Leandro Umpierrez
(ast. Nicolás Fernández)
18'
68'
Brian Montenegro
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Penarol a 44% win probability (draw 27%, Defensor Sporting 27%). The final result was Penarol 1–1 Defensor Sporting. In 1 previous meetings, Penarol have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Defensor Sporting.
Match statistics
Match Events
Brian Barboza
1'
Diego Laxalt
16'
⚽Leandro Umpierrez
· ast. Nicolás Fernández
18'
43'
Axel Frugone
Diego Laxalt
/ German Barbas
46'
Brian Barboza
/ Matías González
55'
Franco González
/ Stiven Muhlethaler
55'
Matías Arezo
61'
61'
Francisco Sorondo
63'
Nicolás Wunsch
/
Germán Barrios
63'
Alan Torterolo
/
Brian Lozano
68'
Brian Montenegro⚽
Nicolás Fernández
/ Abel Hernández
71'
Matías González
77'
78'
Valentín Rodríguez
/
Facundo Castro
Abel Hernández
84'
Franco Escobar
/ Gastón Togni
84'
Washington Aguerre
90'+5
Washington Aguerre
90'+5
Washington Aguerre
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
44.61%
Penarol
27.76%
X ←
27.63%
Defensor
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.76%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.32
—
—
0.98
—
—
Lineups
29
W. Aguerre
G
2
F. Escobar
D
F. Escobar
D
3
M. Lemos
D
22
Facundo Alvez
D
Facundo Alvez
D
36
B. Barboza
D
32
L. Umpiérrez
1 ⚽
M
21
J. Trindade
M
8
N. Fernández
1 👟
M
93
D. Laxalt
M
19
M. Arezo
F
80
F. González
F
Bench
11
A. Hernández
F
9
F. Batista
F
23
G. Togni
M
G. Togni
M
14
Kevin Rodríguez
D
25
Matías González
D
12
G
15
A. Frugone
D
14
Francisco Sorondo
D
20
Mateo Caballero
D
11
D
5
G. Barrios
M
24
L. de los Santos
M
7
B. Lozano
M
6
M. Amaro
M
M. Amaro
M
77
F. Castro
M
26
B. Montenegro
1 ⚽
F
Bench
22
A. Torterolo
M
30
E. Cuello
M
97
J. Goicochea
F
J. Goicochea
F
27
Juan Manuel Jorge
M
28
Lautaro Navarro
F
8
Nicolás Andrés Wunsch Tomás
M
17
Valentín Rodríguez
D
Penarol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Aguerre | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Escobar | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Lemos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Alvez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Barboza | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Umpiérrez | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Trindade | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Fernández | M | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Laxalt | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Arezo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. González | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Defensor Sporting — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| A. Frugone | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francisco Sorondo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Caballero | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| G. Barrios | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. de los Santos | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Lozano | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Amaro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Castro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Montenegro | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Penarol vs Defensor Sporting?
The final score was Penarol 1–1 Defensor Sporting.
What did the model predict before Penarol vs Defensor Sporting?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Penarol win, 27% to a draw, and 27% to an Defensor Sporting win.