✗Model wrong — prediction Peterborough, result Port Vale wins
J. Dornelly
(ast. M. Garbett)
31'
3'
(ast. O. Hernandez)
R. Croasdale
16'
E. Archer
59'
E. Archer
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Peterborough a 57% win probability (draw 22%, Port Vale 19%). The final result was Peterborough 1–3 Port Vale. In 1 previous meetings, Peterborough have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Port Vale.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
4
1
Saves
2
70%
Possession
30%
9
Corners
1
11
Tackles
25
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
3'
ast. O. Hernandez ·
R. Croasdale⚽
16'
E. Archer⚽
⚽J. Dornelly
· ast. M. Garbett
31'
52'
L. Gordon
/
O. Hernandez
B. Shofowoke
/ C. Hayes
55'
59'
E. Archer⚽
M. Garbett
/ D. Kamara
64'
P. Kioso
/ O. Aderoju
64'
D. Kamara
69'
70'
T. Magloire
71'
C. Humphreys
/
J. Headley
83'
B. Waine
/
G. Ward
83'
D. Brown
/
M. Sherif
B. Khela
/ P. Sykut
84'
Pre-match prediction
57.85%
Peterborough
22.39%
X
19.76%
Port ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Port Vale)
19.76%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.78
—
—
0.65
—
—
Lineups
1
G
23
Harley Mills
D
Harley Mills
D
12
T. Lees
D
30
P. Kioso
64'
D
P. Kioso
64'
D
33
James Dornelly
1 ⚽
D
James Dornelly
1 ⚽
D
8
B. Khela
84'
M
B. Khela
84'
M
4
A. Collins
M
A. Collins
M
17
K. Lisbie
M
K. Lisbie
M
28
M. Garbett
1 👟
64'
M
M. Garbett
1 👟
64'
M
36
Bolu Shofowoke
55'
M
Bolu Shofowoke
55'
M
27
H. Leonard
F
H. Leonard
F
Bench
18
Cian Hayes
41'
M
Cian Hayes
41'
M
34
David Kamara
32'
F
David Kamara
32'
F
46
G
27
D
5
Connor Hall
D
Connor Hall
D
35
T. Magloire
D
3
Jaheim Headley
71'
M
Jaheim Headley
71'
M
28
G. Ward
83'
M
26
Jordan Shipley
M
Jordan Shipley
M
18
Ryan Croasdale
1 ⚽
M
Ryan Croasdale
1 ⚽
M
50
Onel Hernández
1 👟
52'
M
Onel Hernández
1 👟
52'
M
11
E. Archer
2 ⚽
F
E. Archer
2 ⚽
F
21
Martin Sherif
83'
F
Bench
19
B. Waine
13'
F
B. Waine
13'
F
25
Cameron Humphreys
25'
D
Cameron Humphreys
25'
D
10
D. Brown
13'
F
D. Brown
13'
F
15
Liam Gordon
44'
D
Liam Gordon
44'
D
Best on the pitch
E. Archer
F · Port
9.70
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 19 pass
Ryan Croasdale
M · Port
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 22 pass
Onel Hernández
M · Port
8.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 17 pass
Harley Mills
D · Peterborough
7.30
· 95 pass
Jordan Shipley
M · Port
7.30
· 22 pass
D · Port
7.20
· 26 pass
Peterborough — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Harley Mills | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 95 | 76% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Lees | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 85 | 76% | — | — | — |
| P. Kioso | D | 64 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| James Dornelly | D | 96 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 58 | 48% | — | — | — |
| B. Khela | M | 84 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Collins | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 57 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Lisbie | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Garbett | M | 64 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 22 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Bolu Shofowoke | M | 55 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Leonard | F | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Cian Hayes | M | 41 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| David Kamara | F | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
Port Vale — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 7% | — | — | — | |
| D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — | |
| Connor Hall | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| T. Magloire | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Jaheim Headley | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| G. Ward | M | 83 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Jordan Shipley | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 5 | — | — |
| Ryan Croasdale | M | 96 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Onel Hernández | M | 52 | 8.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15% | 6 | — | — |
| E. Archer | F | 96 | 9.70 | 2 | — | 2 | 19 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Martin Sherif | F | 83 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Waine | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cameron Humphreys | D | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Brown | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Liam Gordon | D | 44 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Peterborough vs Port Vale?
The final score was Peterborough 1–3 Port Vale.
What did the model predict before Peterborough vs Port Vale?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Peterborough win, 22% to a draw, and 19% to an Port Vale win.