← Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores · Group Stage - 2 April 17, 2026 02:30
Penarol
#3 · 2 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Platense
#2 · 7 pts
M. Arezo (ast. L. Angulo) 58'
22' (ast. T. Silva) G. Mainero
(pen.) 63' F. Zapiola

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Penarol a 45% win probability (draw 34%, Platense 19%). The final result was Penarol 1–2 Platense. In 1 previous meetings, Penarol have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Platense.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
3
0.56
Actual xG
1.08
1
Saves
4
52%
Possession
48%
1
Corners
0
21
Tackles
16
5
🟨 Yellow cards
5
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
22'
ast. T. Silva · G. Mainero⚽
F. Escobar
26'
33'
T. Nasif
45'+3
F. Zapiola
↕ Jesus Trindade / L. Umpierrez
46'
L. Ferreira
55'
⚽M. Arezo · ast. L. Angulo
58'
60'
G. Mainero
M. Olivera
60'
63'
(pen.) F. Zapiola⚽
67'
G. Lencina / T. Nasif ↕
67'
S. Dalmasso / F. Zapiola ↕
↕ E. Darias / A. Hernandez
74'
75'
A. Lagos / K. Retamar ↕
E. Remedi
81'
84'
I. Gomez / G. Mainero ↕
84'
C. Ingenthron / P. Ferreira ↕
↕ N. Fernandez / F. Gonzalez
84'
90'+5
M. Mendia
F. Escobar
90'+7
F. Escobar
90'+7
90'+8
C. Ingenthron
Pre-match prediction
45.82%
Penarol
34.2%
X
19.97%
Platense ←
we assigned to the actual result (Platense) 19.97% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Penarol
1.04
0.56
-0.48
Platense
0.44
1.08
+0.64
Platense dominated by xG (1.08 vs 0.56). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 4 7
1 U. Catolica U. Catolica 4 7
1 Mirassol Mirassol 4 9
1 Flamengo Flamengo 3 7
1 Corinthians Corinthians 4 10
1 Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 4 10
1 Rosario Central Rosario Central 4 10
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 4 8
2 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4 7
2 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4 7
2 Platense Platense 4 7
2 Bolívar Bolívar 4 5
2 Lanus Lanus 4 6
2 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 4 7
2 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 4 7
2 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 4 6
3 UCV UCV 4 6
3 Penarol Penarol 4 2
3 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4 6
3 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 4 6
3 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3 4
3 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 4 3
3 Universitario Universitario 4 4
3 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 4 6
4 Cusco Cusco 4 1
4 Always Ready Always Ready 4 3
4 Club Nacional Club Nacional 4 4
4 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 4 3
4 Fluminense Fluminense 4 2
4 Junior Junior 4 1
4 Santa Fe Santa Fe 4 2
4 Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 4 0
Lineups
Penarol Penarol 4-1-4-1
1
G 6.30
15
Maximiliano Olivera D 5.90
6 L. Ferreira L. Ferreira D 6.70
3
Mauricio Lemos D 6.60
2
Franco Escobar D 6.50
5
E. Remedi M 6.70
13
E. Darias 74' M 6.70
21
Jesús Trindade 45' M 6.50
8
Nicolás Fernández 84' M 6.50
77
L. Angulo 1 👟 M 6.90
19 M. Arezo M. Arezo 1 ⚽ F 7.50
Bench
11
Abel Hernández 25' F 6.20
93
Diego Laxalt D
9
Facundo Batista F
80
Franco González 15' M 6.90
23
Gastón Togni F
14
Kevin Rodríguez D
32
Leandro Umpierrez 54' M 6.90
25
Matías González D
Platense Platense 4-2-3-1
20
G 7.30
3
Tomás Ariel Silva 1 👟 D 7.00
31
Victor Cuesta D 6.60
34
Mateo Mendia D 6.90
6
Eugenio Raggio D 6.50
15
M. Amarfil M 7.20
26
P. Ferreira 84' M 6.20
10
Franco Zapiola 1 ⚽ 67' M 6.60
43
K. Retamar 75' M 6.60
7 G. Mainero G. Mainero 1 ⚽ 84' M 7.00
9
T. Nasif 67' F 5.90
Bench
4
Agustín Lagos 24' D 6.20
18
B. Merlini F
38
Celías Ingenthron 15' D 6.60
99
G. Lencina 32' F 6.70
5
I. Gomez 15' M 6.70
33
J. Gauto F
24
M. Barrios M
Best on the pitch
M. Arezo
M. Arezo
F · Penarol
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 12 pass
G · Platense
7.30
· 32 pass
M. Amarfil
M · Platense
7.20
· 45 pass
G. Mainero
G. Mainero
M · Platense
7.00
1 ⚽
3 shots · 18 pass
Tomás Ariel Silva
D · Platense
7.00
1 👟
· 20 pass
Leandro Umpierrez
M · Penarol
6.90
· 16 pass
Penarol Penarol — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 99 6.30 — — — 19 15% — — —
Maximiliano Olivera D 99 5.90 — — 1 30 20% — 1 —
L. Ferreira D 99 6.70 — — 1 50 34% 4 1 —
Mauricio Lemos D 99 6.60 — — 1 58 42% — — —
Franco Escobar D 90 6.50 — — — 24 18% 4 2 1
E. Remedi M 99 6.70 — — — 34 22% 3 1 —
E. Darias M 74 6.70 — — 1 9 8% 2 — —
Jesús Trindade M 45 6.50 — — — 14 10% — — —
Nicolás Fernández M 84 6.50 — — 1 25 14% 4 — —
L. Angulo M 99 6.90 — 1 — 13 7% 2 — —
M. Arezo F 99 7.50 1 — 3 12 8% — — —
Abel Hernández F 25 6.20 — — 1 7 1% — — —
Franco González M 15 6.90 — — — 10 7% — — —
Leandro Umpierrez M 54 6.90 — — — 16 13% 2 — —
Platense Platense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 99 7.30 — — — 32 16% — — —
Tomás Ariel Silva D 99 7.00 — 1 — 20 12% 2 — —
Victor Cuesta D 99 6.60 — — — 29 23% 1 — —
Mateo Mendia D 99 6.90 — — — 28 19% — 1 —
Eugenio Raggio D 99 6.50 — — — 21 15% 2 — —
M. Amarfil M 99 7.20 — — — 45 36% 4 — —
P. Ferreira M 84 6.20 — — — 31 22% 2 — —
Franco Zapiola M 67 6.60 1 — 1 15 13% 2 1 —
K. Retamar M 75 6.60 — — 1 21 13% — — —
G. Mainero M 84 7.00 1 — 3 18 11% — 1 —
T. Nasif F 67 5.90 — — — 14 7% 1 1 —
Agustín Lagos D 24 6.20 — — — 3 2% — — —
Celías Ingenthron D 15 6.60 — — — 3 2% 1 1 —
G. Lencina F 32 6.70 — — — 8 4% 1 — —
I. Gomez M 15 6.70 — — — 3 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Penarol vs Platense?
The final score was Penarol 1–2 Platense.
What did the model predict before Penarol vs Platense?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Penarol win, 34% to a draw, and 19% to an Platense win.