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Model wrong — prediction Peterborough, result Port Vale wins
J. Dornelly (ast. M. Garbett) 31'
3' (ast. O. Hernandez) R. Croasdale
16' E. Archer
59' E. Archer
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Peterborough a 57% win probability (draw 22%, Port Vale 19%). The final result was Peterborough 1–3 Port Vale. In 1 previous meetings, Peterborough have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Port Vale.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
4
1
Saves
2
70%
Possession
30%
9
Corners
1
11
Tackles
25
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
3'
ast. O. Hernandez · R. Croasdale
16'
E. Archer
J. Dornelly · ast. M. Garbett
31'
52'
L. Gordon / O. Hernandez
B. Shofowoke / C. Hayes
55'
59'
E. Archer
M. Garbett / D. Kamara
64'
P. Kioso / O. Aderoju
64'
D. Kamara
69'
70'
T. Magloire
71'
C. Humphreys / J. Headley
83'
B. Waine / G. Ward
83'
D. Brown / M. Sherif
B. Khela / P. Sykut
84'
Pre-match prediction
57.85%
Peterborough
22.39%
X
19.76%
Port ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Port Vale) 19.76% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Peterborough
1.78
Port
0.65
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Stockport County Stockport County 0 0
2 Reading Reading 0 0
3 Wigan Wigan 0 0
4 Barnsley Barnsley 0 0
5 Blackpool Blackpool 0 0
6 Leicester Leicester 0 0
7 Plymouth Plymouth 0 0
8 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 0 0
9 Doncaster Doncaster 0 0
10 Huddersfield Huddersfield 0 0
11 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0 0
12 Luton Luton 0 0
13 Wycombe Wycombe 0 0
14 Bradford Bradford 0 0
15 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0 0
16 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 0 0
17 Notts County Notts County 0 0
18 Peterborough Peterborough 0 0
19 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0 0
20 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0 0
21 Oxford United Oxford United 0 0
22 Stevenage Stevenage 0 0
23 Bromley Bromley 0 0
24 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 0 0
Lineups
Peterborough Peterborough 4-2-3-1
1
G 5.60
23
H. Mills D 7.30
12
T. Lees D 6.90
30
P. Kioso 64' D 6.20
33
J. Dornelly 1 ⚽ D 7.00
8
B. Khela 84' M 6.30
4
A. Collins M 6.30
17 K. Lisbie K. Lisbie M 7.00
28 M. Garbett M. Garbett 1 👟 64' M 7.00
36
B. Shofowoke 55' M 6.20
27 H. Leonard H. Leonard F 6.20
Bench
18
C. Hayes 41' M 6.30
34
David Kamara 32' F 6.20
Port Vale Port Vale 3-5-2
46
G 6.60
27
D 7.20
5
C. Hall D 6.90
35
T. Magloire D 6.30
3
J. Headley 71' M 6.90
28
G. Ward 83' M 6.60
26
J. Shipley M 7.30
18
R. Croasdale 1 ⚽ M 8.20
50
O. Hernandez 1 👟 52' M 8.00
11
E. Archer 2 ⚽ F 9.70
21
Martin Sherif 83' F 6.20
Bench
19 B. Waine B. Waine 13' F 6.50
25
C. Humphreys 25' D 6.90
10 D. Brown D. Brown 13' F 6.50
15
L. Gordon 44' D 6.90
Best on the pitch
E. Archer
F · Port
9.70
2 ⚽
2 shots · 19 pass
R. Croasdale
M · Port
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 22 pass
O. Hernandez
M · Port
8.00
1 👟
1 shots · 17 pass
H. Mills
D · Peterborough
7.30
· 95 pass
J. Shipley
M · Port
7.30
· 22 pass
D · Port
7.20
· 26 pass
Peterborough Peterborough — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 5.60 35 19%
H. Mills D 96 7.30 95 76% 3
T. Lees D 96 6.90 1 85 76%
P. Kioso D 64 6.20 2 50 46% 3
J. Dornelly D 96 7.00 1 2 58 48%
B. Khela M 84 6.30 45 40% 1
A. Collins M 96 6.30 2 57 49% 1
K. Lisbie M 96 7.00 1 23 19% 2
M. Garbett M 64 7.00 1 22 15%
B. Shofowoke M 55 6.20 9 8% 1
H. Leonard F 96 6.20 11 9%
C. Hayes M 41 6.30 22 16%
David Kamara F 32 6.20 4 4% 1
Port Vale Port Vale — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.60 35 7%
D 96 7.20 26 21% 1
C. Hall D 96 6.90 16 12%
T. Magloire D 96 6.30 18 10% 1
J. Headley M 71 6.90 1 13 12%
G. Ward M 83 6.60 20 15% 3
J. Shipley M 96 7.30 22 16% 5
R. Croasdale M 96 8.20 1 1 22 16% 3
O. Hernandez M 52 8.00 1 1 17 15% 6
E. Archer F 96 9.70 2 2 19 16% 2
Martin Sherif F 83 6.20 2 8 6% 2
B. Waine F 13 6.50
C. Humphreys D 25 6.90 4 1% 3
D. Brown F 13 6.50 5 3%
L. Gordon D 44 6.90 5 3%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Peterborough vs Port Vale?
The final score was Peterborough 1–3 Port Vale.
What did the model predict before Peterborough vs Port Vale?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Peterborough win, 22% to a draw, and 19% to an Port Vale win.