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Model wrong — prediction Peterborough, result Port Vale wins
J. Dornelly (ast. M. Garbett) 31'
3' (ast. O. Hernandez) R. Croasdale
16' E. Archer
59' E. Archer
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Peterborough a 57% win probability (draw 22%, Port Vale 19%). The final result was Peterborough 1–3 Port Vale. In 1 previous meetings, Peterborough have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Port Vale.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
4
1
Saves
2
70%
Possession
30%
9
Corners
1
11
Tackles
25
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
3'
ast. O. Hernandez · R. Croasdale
16'
E. Archer
J. Dornelly · ast. M. Garbett
31'
52'
L. Gordon / O. Hernandez
B. Shofowoke / C. Hayes
55'
59'
E. Archer
M. Garbett / D. Kamara
64'
P. Kioso / O. Aderoju
64'
D. Kamara
69'
70'
T. Magloire
71'
C. Humphreys / J. Headley
83'
B. Waine / G. Ward
83'
D. Brown / M. Sherif
B. Khela / P. Sykut
84'
Pre-match prediction
57.85%
Peterborough
22.39%
X
19.76%
Port ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Port Vale) 19.76% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Peterborough
1.78
Port
0.65
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 6 13
2 Huddersfield Huddersfield 6 12
3 Bradford Bradford 6 12
4 Cambridge United Cambridge United 6 11
5 Oxford United Oxford United 5 10
6 Plymouth Plymouth 6 10
7 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 6 10
8 Stockport County Stockport County 6 9
9 Stevenage Stevenage 6 9
10 Blackpool Blackpool 6 8
11 Burton Albion Burton Albion 6 8
12 Luton Luton 6 8
13 Leicester Leicester 6 8
14 Reading Reading 5 7
15 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 6 7
16 Notts County Notts County 6 7
17 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 6 7
18 Barnsley Barnsley 6 7
19 Wycombe Wycombe 6 6
20 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 6 5
21 Peterborough Peterborough 6 5
22 Bromley Bromley 6 5
23 Wigan Wigan 6 4
24 Doncaster Doncaster 6 3
Lineups
Peterborough Peterborough 4-2-3-1
1
G 5.60
23 Harley Mills Harley Mills D 7.30
12
T. Lees D 6.90
30 P. Kioso P. Kioso 64' D 6.20
33 James Dornelly James Dornelly 1 ⚽ D 7.00
8 B. Khela B. Khela 84' M 6.30
4 A. Collins A. Collins M 6.30
17 K. Lisbie K. Lisbie M 7.00
28 M. Garbett M. Garbett 1 👟 64' M 7.00
36 Bolu Shofowoke Bolu Shofowoke 55' M 6.20
27 H. Leonard H. Leonard F 6.20
Bench
18 Cian Hayes Cian Hayes 41' M 6.30
34 David Kamara David Kamara 32' F 6.20
Port Vale Port Vale 3-5-2
46
G 6.60
27
D 7.20
5 Connor Hall Connor Hall D 6.90
35
T. Magloire D 6.30
3 Jaheim Headley Jaheim Headley 71' M 6.90
28
G. Ward 83' M 6.60
26 Jordan Shipley Jordan Shipley M 7.30
18 Ryan Croasdale Ryan Croasdale 1 ⚽ M 8.20
50 Onel Hernández Onel Hernández 1 👟 52' M 8.00
11 E. Archer E. Archer 2 ⚽ F 9.70
21
Martin Sherif 83' F 6.20
Bench
19 B. Waine B. Waine 13' F 6.50
25 Cameron Humphreys Cameron Humphreys 25' D 6.90
10 D. Brown D. Brown 13' F 6.50
15 Liam Gordon Liam Gordon 44' D 6.90
Best on the pitch
E. Archer
E. Archer
F · Port
9.70
2 ⚽
2 shots · 19 pass
Ryan Croasdale
Ryan Croasdale
M · Port
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 22 pass
Onel Hernández
Onel Hernández
M · Port
8.00
1 👟
1 shots · 17 pass
Harley Mills
Harley Mills
D · Peterborough
7.30
· 95 pass
Jordan Shipley
Jordan Shipley
M · Port
7.30
· 22 pass
D · Port
7.20
· 26 pass
Peterborough Peterborough — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 5.60 35 19%
Harley Mills D 96 7.30 95 76% 3
T. Lees D 96 6.90 1 85 76%
P. Kioso D 64 6.20 2 50 46% 3
James Dornelly D 96 7.00 1 2 58 48%
B. Khela M 84 6.30 45 40% 1
A. Collins M 96 6.30 2 57 49% 1
K. Lisbie M 96 7.00 1 23 19% 2
M. Garbett M 64 7.00 1 22 15%
Bolu Shofowoke M 55 6.20 9 8% 1
H. Leonard F 96 6.20 11 9%
Cian Hayes M 41 6.30 22 16%
David Kamara F 32 6.20 4 4% 1
Port Vale Port Vale — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.60 35 7%
D 96 7.20 26 21% 1
Connor Hall D 96 6.90 16 12%
T. Magloire D 96 6.30 18 10% 1
Jaheim Headley M 71 6.90 1 13 12%
G. Ward M 83 6.60 20 15% 3
Jordan Shipley M 96 7.30 22 16% 5
Ryan Croasdale M 96 8.20 1 1 22 16% 3
Onel Hernández M 52 8.00 1 1 17 15% 6
E. Archer F 96 9.70 2 2 19 16% 2
Martin Sherif F 83 6.20 2 8 6% 2
B. Waine F 13 6.50
Cameron Humphreys D 25 6.90 4 1% 3
D. Brown F 13 6.50 5 3%
Liam Gordon D 44 6.90 5 3%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Peterborough vs Port Vale?
The final score was Peterborough 1–3 Port Vale.
What did the model predict before Peterborough vs Port Vale?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Peterborough win, 22% to a draw, and 19% to an Port Vale win.