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Model wrong — prediction Pescara, result Draw
D. Faraoni 10'
73' (ast. G. Lapadula) G. Artistico
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Pescara a 57% win probability (draw 20%, Spezia 21%). The final result was Pescara 1–1 Spezia. In 1 previous meetings, Pescara have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Spezia.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
1
0.87
Actual xG
1.31
0
Saves
5
60%
Possession
40%
3
Corners
1
9
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
D. Faraoni
10'
24'
L. Vignali / M. Valoti
33'
L. Vignali
G. Olzer
41'
46'
G. Artistico / G. Di Serio
46'
L. Sernicola / E. Adamo
51'
66'
A. Nagy / C. Comotto
70'
A. Romano
G. Acampora / F. Caligara
71'
73'
ast. G. Lapadula · G. Artistico
76'
G. Aurelio / P. Beruatto
G. Letizia / A. Oliveri
78'
L. Valzania / F. Tsadjout
79'
D. Faraoni / G. Altare
80'
81'
A. Nagy
Pre-match prediction
57.24%
Pescara
20.95%
X ←
21.82%
Spezia
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.95% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Pescara
1.99
0.87
-1.12
Spezia
1.09
1.31
+0.22
Spezia dominated by xG (1.31 vs 0.87). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Avellino Avellino 0 0
2 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 0 0
3 Cesena Cesena 0 0
4 Ascoli Ascoli 0 0
5 Pisa Pisa 0 0
6 Mantova Mantova 0 0
7 Modena Modena 0 0
8 Cremonese Cremonese 0 0
9 Padova Padova 0 0
10 Arezzo Arezzo 0 0
11 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 0 0
12 Sudtirol Sudtirol 0 0
13 Carrarese Carrarese 0 0
14 Benevento Benevento 0 0
15 Catanzaro Catanzaro 0 0
16 Sampdoria Sampdoria 0 0
17 Palermo Palermo 0 0
18 Empoli Empoli 0 0
19 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 0 0
20 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0 0
Lineups
Pescara Pescara 4-3-2-1
22
G 6.50
3
G. Letizia 78' D 7.20
6
D. Bettella D 6.30
2
D 6.90
19
D. Faraoni 1 ⚽ 80' D 7.30
27
G. Olzer M 7.50
8
M 7.00
14
L. Valzania 79' M 6.20
11
L. Insigne M 6.90
13
G. Acampora 71' M 7.50
9 Antonio Di Nardo Antonio Di Nardo F 6.50
Bench
26
Andreaw Gravillon D
10
D. Merola F
21
F. Caligara 19' M 6.20
31
F. Russo F
15
G. Altare 10' D 6.60
18
L. Fanne M
7
L. Meazzi F
Spezia Spezia 4-4-1-1
12
D. Mascardi G 6.90
11
Pietro Beruatto 76' D 6.00
94
G. Bonfanti D 7.00
55
P. Hristov D 7.20
37
A. Mateju D 5.90
70
E. Adamo 45' M 6.30
60
Alessandro Romano M 6.20
34
C. Comotto 66' M 6.20
20
G. Di Serio 45' M 6.70
5
M. Valoti 24' F 6.50
10 Gianluca Lapadula Gianluca Lapadula 1 👟 F 7.00
Bench
8
Ádám Nagy 24' M 6.60
9 G. Artistico G. Artistico 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.30
31
G. Aurelio 14' D 6.70
17
Leonardo Sernicola 45' D 6.60
32
L. Vignali 66' D 6.00
Best on the pitch
G. Olzer
M · Pescara
7.50
1 shots · 37 pass
G. Acampora
M · Pescara
7.50
· 33 pass
D. Faraoni
D · Pescara
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 37 pass
G. Artistico
G. Artistico
F · Spezia
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 11 pass
G. Letizia
D · Pescara
7.20
· 55 pass
P. Hristov
D · Spezia
7.20
· 40 pass
Pescara Pescara — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.50 26 15%
G. Letizia D 78 7.20 55 48% 1
D. Bettella D 90 6.30 33 29% 1
D 90 6.90 42 37% 1
D. Faraoni D 80 7.30 1 2 37 27%
G. Olzer M 90 7.50 1 37 24% 1 1
M 90 7.00 82 63% 2
L. Valzania M 79 6.20 2 23 16% 2
L. Insigne M 90 6.90 1 59 48% 1
G. Acampora M 71 7.50 33 28%
Antonio Di Nardo F 90 6.50 1 13 10%
F. Caligara M 19 6.20 1 11 8%
G. Altare D 10 6.60 3 3%
Spezia Spezia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Mascardi G 90 6.90 24 7%
Pietro Beruatto D 76 6.00 16 11%
G. Bonfanti D 90 7.00 43 34% 1
P. Hristov D 90 7.20 40 26% 3
A. Mateju D 90 5.90 26 19% 1
E. Adamo M 45 6.30 6 5% 1
Alessandro Romano M 90 6.20 1 47 32% 2 1
C. Comotto M 66 6.20 18 11%
G. Di Serio M 45 6.70 1 8 6%
M. Valoti F 24 6.50 7 4%
Gianluca Lapadula F 90 7.00 1 17 11% 1
Ádám Nagy M 24 6.60 13 11% 1 1
G. Artistico F 45 7.30 1 1 11 10% 2
G. Aurelio D 14 6.70 1 6 5%
Leonardo Sernicola D 45 6.60 6 3%
L. Vignali D 66 6.00 18 11% 1 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Pescara vs Spezia?
The final score was Pescara 1–1 Spezia.
What did the model predict before Pescara vs Spezia?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Pescara win, 20% to a draw, and 21% to an Spezia win.