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Egyptian Premier League · Relegation Group - 8 May 04, 2026 16:00 Haras El-Hodod Stadium, Alexandria
Pharco
#20 · 25 pts
1 – 1
Final score
El Mokawloon
#13 · 38 pts
K. El Tayeb (ast. M. Fakhri) 75'
33' (ast. Kahraba) M. Salim
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Pharco a 36% win probability (draw 31%, El Mokawloon 32%). The final result was Pharco 1–1 El Mokawloon. In 1 previous meetings, Pharco have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for El Mokawloon.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
6
1.70
Actual xG
1.08
5
Saves
3
54%
Possession
46%
8
Corners
1
9
Tackles
16
Match Events
↕ B. Ndiaye / M. Ezz
26'
33'
ast. Kahraba · M. Salim⚽
↕ W. Mostafa / M. Farhat
46'
60'
A. Hawash / M. Salim ↕
60'
I. Abdellah / M. Antar ↕
↕ M. Gaber / M. Yasser
61'
↕ H. Yassin / A. Ghouma
72'
⚽K. El Tayeb · ast. M. Fakhri
75'
78'
M. Abdelnasser / H. Faisal ↕
81'
A. Ouled Behi / S. Naguib ↕
81'
I. Gaber / O. El Wahsh ↕
Pre-match prediction
36.4%
Pharco
31.45%
X ←
32.15%
El
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 31.45% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Pharco
0.96
1.70
+0.74
El
0.89
1.08
+0.19
Pharco dominated by xG (1.70 vs 1.08). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
8 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 13 53
9 Masr Masr 13 49
10 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 13 48
11 El Gouna FC El Gouna FC 13 46
12 Petrojet Petrojet 13 45
13 El Mokawloon El Mokawloon 13 38
14 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 13 38
15 Future FC Future FC 13 37
16 El Geish El Geish 13 37
17 Al Ittihad Al Ittihad 13 36
18 Kahraba Ismailia Kahraba Ismailia 13 32
19 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 13 26
20 Pharco Pharco 13 25
21 Ismaily SC Ismaily SC 13 20
Lineups
Pharco Pharco 4-3-3
25
G 8.30
11 Walid Mostafa Walid Mostafa 45' D 6.50
12
72' D 6.30
33 B. Ndiaye B. Ndiaye D 6.90
17 Mohamed Gaber Mohamed Gaber 61' D 7.30
31
M 7.00
4 Mohamed Fakhry Mohamed Fakhry 1 👟 M 6.90
70 Fathy Mohamed Fathy Mohamed M 7.60
32 Aliou Ndiay Aliou Ndiay 26' F 6.60
7 Karim El Tayeb Karim El Tayeb 1 ⚽ F 7.00
23
F 6.30
Bench
21 Azmi Ghouma Azmi Ghouma 18' D 6.90
20 Halimo Halimo M
57 Hossam Reda Hossam Reda M
9 Mahmoud Farahat Mahmoud Farahat 45' M 6.90
22 Mohamed Ezz Mohamed Ezz 64' F 6.50
74 Mohamed Hussein Mohamed Hussein D
El Mokawloon El Mokawloon 4-2-3-1
1 Mahmoud Abou El-Saoud Mahmoud Abou El-Saoud G 6.60
23
D 6.60
3 Mohamed Hamed Mohamed Hamed D 6.70
4
D 7.60
26 Ahmed Magdy Kahraba Ahmed Magdy Kahraba 1 👟 D 6.60
12 Omar El Wahsh Omar El Wahsh 81' M 6.20
14 Mostafa Gamal Mostafa Gamal M 7.30
22 Mohamed Antar Mohamed Antar 60' M 6.70
9 Mohamed Salem Mohamed Salem 1 ⚽ 60' M 8.30
32 Hussein Faisal Hussein Faisal 78' M 6.90
10 Shokry Naguib Shokry Naguib 81' F 6.30
Bench
44 Ahmed Nader Hawash Ahmed Nader Hawash 30' F 6.30
28 Ahmed Ouled Behi Ahmed Ouled Behi 9' M 6.70
74 Mohamed Abdelnasser Mohamed Abdelnasser 12' M 6.70
18 Mohamed Fawzi Mohamed Fawzi G
24 Nader Hesham Nader Hesham D
Best on the pitch
G · Pharco
8.30
· 29 pass
Mohamed Salem
Mohamed Salem
M · El
8.30
1 ⚽
4 shots · 10 pass
D · El
7.60
· 33 pass
Fathy Mohamed
Fathy Mohamed
M · Pharco
7.60
1 shots · 31 pass
Mohamed Gaber
Mohamed Gaber
D · Pharco
7.30
· 28 pass
Mostafa Gamal
Mostafa Gamal
M · El
7.30
1 shots · 35 pass
Pharco Pharco — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 8.30 — — — 29 17% — — —
Walid Mostafa D 45 6.50 — — — 14 10% — — —
D 72 6.30 — — — 38 26% 1 — —
B. Ndiaye D 90 6.90 — — 2 25 17% 2 — —
Mohamed Gaber D 61 7.30 — — — 28 15% — — —
M 90 7.00 — — — 40 22% — — —
Mohamed Fakhry M 90 6.90 — 1 1 39 25% 1 — —
Fathy Mohamed M 90 7.60 — — 1 31 17% 3 — —
Aliou Ndiay F 26 6.60 — — — 9 3% — — —
Karim El Tayeb F 90 7.00 1 — 3 23 10% — — —
F 90 6.30 — — — 39 24% 1 — —
Azmi Ghouma D 18 6.90 — — — 8 4% 1 — —
Mahmoud Farahat M 45 6.90 — — — 14 7% — — —
Mohamed Ezz F 64 6.50 — — 3 18 15% — — —
El Mokawloon El Mokawloon — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Mahmoud Abou El-Saoud G 90 6.60 — — — 32 15% — — —
D 90 6.60 — — 1 38 23% 1 — —
Mohamed Hamed D 90 6.70 — — — 21 15% 1 — —
D 90 7.60 — — — 33 20% 3 — —
Ahmed Magdy Kahraba D 90 6.60 — 1 — 17 11% 3 — —
Omar El Wahsh M 81 6.20 — — 1 40 21% 1 — —
Mostafa Gamal M 90 7.30 — — 1 35 25% 3 — —
Mohamed Antar M 60 6.70 — — — 22 15% — — —
Mohamed Salem M 60 8.30 1 — 4 10 3% — — —
Hussein Faisal M 78 6.90 — — — 20 15% 1 — —
Shokry Naguib F 81 6.30 — — 1 19 12% 1 — —
Ahmed Nader Hawash F 30 6.30 — — — 10 5% — — —
Ahmed Ouled Behi M 9 6.70 — — — 2 — 1 — —
Mohamed Abdelnasser M 12 6.70 — — 1 — — 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Pharco vs El Mokawloon?
The final score was Pharco 1–1 El Mokawloon.
What did the model predict before Pharco vs El Mokawloon?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Pharco win, 31% to a draw, and 32% to an El Mokawloon win.