T. Velthuis

80'

84'

87'

T. Hamamioglu / M. Benita ↕

Pre-match prediction

65.92%

PEC ←

22.95%

X

11.12%

Heracles

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (PEC Zwolle) 65.92% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

PEC

1.96

0.62

-1.34

Heracles

0.63

1.00

+0.37

Heracles dominated by xG (1.00 vs 0.62). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Roda	1	1
1	Willem II	1	3
1	PSV Eindhoven	33	81
2	Feyenoord	33	62
2	Waalwijk	1	1
2	Waalwijk	1	0
3	Twente	33	58
4	NEC Nijmegen	33	56
5	Ajax	33	55
6	AZ Alkmaar	33	51
7	Utrecht	33	50
8	Heerenveen	33	50
9	Groningen	33	45
10	Sparta Rotterdam	33	43
11	Fortuna Sittard	33	39
12	GO Ahead Eagles	33	38
13	PEC Zwolle	33	37
14	Excelsior	33	35
15	Telstar	33	34
16	FC Volendam	33	32
17	NAC Breda	33	28
18	Heracles	33	19

Lineups

PEC Zwolle 4-2-3-1

16

G 7.00

2

S. Floranus 80' D 6.30

4 Anselmo Garcia McNulty 1 ⚽ D 8.90

28 Simon Graves D 6.90

3 Olivier Aertssen D 7.20

8 Zico Buurmeester M 6.90

30 R. Thomas 1 👟 73' M 7.20

22 Kaj de Rooij M 6.70

25 Thijs Oosting M 7.30

18 Odysseus Velanas 72' M 7.60

10 K. Kostons F 6.70

Bench

5 Tijs Velthuis 10' D 6.60

6 Tristan Gooijer D

Heracles 4-2-3-1

16

G 7.30

5 Djevencio van der Kust 45' D 6.90

18

Alec Van Hoorenbeeck D 6.30

4

D 6.90

2 Mimeirhel Benita 87' D 6.90

32

S. Scheperman 63' M 5.90

13 Jan Žambůrek 71' M 6.60

8 Mario Engels 59' M 6.50

73 Walid Ould-Chikh 59' M 6.30

17 Tristan van Gilst M 6.50

19

F 6.30

Bench

3 Jannes Wieckhoff 45' D 6.90

25 Lequincio Zeefuik F

22 Remko Pasveer G

6 Sava Arangel Čestić 19' D 6.30

Best on the pitch

Anselmo Garcia McNulty

D · PEC

8.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 38 pass

Odysseus Velanas

M · PEC

7.60

1 shots · 17 pass

Thijs Oosting

M · PEC

7.30

· 17 pass

G · Heracles

7.30

· 42 pass

Olivier Aertssen

D · PEC

7.20

1 shots · 23 pass

R. Thomas

M · PEC

7.20

1 👟

· 37 pass

PEC Zwolle — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.00	—	—	—	23	8%	—	—	—
S. Floranus	D	80	6.30	—	—	—	32	24%	1	1	—
Anselmo Garcia McNulty	D	90	8.90	1	—	1	38	31%	1	—	—
Simon Graves	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	66	53%	—	—	—
Olivier Aertssen	D	90	7.20	—	—	1	23	17%	2	—	—
Zico Buurmeester	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	30	26%	—	—	—
R. Thomas	M	73	7.20	—	1	—	37	27%	—	1	—
Kaj de Rooij	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	24	16%	1	—	—
Thijs Oosting	M	90	7.30	—	—	—	17	15%	4	—	—
Odysseus Velanas	M	72	7.60	—	—	1	17	14%	5	—	—
K. Kostons	F	90	6.70	—	—	2	30	21%	—	—	—
Tijs Velthuis	D	10	6.60	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—

Heracles — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	42	28%	—	—	—
Djevencio van der Kust	D	45	6.90	—	—	—	26	21%	2	1	—
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	69	60%	—	1	—
	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	62	52%	—	—	—
Mimeirhel Benita	D	87	6.90	—	—	2	37	32%	—	—	—
S. Scheperman	M	63	5.90	—	—	1	21	19%	1	2	1
Jan Žambůrek	M	71	6.60	—	—	1	25	23%	—	—	—
Mario Engels	M	59	6.50	—	—	—	22	20%	2	—	—
Walid Ould-Chikh	M	59	6.30	—	—	1	16	10%	—	—	—
Tristan van Gilst	M	90	6.50	—	—	3	28	22%	1	—	—
	F	90	6.30	—	—	1	21	15%	—	—	—
Jannes Wieckhoff	D	45	6.90	—	—	—	21	18%	—	—	—
Sava Arangel Čestić	D	19	6.30	—	—	—	7	5%	—	—	—