Phoenix Rising 3–0 New Mexico United — pre-match prediction — USL Championship — April 12, 2026

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USL Championship · Group Stage April 12, 2026 04:00

Phoenix Rising

#10 · 33 pts

3 – 0

Final score

New Mexico United

#2 · 43 pts

I. Sacko 13' (pen.)

JP Scearce (ast. H. Avayevu) 75'

I. Sacko (ast. JP Scearce) 82'

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Phoenix Rising a 39% win probability (draw 31%, New Mexico United 29%). The final result was Phoenix Rising 3–0 New Mexico United.

Match statistics

Match Events

⚽I. Sacko (pen.)

13'

25'

M. Howell

⚽JP Scearce (missed pen.)

34'

JP Scearce

45'+3

J. Moursou

51'

61'

D. Harris / N. Reid-Stephen ↕

61'

J. Rennicks / L. Archimede ↕

62'

G. Hurst / C. Nava ↕

63'

C. Gloster

↕ A. Vukovic / D. Flores

74'

⚽JP Scearce · ast. H. Avayevu

75'

76'

J. LaCava / O. Jabang ↕

76'

S. Djeffal / C. Wilkerson ↕

80'

V. Noel

↕ L. Biasi / C. Dennis

81'

⚽I. Sacko · ast. JP Scearce

82'

↕ H. Avayevu / A. Capetillo

89'

↕ D. Johnson / P. Mar Boye

89'

↕ D. Gomez / G. Studenhofft

89'

90'

G. Hurst

Pre-match prediction

39.55%

Phoenix ←

31.07%

29.38%

New

we assigned to the actual result (Phoenix Rising) 39.55% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Phoenix

1.73

—

New

0.85

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	El Paso Locomotive	25	46
2	New Mexico United	24	43
3	Colorado Springs	25	38
4	San Antonio	25	37
5	Sacramento Republic	24	37
6	FC Tulsa	24	37
7	Lexington	25	37
8	Orange County SC	25	36
9	Las Vegas Lights	25	33
10	Phoenix Rising	25	33
11	Oakland Roots	25	30
12	Monterey Bay	25	18

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs New Mexico United?

The final score was Phoenix Rising 3–0 New Mexico United.

What did the model predict before Phoenix Rising vs New Mexico United?

The model assigned 39% probability to a Phoenix Rising win, 31% to a draw, and 29% to an New Mexico United win.