League One
· Regular Season - 36
April 16, 2026 20:45
✗Model wrong — prediction Peterborough, result Port Vale vince
J. Dornelly
(ast. M. Garbett)
31'
3'
(ast. O. Hernandez)
R. Croasdale
16'
E. Archer
59'
E. Archer
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Peterborough a 57% win probability (draw 22%, Port Vale 19%). The final result was Peterborough 1–3 Port Vale. In 1 previous meetings, Peterborough have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Port Vale.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
4
1
Saves
2
70%
Possession
30%
9
Corners
1
11
Tackles
25
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
3'
ast. O. Hernandez ·
R. Croasdale⚽
16'
E. Archer⚽
⚽J. Dornelly
· ast. M. Garbett
31'
52'
L. Gordon
/
O. Hernandez
B. Shofowoke
/ C. Hayes
55'
59'
E. Archer⚽
M. Garbett
/ D. Kamara
64'
P. Kioso
/ O. Aderoju
64'
D. Kamara
69'
70'
T. Magloire
71'
C. Humphreys
/
J. Headley
83'
B. Waine
/
G. Ward
83'
D. Brown
/
M. Sherif
B. Khela
/ P. Sykut
84'
Pre-match prediction
57.85%
Peterborough
22.39%
X
19.76%
Port ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Port Vale)
19.76%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.78
—
—
0.65
—
—
Lineups
1
G
23
H. Mills
D
12
T. Lees
D
30
P. Kioso
64'
D
33
J. Dornelly
1 ⚽
D
8
B. Khela
84'
M
4
A. Collins
M
17
K. Lisbie
M
K. Lisbie
M
28
M. Garbett
1 👟
64'
M
36
B. Shofowoke
55'
M
27
H. Leonard
F
H. Leonard
F
Bench
18
C. Hayes
41'
M
34
David Kamara
32'
F
46
G
27
D
5
C. Hall
D
35
T. Magloire
D
3
J. Headley
71'
M
28
G. Ward
83'
M
26
J. Shipley
M
18
R. Croasdale
1 ⚽
M
50
O. Hernandez
1 👟
52'
M
11
E. Archer
2 ⚽
F
21
Martin Sherif
83'
F
Bench
19
Ben Waine
13'
F
25
C. Humphreys
25'
D
10
D. Brown
13'
F
15
L. Gordon
44'
D
Best on the pitch
E. Archer
F · Port
9.70
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 19 pass
R. Croasdale
M · Port
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 22 pass
O. Hernandez
M · Port
8.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 17 pass
H. Mills
D · Peterborough
7.30
· 95 pass
J. Shipley
M · Port
7.30
· 22 pass
D · Port
7.20
· 26 pass
Peterborough — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| H. Mills | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 95 | 76% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Lees | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 85 | 76% | — | — | — |
| P. Kioso | D | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Dornelly | D | 96 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 58 | 48% | — | — | — |
| B. Khela | M | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Collins | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 57 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Lisbie | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Garbett | M | 64 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 22 | 15% | — | — | — |
| B. Shofowoke | M | 55 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Leonard | F | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| C. Hayes | M | 41 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| David Kamara | F | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
Port Vale — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 7% | — | — | — | |
| D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — | |
| C. Hall | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| T. Magloire | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Headley | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| G. Ward | M | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Shipley | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 5 | — | — |
| R. Croasdale | M | 96 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| O. Hernandez | M | 52 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15% | 6 | — | — |
| E. Archer | F | 96 | 9.70 | 2 | — | 2 | 19 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Martin Sherif | F | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Ben Waine | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Humphreys | D | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Brown | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| L. Gordon | D | 44 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Peterborough vs Port Vale?
The final score was Peterborough 1–3 Port Vale.
What did the model predict before Peterborough vs Port Vale?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Peterborough win, 22% to a draw, and 19% to an Port Vale win.