USL Championship
· Group Stage
April 12, 2026 06:00
I. Sacko
13'
(pen.)
JP Scearce
(ast. H. Avayevu)
75'
I. Sacko
(ast. JP Scearce)
82'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Phoenix Rising a 39% win probability (draw 31%, New Mexico United 29%). The final result was Phoenix Rising 3–0 New Mexico United.
Match statistics
Match Events
⚽I. Sacko
(pen.)
13'
25'
M. Howell
⚽JP Scearce
(missed pen.)
34'
JP Scearce
45'+3
J. Moursou
51'
61'
D. Harris
/
N. Reid-Stephen
61'
J. Rennicks
/
L. Archimede
62'
G. Hurst
/
C. Nava
63'
C. Gloster
A. Vukovic
/ D. Flores
74'
⚽JP Scearce
· ast. H. Avayevu
75'
76'
J. LaCava
/
O. Jabang
76'
S. Djeffal
/
C. Wilkerson
80'
V. Noel
L. Biasi
/ C. Dennis
81'
⚽I. Sacko
· ast. JP Scearce
82'
H. Avayevu
/ A. Capetillo
89'
D. Johnson
/ P. Mar Boye
89'
D. Gomez
/ G. Studenhofft
89'
90'
G. Hurst
Pre-match prediction
39.55%
Phoenix ←
31.07%
X
29.38%
New
we assigned to the actual result (Phoenix Rising)
39.55%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.73
—
—
0.85
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs New Mexico United?
The final score was Phoenix Rising 3–0 New Mexico United.
What did the model predict before Phoenix Rising vs New Mexico United?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Phoenix Rising win, 31% to a draw, and 29% to an New Mexico United win.