Serie B
· Regular Season - 38
May 08, 2026 20:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Pescara, result Pareggio
D. Faraoni
10'
73'
(ast. G. Lapadula)
G. Artistico
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Pescara a 57% win probability (draw 20%, Spezia 21%). The final result was Pescara 1–1 Spezia. In 1 previous meetings, Pescara have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Spezia.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
1
0.87
Actual xG
1.31
0
Saves
5
60%
Possession
40%
3
Corners
1
9
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽D. Faraoni
10'
24'
L. Vignali
/
M. Valoti
33'
L. Vignali
G. Olzer
41'
46'
G. Artistico
/
G. Di Serio
46'
L. Sernicola
/
E. Adamo
51'
66'
A. Nagy
/
C. Comotto
70'
A. Romano
G. Acampora
/ F. Caligara
71'
73'
ast. G. Lapadula ·
G. Artistico⚽
76'
G. Aurelio
/
P. Beruatto
G. Letizia
/ A. Oliveri
78'
L. Valzania
/ F. Tsadjout
79'
D. Faraoni
/ G. Altare
80'
81'
A. Nagy
Pre-match prediction
57.24%
Pescara
20.95%
X ←
21.82%
Spezia
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
20.95%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.99
0.87
-1.12
1.09
1.31
+0.22
Spezia dominated by xG (1.31 vs 0.87).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
G
3
G. Letizia
78'
D
6
D. Bettella
D
2
D
19
D. Faraoni
1 ⚽
80'
D
27
G. Olzer
M
8
M
14
L. Valzania
79'
M
11
L. Insigne
M
13
G. Acampora
71'
M
9
Antonio Di Nardo
F
Antonio Di Nardo
F
Bench
26
A. Gravillon
D
10
D. Merola
F
21
F. Caligara
19'
M
31
F. Russo
F
15
G. Altare
10'
D
18
L. Fanne
M
7
L. Meazzi
F
12
D. Mascardi
G
11
P. Beruatto
76'
D
94
G. Bonfanti
D
55
P. Hristov
D
37
A. Mateju
D
70
E. Adamo
45'
M
60
Alessandro Romano
M
34
C. Comotto
66'
M
20
G. Di Serio
45'
M
5
M. Valoti
24'
F
10
G. Lapadula
1 👟
F
Bench
8
A. Nagy
24'
M
9
G. Artistico
1 ⚽
45'
F
G. Artistico
1 ⚽
45'
F
31
G. Aurelio
14'
D
17
L. Sernicola
45'
D
32
L. Vignali
66'
D
Best on the pitch
G. Olzer
M · Pescara
7.50
1 shots
· 37 pass
G. Acampora
M · Pescara
7.50
· 33 pass
D. Faraoni
D · Pescara
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 37 pass
G. Artistico
F · Spezia
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
G. Letizia
D · Pescara
7.20
· 55 pass
P. Hristov
D · Spezia
7.20
· 40 pass
Pescara — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| G. Letizia | D | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 55 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Bettella | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 1 | — | — | |
| D. Faraoni | D | 80 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 37 | 27% | — | — | — |
| G. Olzer | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 82 | 63% | 2 | — | — | |
| L. Valzania | M | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Insigne | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Acampora | M | 71 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Antonio Di Nardo | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| F. Caligara | M | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| G. Altare | D | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Spezia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mascardi | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 7% | — | — | — |
| P. Beruatto | D | 76 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| G. Bonfanti | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Hristov | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Mateju | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Adamo | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Alessandro Romano | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 32% | 2 | 1 | — |
| C. Comotto | M | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | — | — | — |
| G. Di Serio | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| M. Valoti | F | 24 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| G. Lapadula | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Nagy | M | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Artistico | F | 45 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Aurelio | D | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| L. Sernicola | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| L. Vignali | D | 66 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Pescara vs Spezia?
The final score was Pescara 1–1 Spezia.
What did the model predict before Pescara vs Spezia?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Pescara win, 20% to a draw, and 21% to an Spezia win.