Eredivisie · Regular Season - 32 May 03, 2026 14:30 Yurtec Stadium Sendai, Sendai

PEC Zwolle

#14 · 11 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Heracles

✓Model correct — prediction PEC Zwolle

A. Garcia MacNulty (ast. R. Thomas) 19'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PEC Zwolle a 65% win probability (draw 22%, Heracles 11%). The final result was PEC Zwolle 1–0 Heracles. In 1 previous meetings, PEC Zwolle have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Heracles.

Match statistics

6

Total shots

9

5

Shots on target

3

0.62

Actual xG

1.00

3

Saves

4

45%

Possession

55%

3

Corners

3

14

Tackles

6

2

🟨 Yellow cards

4

0

🟥 Red cards

1

Match Events

⚽A. Garcia MacNulty · ast. R. Thomas

19'

R. Thomas

21'

31'

A. Van Hoorenbeeck

38'

D. van der Kust

46'

J. Wieckhoff / D. van der Kust ↕

59'

B. Limbombe / W. Ould Chikh ↕

59'

E. Ahlstrand / M. Engels ↕

62'

S. Scheperman

63'

S. Scheperman

63'

S. Scheperman

S. Floranus

68'

71'

S. Cestic / J. Zamburek ↕

↕ O. Velanas / N. Fichtinger

72'

↕ R. Thomas / J. Monteiro

73'

↕ S. Floranus / T. Velthuis

80'

84'

87'

T. Hamamioglu / M. Benita ↕

Pre-match prediction

65.92%

PEC ←

22.95%

X

11.12%

Heracles

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (PEC Zwolle) 65.92% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

PEC

1.96

0.62

-1.34

Heracles

0.63

1.00

+0.37

Heracles dominated by xG (1.00 vs 0.62). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Feyenoord	11	25
2	Ajax	11	24
3	PSV Eindhoven	11	23
4	Twente	11	23
5	AZ Alkmaar	11	20
6	Fortuna Sittard	11	19
7	Heerenveen	11	18
8	Groningen	11	15
9	Cambuur	11	15
10	GO Ahead Eagles	11	14
11	Sparta Rotterdam	11	12
12	Utrecht	11	12
13	NEC Nijmegen	11	11
14	PEC Zwolle	11	11
15	Excelsior	11	11
16	Telstar	11	9
17	ADO Den Haag	11	6
18	Willem II	11	2

Lineups

PEC Zwolle 4-2-3-1

16

G 7.00

2 S. Floranus 80' D 6.30

4 A. MacNulty 1 ⚽ D 8.90

28 S. Graves D 6.90

3 O. Aertssen D 7.20

8 Zico Buurmeester M 6.90

30 R. Thomas 1 👟 73' M 7.20

22 Kaj de Rooij M 6.70

25 T. Oosting M 7.30

18 Odysseus Velanas 72' M 7.60

10 K. Kostons F 6.70

Bench

6 Tristan Gooijer D

5 T. Velthuis 10' D 6.60

Heracles 4-2-3-1

16

G 7.30

5 Djevencio van der Kust 45' D 6.90

18 Alec Van Hoorenbeeck D 6.30

4

D 6.90

2 Mimeirhel Benita 87' D 6.90

32 Sem Scheperman 63' M 5.90

13 J. Žambůrek 71' M 6.60

8 Mario Engels 59' M 6.50

73 Walid Ould-Chikh 59' M 6.30

17 T. van Gilst M 6.50

19

F 6.30

Bench

3 J. Wieckhoff 45' D 6.90

25 L. Zeefuik F

22 Remko Pasveer G

6 Sava Arangel Čestić 19' D 6.30

Best on the pitch

A. MacNulty

D · PEC

8.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 38 pass

Odysseus Velanas

M · PEC

7.60

1 shots · 17 pass

T. Oosting

M · PEC

7.30

· 17 pass

G · Heracles

7.30

· 42 pass

O. Aertssen

D · PEC

7.20

1 shots · 23 pass

R. Thomas

M · PEC

7.20

1 👟

· 37 pass

PEC Zwolle — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.00	—	—	—	23	8%	—	—	—
S. Floranus	D	80	6.30	—	—	—	32	24%	1	1	—
A. MacNulty	D	90	8.90	1	—	1	38	31%	1	—	—
S. Graves	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	66	53%	—	—	—
O. Aertssen	D	90	7.20	—	—	1	23	17%	2	—	—
Zico Buurmeester	M	90	6.90	—	—	1	30	26%	—	—	—
R. Thomas	M	73	7.20	—	1	—	37	27%	—	1	—
Kaj de Rooij	M	90	6.70	—	—	—	24	16%	1	—	—
T. Oosting	M	90	7.30	—	—	—	17	15%	4	—	—
Odysseus Velanas	M	72	7.60	—	—	1	17	14%	5	—	—
K. Kostons	F	90	6.70	—	—	2	30	21%	—	—	—
T. Velthuis	D	10	6.60	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—

Heracles — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	42	28%	—	—	—
Djevencio van der Kust	D	45	6.90	—	—	—	26	21%	2	1	—
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	69	60%	—	1	—
	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	62	52%	—	—	—
Mimeirhel Benita	D	87	6.90	—	—	2	37	32%	—	—	—
Sem Scheperman	M	63	5.90	—	—	1	21	19%	1	2	1
J. Žambůrek	M	71	6.60	—	—	1	25	23%	—	—	—
Mario Engels	M	59	6.50	—	—	—	22	20%	2	—	—
Walid Ould-Chikh	M	59	6.30	—	—	1	16	10%	—	—	—
T. van Gilst	M	90	6.50	—	—	3	28	22%	1	—	—
	F	90	6.30	—	—	1	21	15%	—	—	—
J. Wieckhoff	D	45	6.90	—	—	—	21	18%	—	—	—
Sava Arangel Čestić	D	19	6.30	—	—	—	7	5%	—	—	—