Egyptian Premier League
· Relegation Group - 8
May 04, 2026 16:00
K. El Tayeb
(ast. M. Fakhri)
75'
33'
(ast. Kahraba)
M. Salim
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Pharco a 36% win probability (draw 31%, El Mokawloon 32%). The final result was Pharco 1–1 El Mokawloon. In 1 previous meetings, Pharco have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for El Mokawloon.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
6
1.70
Actual xG
1.08
5
Saves
3
54%
Possession
46%
8
Corners
1
9
Tackles
16
Match Events
B. Ndiaye
/ M. Ezz
26'
33'
ast. Kahraba ·
M. Salim⚽
W. Mostafa
/ M. Farhat
46'
60'
A. Hawash
/
M. Salim
60'
I. Abdellah
/
M. Antar
M. Gaber
/ M. Yasser
61'
H. Yassin
/ A. Ghouma
72'
⚽K. El Tayeb
· ast. M. Fakhri
75'
78'
M. Abdelnasser
/
H. Faisal
81'
A. Ouled Behi
/
S. Naguib
81'
I. Gaber
/
O. El Wahsh
Pre-match prediction
36.4%
Pharco
31.45%
X ←
32.15%
El
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.45%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.96
1.70
+0.74
0.89
1.08
+0.19
Pharco dominated by xG (1.70 vs 1.08).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
25
G
11
Walid Mostafa
45'
D
Walid Mostafa
45'
D
12
72'
D
33
Babacar Ndiaye
D
Babacar Ndiaye
D
17
Mohamed Gaber
61'
D
Mohamed Gaber
61'
D
31
M
4
Mohamed Fakhry
1 👟
M
Mohamed Fakhry
1 👟
M
70
Fathy Mohamed
M
Fathy Mohamed
M
32
Aliou Ndiay
26'
F
Aliou Ndiay
26'
F
7
Karim El Tayeb
1 ⚽
F
Karim El Tayeb
1 ⚽
F
23
F
Bench
21
Azmi Ghouma
18'
D
Azmi Ghouma
18'
D
20
Halimo
M
Halimo
M
57
H. Reda
M
9
Mahmoud Farahat
45'
M
Mahmoud Farahat
45'
M
22
Mohamed Ezz
64'
F
Mohamed Ezz
64'
F
74
Mohamed Hussein
D
Mohamed Hussein
D
1
Mahmoud Abou El-Saoud
G
Mahmoud Abou El-Saoud
G
23
D
3
Mohamed Hamed
D
Mohamed Hamed
D
4
D
26
Kahraba
1 👟
D
Kahraba
1 👟
D
12
Omar El Wahsh
81'
M
Omar El Wahsh
81'
M
14
Mostafa Gamal
M
Mostafa Gamal
M
22
Mohamed Antar
60'
M
Mohamed Antar
60'
M
9
Mohamed Salem
1 ⚽
60'
M
Mohamed Salem
1 ⚽
60'
M
32
Hussein Faisal
78'
M
Hussein Faisal
78'
M
10
Shokry Naguib
81'
F
Shokry Naguib
81'
F
Bench
44
Ahmed Nader Hawash
30'
F
Ahmed Nader Hawash
30'
F
28
Ahmed Ouled Behi
9'
M
Ahmed Ouled Behi
9'
M
74
Mohamed Abdelnasser
12'
M
Mohamed Abdelnasser
12'
M
18
Mohamed Fawzi
G
Mohamed Fawzi
G
24
Nader Hesham
D
Nader Hesham
D
Best on the pitch
G · Pharco
8.30
· 29 pass
Mohamed Salem
M · El
8.30
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 10 pass
D · El
7.60
· 33 pass
Fathy Mohamed
M · Pharco
7.60
1 shots
· 31 pass
Mohamed Gaber
D · Pharco
7.30
· 28 pass
Mostafa Gamal
M · El
7.30
1 shots
· 35 pass
Pharco — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Walid Mostafa | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| D | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 26% | 1 | — | — | |
| Babacar Ndiaye | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Mohamed Gaber | D | 61 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| Mohamed Fakhry | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 39 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Fathy Mohamed | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Aliou Ndiay | F | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Karim El Tayeb | F | 90 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 23 | 10% | — | — | — |
| F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 24% | 1 | — | — | |
| Azmi Ghouma | D | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Mahmoud Farahat | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Ezz | F | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
El Mokawloon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahmoud Abou El-Saoud | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 23% | 1 | — | — | |
| Mohamed Hamed | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 20% | 3 | — | — | |
| Kahraba | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Omar El Wahsh | M | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Mostafa Gamal | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| Mohamed Antar | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Salem | M | 60 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 4 | 10 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Hussein Faisal | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Shokry Naguib | F | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Ahmed Nader Hawash | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Ouled Behi | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | — |
| Mohamed Abdelnasser | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Pharco vs El Mokawloon?
The final score was Pharco 1–1 El Mokawloon.
What did the model predict before Pharco vs El Mokawloon?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Pharco win, 31% to a draw, and 32% to an El Mokawloon win.