Primera División
· Regular Season - 14
May 05, 2026 00:30
Leandro Umpierrez
(ast. Nicolás Fernández)
18'
68'
Brian Montenegro
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Penarol a 44% win probability (draw 27%, Defensor Sporting 27%). The final result was Penarol 1–1 Defensor Sporting.
Match statistics
Match Events
Brian Barboza
1'
Diego Laxalt
16'
⚽Leandro Umpierrez
· ast. Nicolás Fernández
18'
43'
Axel Frugone
Diego Laxalt
/ German Barbas
46'
Brian Barboza
/ Matías González
55'
Franco González
/ Stiven Muhlethaler
55'
Matías Arezo
61'
61'
Francisco Sorondo
63'
Nicolás Wunsch
/
Germán Barrios
63'
Alan Torterolo
/
Brian Lozano
68'
Brian Montenegro⚽
Nicolás Fernández
/ Abel Hernández
71'
Matías González
77'
78'
Valentín Rodríguez
/
Facundo Castro
Abel Hernández
84'
Franco Escobar
/ Gastón Togni
84'
Washington Aguerre
90'+5
Washington Aguerre
90'+5
Washington Aguerre
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
44.61%
Penarol
27.76%
X ←
27.63%
Defensor
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.76%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.32
—
—
0.98
—
—
Lineups
29
W. Aguerre
G
2
Franco Escobar
D
3
Mauricio Lemos
D
22
Facundo Alvez
D
36
Brian Barboza
D
32
Leandro Umpierrez
1 ⚽
M
21
Jesús Trindade
M
8
Nicolás Fernández
1 👟
M
93
Diego Laxalt
M
19
M. Arezo
F
M. Arezo
F
80
Franco González
F
Bench
11
Abel Hernández
F
9
Facundo Batista
F
23
Gastón Togni
M
14
Kevin Rodríguez
D
25
Matías González
D
12
G
15
Axel Frugone
D
14
Francisco Sorondo
D
20
Mateo Caballero
D
11
D
5
Germán Barrios
M
24
Lucas De los Santos
M
7
Brian Lozano
M
6
Mauricio Amaro
M
77
Facundo Castro
M
26
Brian Montenegro
1 ⚽
F
Bench
22
Alan Torterolo
M
30
Erico Cuello Gutiérrez
M
27
Juan Jorge
M
97
Juan Pablo Goicochea
F
28
Lautaro Navarro
F
8
Nicolás Wunsch
M
17
Valentín Rodríguez
D
Penarol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Aguerre | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franco Escobar | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Lemos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Alvez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brian Barboza | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leandro Umpierrez | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesús Trindade | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Fernández | M | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Laxalt | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Arezo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franco González | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Defensor Sporting — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Axel Frugone | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francisco Sorondo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Caballero | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Germán Barrios | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas De los Santos | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brian Lozano | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Amaro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Castro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brian Montenegro | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Penarol vs Defensor Sporting?
The final score was Penarol 1–1 Defensor Sporting.
What did the model predict before Penarol vs Defensor Sporting?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Penarol win, 27% to a draw, and 27% to an Defensor Sporting win.