Eredivisie · Regular Season - 32 May 03, 2026 14:30 Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata

PEC Zwolle

#13 · 4 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Heracles

✓Model correct — prediction PEC Zwolle

A. Garcia MacNulty (ast. R. Thomas) 19'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PEC Zwolle a 65% win probability (draw 22%, Heracles 11%). The final result was PEC Zwolle 1–0 Heracles. In 1 previous meetings, PEC Zwolle have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Heracles.

Match statistics

6

Total shots

9

5

Shots on target

3

0.62

Actual xG

1.00

3

Saves

4

45%

Possession

55%

3

Corners

3

14

Tackles

6

2

🟨 Yellow cards

4

0

🟥 Red cards

1

Match Events

⚽A. Garcia MacNulty · ast. R. Thomas

19'

R. Thomas

21'

31'

A. Van Hoorenbeeck

38'

D. van der Kust

46'

J. Wieckhoff / D. van der Kust ↕

59'

B. Limbombe / W. Ould Chikh ↕

59'

E. Ahlstrand / M. Engels ↕

62'

S. Scheperman

63'

S. Scheperman

63'

S. Scheperman

S. Floranus

68'

71'

S. Cestic / J. Zamburek ↕

↕ O. Velanas / N. Fichtinger

72'

↕ R. Thomas / J. Monteiro

73'

↕ S. Floranus / T. Velthuis

80'

84'

87'

T. Hamamioglu / M. Benita ↕

Pre-match prediction

65.92%

PEC ←

22.95%

X

11.12%

Heracles

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (PEC Zwolle) 65.92% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

PEC

1.96

0.62

-1.34

Heracles

0.63

1.00

+0.37

Heracles dominated by xG (1.00 vs 0.62). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	6	16
2	PSV Eindhoven	5	13
3	Twente	6	13
4	Feyenoord	5	11
5	Excelsior	5	10
6	Fortuna Sittard	5	10
7	GO Ahead Eagles	5	8
8	Ajax	4	7
9	NEC Nijmegen	5	7
10	Groningen	5	7
11	Sparta Rotterdam	5	5
12	Heerenveen	5	5
13	PEC Zwolle	5	4
14	Telstar	5	4
15	Utrecht	5	2
16	Willem II	5	2
17	Cambuur	5	1
18	ADO Den Haag	6	1

Lineups

PEC Zwolle 4-2-3-1

16

G 7.00

2 S. Floranus 80' D 6.30

4 A. MacNulty 1 ⚽ D 8.90

28 S. Graves D 6.90

3 O. Aertssen D 7.20

8 Zico Buurmeester M 6.90

30 R. Thomas 1 👟 73' M 7.20

22 Kaj de Rooij M 6.70

25 T. Oosting M 7.30

18 O. Velanas 72' M 7.60

10 K. Kostons F 6.70

Bench

6 T. Gooijer D

5 T. Velthuis 10' D 6.60

Heracles 4-2-3-1

16

G 7.30

5 D. van der Kust 45' D 6.90

18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck D 6.30

4

D 6.90

2 Mimeirhel Benita 87' D 6.90

32 S. Scheperman 63' M 5.90

13 J. Žambůrek 71' M 6.60

8 Mario Engels 59' M 6.50

73 Walid Ould-Chikh 59' M 6.30

17 T. van Gilst M 6.50

19

F 6.30

Bench

3 Jannes Wieckhoff 45' D 6.90

25 L. Zeefuik F

22 R. Pasveer G

6 Sava Arangel Čestić 19' D 6.30

Best on the pitch

A. MacNulty

D · PEC

8.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 38 pass

O. Velanas

M · PEC

7.60

1 shots · 17 pass

T. Oosting

M · PEC

7.30

· 17 pass

G · Heracles

7.30

· 42 pass

O. Aertssen

D · PEC

7.20

1 shots · 23 pass

R. Thomas

M · PEC

7.20

1 👟

· 37 pass

PEC Zwolle — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.00	—	—	—	23	8%	—	—	—
S. Floranus	D	80	6.30	—	—	—	32	24%	1	1	—
A. MacNulty	D	90	8.90	1	—	1	38	31%	1	—	—
S. Graves	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	66	53%	—	—	—
O. Aertssen	D	90	7.20	—	—	1	23	17%	2	—	—
Zico Buurmeester	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	30	26%	—	—	—
R. Thomas	M	73	7.20	—	1	—	37	27%	—	1	—
Kaj de Rooij	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	24	16%	1	—	—
T. Oosting	M	90	7.30	—	—	—	17	15%	4	—	—
O. Velanas	M	72	7.60	—	—	1	17	14%	5	—	—
K. Kostons	F	90	6.70	—	—	2	30	21%	—	—	—
T. Velthuis	D	10	6.60	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—

Heracles — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	42	28%	—	—	—
D. van der Kust	D	45	6.90	—	—	—	26	21%	2	1	—
A. Van Hoorenbeeck	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	69	60%	—	1	—
	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	62	52%	—	—	—
Mimeirhel Benita	D	87	6.90	—	—	2	37	32%	—	—	—
S. Scheperman	M	63	5.90	—	—	1	21	19%	1	2	1
J. Žambůrek	M	71	6.60	—	—	1	25	23%	—	—	—
Mario Engels	M	59	6.50	—	—	—	22	20%	2	—	—
Walid Ould-Chikh	M	59	6.30	—	—	1	16	10%	—	—	—
T. van Gilst	M	90	6.50	—	—	3	28	22%	1	—	—
	F	90	6.30	—	—	1	21	15%	—	—	—
Jannes Wieckhoff	D	45	6.90	—	—	—	21	18%	—	—	—
Sava Arangel Čestić	D	19	6.30	—	—	—	7	5%	—	—	—